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We consider large non-Hermitian random matrices $X$ with complex, independent, identically distributed centred entries and show that the linear statistics of their eigenvalues are asymptotically Gaussian for test functions having…

概率论 · 数学 2023-10-16 Giorgio Cipolloni , László Erdős , Dominik Schröder

We introduce a notion of volatility uncertainty in discrete time and define the corresponding analogue of Peng's G-expectation. In the continuous-time limit, the resulting sublinear expectation converges weakly to the G-expectation. This…

概率论 · 数学 2011-03-04 Yan Dolinsky , Marcel Nutz , H. Mete Soner

Using the concept of self-decomposable subordinators introduced in Gardini et al. [11], we build a new bivariate Normal Inverse Gaussian process that can capture stochastic delays. In addition, we also develop a novel path simulation scheme…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2020-11-10 Matteo Gardini , Piergiacomo Sabino , Emanuela Sasso

The real Ginibre spherical ensemble consists of random matrices of the form $A B^{-1}$, where $A,B$ are independent standard real Gaussian $N \times N$ matrices. The expected number of real eigenvalues is known to be of order $\sqrt{N}$. We…

数学物理 · 物理学 2025-08-07 Peter J. Forrester

We address regularised versions of the Expectation-Maximisation (EM) algorithm for Generalised Linear Mixed Models (GLMM) in the context of panel data (measured on several individuals at different time points). A random response y is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-21 Jocelyn Chauvet , Catherine Trottier , Xavier Bry

For $\alpha\in (1,2)$, we present a generalized central limit theorem for $\alpha$-stable random variables under sublinear expectation. The foundation of our proof is an interior regularity estimate for partial integro-differential…

概率论 · 数学 2016-06-28 Erhan Bayraktar , Alexander Munk

We obtain strong invariance principles for normalized multiple iterated sums and integrals of the form $\bbS_N^{(\nu)}(t)=N^{-\nu/2}\sum_{0\leq k_1<...<k_\nu\leq Nt}\xi(k_1)\otimes\cdots\otimes\xi(k_\nu)$, $t\in[0,T]$ and…

概率论 · 数学 2025-02-04 Yuri Kifer

We propose a simple algorithm for generating normally distributed pseudo random numbers. The algorithm simulates N molecules that exchange energy among themselves following a simple stochastic rule. We prove that the system is ergodic, and…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 J. F. Fernandez , Carlos Criado

We provide a general approach to construct a stochastic process with a given consistent family of finite dimensional distributions under a nonlinear expectation space. We use this approach to construct a generalized Gaussian process under a…

概率论 · 数学 2011-05-06 Shige Peng

Stochastic iterative methods are useful in a variety of large-scale numerical linear algebraic, machine learning, and statistical problems, in part due to their low-memory footprint. They are frequently used in a variety of applications,…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-11-27 Toby Anderson , Max Collins , Jamie Haddock , Jackie Lok , Elizaveta Rebrova

For the extended skew-normal distribution, which represents an extension of the normal (or Gaussian) distribution, we focus on the properties of the log-likelihood function and derived quantities in the the bivariate case. Specifically, we…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-20 Stefano Franco , Adelchi Azzalini

In this paper, we investigate a stochastic approximation procedure $\left(X_n\right)_{n\ge 0}$ taking values in $R$. The process is adapted to a filtration $(F_n)_{n\ge 0}$ and satisfies the recursion…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-11 Jianan Shi , Qing Yin , Yu Miao

Hidden regular variation defines a subfamily of distributions satisfying multivariate regular variation on $\mathbb{E} = [0, \infty]^d \backslash \{(0,0, ..., 0) \} $ and models another regular variation on the sub-cone $\mathbb{E}^{(2)} =…

概率论 · 数学 2010-09-07 Abhimanyu Mitra , Sidney I. Resnick

Based on the classical probability, the stability criteria for stochastic differential delay equations (SDDEs) where their coefficients are either linear or nonlinear but bounded by linear functions have been investigated intensively.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-04-29 Chen Fei , Weiyin Fei , Xuerong Mao , Litan Yan

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly employed in real-world applications, driving the need to evaluate the trustworthiness of their generated text. To this end, reliable uncertainty estimation is essential. Leading uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Lukas Aichberger , Kajetan Schweighofer , Sepp Hochreiter

Estimating covariances between financial assets plays an important role in risk management. In practice, when the sample size is small compared to the number of variables, the empirical estimate is known to be very unstable. Here, we…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2019-04-19 Rajbir-Singh Nirwan , Nils Bertschinger

Consider a first-order autoregressive process $X_i=\beta X_{i-1}+\varepsilon_i,$ where $\varepsilon_i=G(\eta_i,\eta_{i-1},\ldots)$ and $\eta_i,i\in\mathbb{Z}$ are i.i.d. random variables. Motivated by two important issues for the inference…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-12 Ngai Hang Chan , Rongmao Zhang

In this paper we extend the definition of time conditional G-expectations $\mathbb{\hat{E}}_{t}[\cdot]$ to a larger domain on which the dynamical consistency still holds. In fact we can consistently define, by taking the limit, the time…

概率论 · 数学 2013-09-17 Mingshang Hu , Shige Peng

The projected normal distribution, also known as the angular Gaussian distribution, is obtained by dividing a multivariate normal random variable $\mathbf{x}$ by its norm $\sqrt{\mathbf{x}^T \mathbf{x}}$. The resulting random variable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-24 Daniel Herrera-Esposito , Johannes Burge

A famous result going back to Eric Kostlan states that the moduli of the eigenvalues of random normal matrices with radial potential are independent yet non identically distributed. This phenomenon is at the heart of the asymptotic analysis…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-07 David García-Zelada