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An epidemic model where disease transmission can occur either through global contacts or through local, nearest neighbor interactions is considered. The classical SIR--model describing the global interactions is extended by adding…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-02-02 Thomas Götz

This paper considers a stochastic SIR (susceptible$\to$infective$\to$removed) epidemic model in which individuals may make infectious contacts in two ways, both within `households' (which for ease of exposition are assumed to have equal…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-13 Frank Ball , David Sirl , Pieter Trapman

This paper is concerned with a stochastic model for the spread of an SEIR (susceptible -> exposed (=latent) -> infective -> removed) epidemic with a contact tracing scheme, in which removed individuals may name some of their infectious…

概率论 · 数学 2015-12-08 Frank G Ball , Edward S Knock , Philip D O'Neill

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model is the cornerstone of epidemiological models. However, this specification depends on two parameters only, which implies a lack of flexibility and the difficulty to replicate the volatile…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-11-17 Christian Gourieroux , Yang Lu

In this work, we study the epidemic SIR model on a system which takes into consideration face-to-face interaction networks. This approach has been used as prototype to describe people interactions in different kinds of social organizations…

We study extensions of the classical SIR model of epidemic spread. First, we consider a single population modified SIR epidemics model in which the contact rate is allowed to be an arbitrary function of the fraction of susceptible and…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-12-17 Martina Alutto , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

The effect of spatial correlations on the spread of infectious diseases was investigated using a stochastic SIR (Susceptible-Infective-Recovered) model on complex networks. It was found that in addition to the reduction of the effective…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2007-05-23 J. Verdasca , M. M. Telo da Gama , A. Nunes , N. R. Bernardino , J. M. Pacheco , M. C. Gomes

A stochastic epidemic model accounting for the effect of contact-tracing on the spread of an infectious disease is studied. Precisely, individuals identified as infected may contribute to detecting other infectious individuals by providing…

概率论 · 数学 2009-03-28 Stéphan Clémençon , Viet Chi Tran , Hector De Arazoza

A generalization of the standard susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) stochastic model for epidemics in sparse random networks is introduced which incorporates contact tracing in addition to random screening. We propose a deterministic…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Ramon Huerta , Lev S. Tsimring

We study a multilayer SIR model with two levels of mixing, namely a global level which is uniformly mixing, and a local level with two layers distinguishing household and workplace contacts, respectively. We establish the large population…

概率论 · 数学 2023-10-27 Madeleine Kubasch

A probabilistic approach to the epidemic evolution on realistic social-contact networks allows for characteristic differences among subjects, including the individual number and structure of social contacts, and the heterogeneity of the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-02-11 Jan B. Broekaert , Davide La Torre , Faizal Hafiz

We investigate what structural aspects of a collection of twelve empirical temporal networks of human contacts are important to disease spreading. We scan the entire parameter spaces of the two canonical models of infectious disease…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-05-27 Petter Holme , Fredrik Liljeros

Networks of contacts capable of spreading infectious diseases are often observed to be highly heterogeneous, with the majority of individuals having fewer contacts than the mean, and a significant minority having relatively very many…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-12-21 César Parra-Rojas , Thomas House , Alan J. McKane

The importance of modeling the spread of epidemics through a population has led to the development of mathematical models for infectious disease propagation. A number of empirical studies have collected and analyzed data on contacts between…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2017-07-28 Rehan Ahmad , Kevin S. Xu

We define and study an open stochastic SIR (Susceptible -- Infected -- Removed) model on a graph in order to describe the spread of an epidemic on a cattle trade network with epidemiological and demographic dynamics occurring over the same…

概率论 · 数学 2019-03-28 Pierre Montagnon

This paper is devoted to the study of a stochastic epidemiological model which is a variant of the SIR model to which we add an extra factor in the transition rate from susceptible to infected accounting for the inflow of infection due to…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2021-06-29 Gadi Fibich , Samuel Nordmann

The Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) equations and their extensions comprise a commonly utilized set of models for understanding and predicting the course of an epidemic. In practice, it is of substantial interest to estimate the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-05-07 Omar Melikechi , Alexander L. Young , Tao Tang , Trevor Bowman , David Dunson , James Johndrow

We study contact epidemic models for the spread of infective diseases in finite populations. The size dependence enters in the infection rate. The dynamics of such models is then analyzed within the deterministic approximation, as well as…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-04-07 Ph. Blanchard , S. Nicolis

A network epidemic model is studied. The underlying social network has two different types of group structures, households and workplaces, such that each individual belongs to exactly one household and one workplace. The random network is…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-10 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , Peter Neal

We consider the emergent behavior of viral spread when agents in a large population interact with each other over a contact network. When the number of agents is large and the contact network is a complete graph, it is well known that the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-04-13 Anirudh Sridhar , Soummya Kar
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