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This paper shows that disregarding the information effects around the European Central Bank monetary policy decision announcements biases its international spillovers. Using data from 23 economies, both Emerging and Advanced, I show that…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-06-08 Santiago Camara

Empirical researchers often estimate spillover effects by fitting linear or non-linear regression models to sampled network data. We show that common sampling schemes bias these estimates, potentially upwards, and derive biased-corrected…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-23 Kieran Marray

When experimental subjects can interact with each other, the outcome of one individual may be affected by the treatment status of others. In many social science experiments, such spillover effects may occur through multiple networks, for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-01 Naoki Egami

I study identification, estimation and inference for spillover effects in experiments where units' outcomes may depend on the treatment assignments of other units within a group. I show that the commonly-used reduced-form linear-in-means…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-01-21 Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare

In estimating spillover effects under network interference, practitioners often use linear regression with either the number or fraction of treated neighbors as regressors. An often overlooked fact is that the latter is undefined for units…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-10 Bora Kim

This paper investigates the relationship between private and public investment in R&D, while taking into account the effect of several instruments policies such as subsidies and taxes. We design a new look of knowledge spillovers and R&D…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2010-06-10 Sadraoui Tarek , Naceur Ben Zina

No matter its source, financial- or policy-related, uncertainty can feed onto itself, inflicting the real economic sector, altering expectations and behaviours, and leading to identification challenges in empirical applications. The strong…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-02-15 Emanuele Bacchiocchi , Catalin Dragomirescu-Gaina

This paper quantifies the international spillovers of US monetary policy by exploiting the high-frequency movement of multiple financial assets around FOMC announcements. I use the identification strategy introduced by Jarocinski & Karadi…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-02-08 Santiago Camara

We explore the international transmission of monetary policy and central bank information shocks originating from the United States and the euro area. Employing a panel vector autoregression, we use macroeconomic and financial variables…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-06 Michael Pfarrhofer , Anna Stelzer

This paper examines the sign-dependent international spillovers of Federal Reserve and European Central Bank monetary policy shocks. Using a consistent high-frequency identification of pure monetary policy shocks across 44 advanced and…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-11 Santiago Camara

This paper extends endogenous economic growth models to incorporate knowledge externality. We explores whether spatial knowledge spillovers among regions exist, whether spatial knowledge spillovers promote regional innovative activities,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-03-07 Jinwen Qiu , Wenjian Liu , Ning Ning

Knowledge spillovers occur when a firm researches a new technology and that technology is adapted or adopted by another firm, resulting in a social value of the technology that is larger than the initially predicted private value. As a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-01-14 Matt Barker , Pierre Degond , Ralf Martin , Mirabelle Muûls

We present current methods for estimating treatment effects and spillover effects under "interference", a term which covers a broad class of situations in which a unit's outcome depends not only on treatments received by that unit, but also…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-01-16 Peter M. Aronow , Dean Eckles , Cyrus Samii , Stephanie Zonszein

This paper develops a continuous functional framework for treatment effects propagating through geographic space and economic networks. We derive a master equation from three independent economic foundations -- heterogeneous agent…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-29 Tatsuru Kikuchi

This study examines whether the structure of global value chains (GVCs) affects international spillovers of research and development (R&D). Although the presence of ``hub'' countries in GVCs has been confirmed by previous studies, the role…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-06-14 Rinki Ito

This paper introduces a framework to analyze time-varying spillover effects in panel data. We consider panel models where a unit's outcome depends not only on its own characteristics (private effects) but also on the characteristics of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-17 Ryo Okui , Yutao Sun , Wendun Wang

This paper shows how to use a randomized saturation experimental design to identify and estimate causal effects in the presence of spillovers--one person's treatment may affect another's outcome--and one-sided non-compliance--subjects can…

Estimating causal effects in the presence of spillover among individuals embedded within a social network is often challenging with missing information. The spillover effect is the effect of an intervention if a participant is not exposed…

This paper quantifies the international spillovers of US interest rates by explicitly controlling for the "Fed Information Effect". I use multiple identification strategies that identify two components of monetary policy surprises around…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-24 Santiago Camara

Most explanations of economic growth are based on knowledge spillovers, where the development of some technologies facilitates the enhancement of others. Empirical studies show that these spillovers can have a heterogeneous and rather…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-07-14 Anton Bondarev , Frank C. Krysiak
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