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Obtaining an accurate picture of the current state of the economy is particularly important to central banks and finance ministries, and of epidemics to health ministries. There is increasing interest in the use of search engine data to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-08-05 Paul Ormerod , Rickard Nyman , R Alexander Bentley

The increasing availability of "big" (large volume) social media data has motivated a great deal of research in applying sentiment analysis to predict the movement of prices within financial markets. Previous work in this field investigates…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2018-11-08 Ellie Birbeck , Dave Cliff

The financial market trend forecasting method is emerging as a hot topic in financial markets today. Many challenges still currently remain, and various researches related thereto have been actively conducted. Especially, recent research of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-04-06 Jonghyeon Min

Traditional sentiment construction in finance relies heavily on the dictionary-based approach, with a few exceptions using simple machine learning techniques such as Naive Bayes classifier. While the current literature has not yet invoked…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-07-08 Joshua Zoen Git Hiew , Xin Huang , Hao Mou , Duan Li , Qi Wu , Yabo Xu

Large language models are reshaping quantitative investing by turning unstructured financial information into evidence-grounded signals and executable decisions. This survey synthesizes research with a focus on equity return prediction and…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-10-08 Weilong Fu

Financial market forecasting is one of the most attractive practical applications of sentiment analysis. In this paper, we investigate the potential of using sentiment \emph{attitudes} (positive vs negative) and also sentiment…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2019-03-14 Andrius Mudinas , Dell Zhang , Mark Levene

Financial Sentiment Analysis (FSA) traditionally relies on human-annotated sentiment labels to infer investor sentiment and forecast market movements. However, inferring the potential market impact of words based on their human-perceived…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Hamid Moradi-Kamali , Mohammad-Hossein Rajabi-Ghozlou , Mahdi Ghazavi , Ali Soltani , Amirreza Sattarzadeh , Reza Entezari-Maleki

This paper shows that Bitcoin is not correlated to a general uncertainty index as measured by the Google Trends data of Castelnuovo and Tran (2017). Instead, Bitcoin is linked to a Google Trends attention measure specific for the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-06-15 Nektarios Aslanidis , Aurelio F. Bariviera , Óscar G. López

This paper tries to address the problem of stock market prediction leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) strategies. The stock market prediction can be modeled based on two principal analyses called technical and fundamental. In the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-05 Sohrab Mokhtari , Kang K. Yen , Jin Liu

Predicting the stock market trend has always been challenging since its movement is affected by many factors. Here, we approach the future trend prediction problem as a machine learning classification problem by creating tomorrow_trend…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-01-31 Taylan Kabbani , Fatih Enes Usta

Prediction and quantification of future volatility and returns play an important role in financial modelling, both in portfolio optimization and risk management. Natural language processing today allows to process news and social media…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-12-14 Justina Deveikyte , Helyette Geman , Carlo Piccari , Alessandro Provetti

The efficient market hypothesis considers all available information already reflected in asset prices and limits the possibility of consistently achieving above-average returns by trading on publicly available data. We analyzed low…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-13 Jose M. G. Vilar

Using frequency distributions of daily closing price time series of several financial market indexes, we investigate whether the bias away from an equiprobable sequence distribution found in the data, predicted by algorithmic information…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2010-08-17 Hector Zenil , Jean-Paul Delahaye

Financial market forecasting remains a formidable challenge despite the surge in computational capabilities and machine learning advancements. While numerous studies have underscored the precision of computer-generated market predictions,…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-16 Reza Yarbakhsh , Mahdieh Soleymani Baghshah , Hamidreza Karimaghaie

Predicting financial returns accurately poses a significant challenge due to the inherent uncertainty in financial time series data. Enhancing prediction models' performance hinges on effectively capturing both social and financial…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-03-08 Raffaele Giuseppe Cestari , Simone Formentin

This article explores the use of machine learning models to build a market generator. The underlying idea is to simulate artificial multi-dimensional financial time series, whose statistical properties are the same as those observed in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-10 Edmond Lezmi , Jules Roche , Thierry Roncalli , Jiali Xu

This paper is to explore the possibility to use alternative data and artificial intelligence techniques to trade stocks. The efficacy of the daily Twitter sentiment on predicting the stock return is examined using machine learning methods.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-01-09 Catherine Xiao , Wanfeng Chen

Sentiment-based stock prediction systems aim to explore sentiment or event signals from online corpora and attempt to relate the signals to stock price variations. Both the feature-based and neural-networks-based approaches have delivered…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-08-19 Yue Zhou , Kerstin Voigt

The stock market is a crucial component of the financial market, playing a vital role in wealth accumulation for investors, financing costs for listed companies, and the stable development of the national macroeconomy. Significant…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-02-28 Jiajian Zheng , Duan Xin , Qishuo Cheng , Miao Tian , Le Yang

The availability of data on digital traces is growing to unprecedented sizes, but inferring actionable knowledge from large-scale data is far from being trivial. This is especially important for computational finance, where digital traces…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-05-13 David Garcia , Frank Schweitzer