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This paper describes the dependence of market-based statistical moments of returns on statistical moments and correlations of the current and past trade values. We use Markowitz's definition of value weighted return of a portfolio as the…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-17 Victor Olkhov

Large Language Models (LLMs) have recently been leveraged for asset pricing tasks and stock trading applications, enabling AI agents to generate investment decisions from unstructured financial data. However, most evaluations of LLM…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2026-05-26 Weixian Waylon Li , Hyeonjun Kim , Mihai Cucuringu , Tiejun Ma

Efficient Market Hypothesis is the popular theory about stock prediction. With its failure much research has been carried in the area of prediction of stocks. This project is about taking non quantifiable data such as financial news…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2016-07-08 Joshi Kalyani , Prof. H. N. Bharathi , Prof. Rao Jyothi

Micro-blogging sources such as the Twitter social network provide valuable real-time data for market prediction models. Investors' opinions in this network follow the fluctuations of the stock markets and often include educated speculations…

Forecasting financial market trends through time series analysis and natural language processing poses a complex and demanding undertaking, owing to the numerous variables that can influence stock prices. These variables encompass a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-04 Ali Asgarov

Recent developments in deep learning techniques have motivated intensive research in machine learning-aided stock trading strategies. However, since the financial market has a highly non-stationary nature hindering the application of…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2020-12-15 Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami , Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa

Finance-related news such as Bloomberg News, CNN Business and Forbes are valuable sources of real data for market screening systems. In news, an expert shares opinions beyond plain technical analyses that include context such as political,…

The goal of this paper is to evaluate the informational content of sentiment extracted from news articles about the state of the economy. We propose a fine-grained aspect-based sentiment analysis that has two main characteristics: 1) we…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2022-03-30 Luca Barbaglia , Sergio Consoli , Sebastiano Manzan

Anticipating price developments in financial markets is a topic of continued interest in forecasting. Funneled by advancements in deep learning and natural language processing (NLP) together with the availability of vast amounts of textual…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-03-21 Duygu Ider , Stefan Lessmann

Company fundamentals are key to assessing companies' financial and overall success and stability. Forecasting them is important in multiple fields, including investing and econometrics. While statistical and contemporary machine learning…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-06-04 Felix Divo , Eric Endress , Kevin Endler , Kristian Kersting , Devendra Singh Dhami

We show how text from news articles can be used to predict intraday price movements of financial assets using support vector machines. Multiple kernel learning is used to combine equity returns with text as predictive features to increase…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2009-06-24 Ronny Luss , Alexandre d'Aspremont

In this paper, we propose a method for evaluating autonomous trading strategies that provides realistic expectations, regarding the strategy's long-term performance. This method addresses This method addresses many pitfalls that currently…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2021-11-22 Murilo Sibrao Bernardini , Paulo Andre Lima de Castro

Predicting stock price movements is a pivotal element of investment strategy, providing insights into potential trends and market volatility. This study specifically examines the predictive capacity of historical stock prices and technical…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-04-17 Morteza Maleki

Financial markets are influenced by human behavior that deviates from rationality due to cognitive biases. Traditional reinforcement learning (RL) models for financial decision-making assume rational agents, potentially overlooking the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-14 Liu He

Macroeconomic variables are known to significantly impact equity markets, but their predictive power for price fluctuations has been underexplored due to challenges such as infrequency and variability in timing of announcements, changing…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2025-03-26 Martina Halousková , Štefan Lyócsa

Big data, both in its structured and unstructured formats, have brought in unforeseen challenges in economics and business. How to organize, classify, and then analyze such data to obtain meaningful insights are the ever-going research…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-04 Viet Trinh

Sustainable financial markets play an important role in the functioning of human society. Still, the detection and prediction of risk in financial markets remain challenging and draw much attention from the scientific community. Here we…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-11-27 Jingfang Fan , Keren Cohen , Louis M. Shekhtman , Sibo Liu , Jun Meng , Yoram Louzoun , Shlomo Havlin

Web traffic is a valuable data source, typically used in the marketing space to track brand awareness and advertising effectiveness. However, web traffic is also a rich source of information for cybersecurity monitoring efforts. To better…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2019-04-04 Han Qin , Kit Riehle , Haozhen Zhao

The paper proposes a method of financial time series forecasting taking into account the semantics of news. For the semantic analysis of financial news the sampling of negative and positive words in economic sense was formed based on…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2017-05-25 Kateryna Kononova , Anton Dek

Stock price prediction is a complicated and interesting task. Noisy trends make stock pricing sensitive and complicated while the economical motivation behind, keeps it interesting for researchers and investors. In this paper we are to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-12-19 Negin Bagherpour