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相关论文: Stopping strategies and gambler's ruin problem

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In the extended gambler's ruin problem we can move one step forward or backward (classical gambler's ruin problem), we can stay where we are for a time unit (delayed action) or there can be absorption in the current state (game is…

概率论 · 数学 2023-03-28 Theo van Uem

We present here a new extended model of the gambler's ruin problem by incorporating delays in receiving of rewards and paying of penalties. When there is a difference between two delays, an exact analysis of the ruin probability is…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-10-23 Tomohisa Imai , Toru Ohira

This note explores the mathematical theory to solve modern gamblers ruin problems. We establish a ruin framework and solve for the probability of bankruptcy. We also show how this relates to the expected time to bankruptcy and review the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-03-25 Salil Mehta

In this paper we provide formulas for the expectation of a conditional game duration in a finite state-space one-dimensional gambler's ruin problem with arbitrary winning $p(n)$ and losing $q(n)$ probabilities (i.e., they depend on the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-30 Paweł Lorek , Piotr Markowski

The gambler's ruin problem for correlated random walks (CRW), both with and without delays, is addressed using the Optional Stopping Theorem for martingales. We derive closed-form expressions for the ruin probabilities and the expected game…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-03 Vladimir Pozdnyakov

We give explicit formulas for ruin probabilities in a multidimensional Generalized Gambler's ruin problem. The generalization is best interpreted as a game of one player against $d$ other players, allowing arbitrary winning and losing…

概率论 · 数学 2018-09-26 Paweł Lorek

Assume that letters (from a finite alphabet) in a text form a Markov chain. We track two distinct words, $U$ and $D$. A gambler gains 1 point for each occurrence of $U$ (including overlapping occurrences) and loses 1 point for each…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-03 Zhiyi Chi , Vladimir Pozdnyakov

Gambler's ruin estimates can be viewed as harmonic measure estimates for finite Markov chains which are absorbed (or killed) at boundary points. We relate such estimates to properties of the underlying chain and its Doob transform.…

概率论 · 数学 2019-06-13 Persi Diaconis , Kelsey Houston-Edwards , Laurent Saloff-Coste

For a family of multidimensional gambler models we provide formulas for the winning probabilities (in terms of parameters of the system) and for the distribution of game duration (in terms of eigenvalues of underlying one-dimensional…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-04 Paweł Lorek , Piotr Markowski

We obtain expected number of arrivals, absorption probabilities and expected time before absorption for a discrete random walk on the integers with an infinite set of equidistant multiple function barriers

概率论 · 数学 2021-04-14 Theo van Uem

Using experimental mathematics and symbolic computation, we derive many moments for the duration of a three player (fair) gambler's ruin.

组合数学 · 数学 2023-09-19 Shalosh B. Ekhad , Doron Zeilberger

In this paper, we propose a new multi-armed bandit problem called the Gambler's Ruin Bandit Problem (GRBP). In the GRBP, the learner proceeds in a sequence of rounds, where each round is a Markov Decision Process (MDP) with two actions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-09-30 Nima Akbarzadeh , Cem Tekin

This paper treats of a kind of a gambler's ruin problem, which seeks the probability that a random walker first hits the origin at a certain time. In addition to a usual random walk which hops either rightwards or leftwards, the present…

数学物理 · 物理学 2013-10-30 Ken Yamamoto

The power of symbolic computation, as opposed to mere numerical computation, is illustrated with efficient algorithms for studying the generalized gambler's ruin problem in one and two dimensions. We also consider a new generalization of…

组合数学 · 数学 2026-02-05 Lucy Martinez

We derive an explicit formula for the probability of ruin of a gambler playing against an infinitely-rich adversary, when the games have payoff given by a general integer-valued probability distribution.

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-03 Guy Katriel

We obtain expected number of arrivals, absorption probabilities and expected time until absorption for an asymmetric discrete random walk on a graph in the presence of multiple function barriers. On each edge of the graph and in each vertex…

概率论 · 数学 2023-07-26 Theo van Uem

Consider gambler's ruin with three players, 1, 2, and 3, having initial capitals $A$, $B$, and $C$ units. At each round a pair of players is chosen (uniformly at random) and a fair coin flip is made resulting in the transfer of one unit…

概率论 · 数学 2021-04-20 Persi Diaconis , Stewart N. Ethier

We study quitting games and define the concept of absorption paths, which is an alternative definition to strategy profiles that accomodates both discrete time aspects and continuous time aspects, and is parameterized by the total…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-12-09 Galit Ashkenazi-Golan , Ilia Krasikov , Catherine Rainer , Eilon Solan

We study multidimensional Cram\'er-Lundberg risk processes where agents, located on a large sparse network, receive losses form their neighbors. To reduce the dimensionality of the problem, we introduce classification of agents according to…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-15 Hamed Amini , Zhongyuan Cao , Andreea Minca , Agnès Sulem

We consider the simple random walk on the $N$-dimensional integer lattice from the perspective of evaluating asymptotically the duration of play in the multidimensional gambler\apost s ruin problem. We show that, under suitable rescalings,…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-08 Achillefs Tzioufas
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