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In many sequential decision-making problems we may want to manage risk by minimizing some measure of variability in costs in addition to minimizing a standard criterion. Conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) is a relatively new risk measure that…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-07-14 Yinlam Chow , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh

In real-world scenarios, risk-averse learning is valuable for mitigating potential adverse outcomes. However, the delayed feedback makes it challenging to assess and manage risk effectively. In this paper, we investigate risk-averse…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-06 Siyi Wang , Zifan Wang , Karl Henrik Johansson , Sandra Hirche

In this work we study the price-hedge issue for general defaultable contracts characterized by the presence of a contingent CSA of switching type. This is a contingent risk mitigation mechanism that allow the counterparties of a defaultable…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2015-03-02 Giovanni Mottola

Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) is a prominent risk measure that is being used extensively in various domains. We develop a new formula for the gradient of the CVaR in the form of a conditional expectation. Based on this formula, we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-11-25 Aviv Tamar , Yonatan Glassner , Shie Mannor

The market practice of extrapolating different term structures from different instruments lacks a rigorous justification in terms of cash flows structure and market observables. In this paper, we integrate our previous consistent theory for…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2013-04-05 Andrea Pallavicini , Damiano Brigo

Valuation of Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) has become an important field as its calculation is required in Basel III, issued in 2010, in the wake of the credit crisis. Exposure, which is defined as the potential future loss of a default…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2014-12-12 Q. Feng , C. W. Oosterlee

Conditional Value-at-Risk (CoVaR) quantifies systemic financial risk by measuring the loss quantile of one asset, conditional on another asset experiencing distress. We develop a Transformer-based methodology that integrates financial news…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-16 Junyu Chen , Tom Boot , Lingwei Kong , Weining Wang

Efficient access to high-quality information is vital for online platforms. To promote more useful information, users not only create new content but also evaluate existing content, often through helpfulness voting. Although aggregated…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-06-27 Chang Liu , Yixin Wang , Moontae Lee

Conditional value-at-risk (CoVaR) is one of the most important measures of systemic risk. It is defined as the high quantile conditional on a related variable being extreme, widely used in the field of quantitative risk management. In this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-12 Zhaowen Wang , Yutao Liu , Deyuan Li

Covariate imbalance between treatment groups makes it difficult to compare cumulative incidence curves in competing risk analyses. In this paper we discuss different methods to estimate adjusted cumulative incidence curves including inverse…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-04 Patrick van Hage , Saskia le Cessie , Marissa C. van Maaren , Hein Putter , Nan van Geloven

We analyze the practical consequences of the bilateral counterparty risk adjustment. We point out that past literature assumes that, at the moment of the first default, a risk-free closeout amount will be used. We argue that the legal…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2010-11-16 Damiano Brigo , Massimo Morini

This paper proposes analytic forms of portfolio CoVaR and CoCVaR on the normal tempered stable market model. Since CoCVaR captures the relative risk of the portfolio with respect to a benchmark return, we apply it to the relative portfolio…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2023-03-29 Young Shin Kim

We study the semilinear partial differential equation (PDE) associated with the non-linear BSDE characterizing buyer's and seller's XVA in a framework that allows for asymmetries in funding, repo and collateral rates, as well as for early…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2016-08-16 Maxim Bichuch , Agostino Capponi , Stephan Sturm

The collateral choice option allows a collateral-posting party the opportunity to change the type of security in which the collateral is deposited. Due to non-zero collateral basis spreads, this optionality significantly impacts asset…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-08-17 Griselda Deelstra , Lech A. Grzelak , Felix L. Wolf

The popular systemic risk measure CoVaR (conditional Value-at-Risk) and its variants are widely used in economics and finance. In this article, we propose joint dynamic forecasting models for the Value-at-Risk (VaR) and CoVaR. The CoVaR…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-22 Timo Dimitriadis , Yannick Hoga

In this work we develop a tractable structural model with analytical default probabilities depending on a random default barrier and possibly random volatility ideally associated with a scenario based underlying firm debt. We show how to…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2009-12-17 Damiano Brigo , Marco Tarenghi

We consider the portfolio optimization with risk measured by conditional value-at-risk, based on the stress event of chosen asset being equal to the opposite of its value-at-risk level, under the normality assumption. Solvability conditions…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-03-07 Anna Zalewska

Valuation adjustments are nowadays a common practice to include credit and liquidity effects in option pricing. Funding costs arising from collateral procedures, hedging strategies and taxes are added to option prices to take into account…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-06-07 Stefania Gabrielli , Andrea Pallavicini , Stefano Scoleri

Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is a widely used risk metric in applications such as finance. We derive concentration bounds for CVaR estimates, considering separately the cases of light-tailed and heavy-tailed distributions. In the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-27 Prashanth L. A. , Krishna Jagannathan , Ravi Kumar Kolla

In this paper, a new way to integrate volatility information for estimating value at risk (VaR) and conditional value at risk (CVaR) of a portfolio is suggested. The new method is developed from the perspective of Bayesian statistics and it…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-05-04 Taras Bodnar , Vilhelm Niklasson , Erik Thorsén