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Gaussian process regression is used throughout statistics and machine learning for prediction and uncertainty quantification. A Gaussian process is specified by its mean and covariance functions. Many covariance functions, including…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Toni Karvonen , François Bachoc

This paper deals with nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian locally stationary processes. Our nonparametric MLE is constructed by minimizing a frequency domain likelihood over a class of functions. The asymptotic behavior…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-11-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

We prove conditional asymptotic normality of a class of quadratic U-statistics that are dominated by their degenerate second order part and have kernels that change with the number of observations. These statistics arise in the construction…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-09 James Robins , Lingling Li , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen , Aad van der Vaart

The aim of this article is to establish asymptotic distributions and consistency of subsampling for spectral density and for magnitude of coherence for non-stationary, almost periodically correlated time series. We show the asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-02-11 Łukasz Lenart

This paper presents a general framework for the estimation of regression models with circular covariates, where the conditional distribution of the response given the covariate can be specified through a parametric model. The estimation of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-06 María Alonso-Pena , Irène Gijbels , Rosa M. Crujeiras

Variational methods for parameter estimation are an active research area, potentially offering computationally tractable heuristics with theoretical performance bounds. We build on recent work that applies such methods to network data, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-10-30 Peter Bickel , David Choi , Xiangyu Chang , Hai Zhang

This paper studies large sample properties of a Bayesian approach to inference about slope parameters $\gamma$ in linear regression models with a structural break. In contrast to the conventional approach to inference about $\gamma$ that…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-15 Kenichi Shimizu

Parameter estimation in a class of heteroscedastic time series models is investigated. The existence of conditional least-squares and conditional likelihood estimators is proved. Their consistency and their asymptotic normality are…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-02-08 Joseph Ngatchou-Wandji

Gaussian process regression is a powerful Bayesian nonlinear regression method. Recent research has enabled the capture of many types of observations using non-Gaussian likelihoods. To deal with various tasks in spatial modeling, we benefit…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Yuta Shikuri

We consider the problem of estimating a smooth functional of an unknown signal with discontinuity from Gaussian observations. The signal is a known function that depends on an unknown parameter. This problem is closely related to the famous…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-12-19 Farida Enikeeva

This paper is about vector autoregressive-moving average (VARMA) models with time-dependent coefficients to represent non-stationary time series. Contrarily to other papers in the univariate case, the coefficients depend on time but not on…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-05 Abdelkamel Alj , Christophe Ley , Guy Mélard

We consider efficient estimation of the Euclidean parameters in a generalized partially linear additive models for longitudinal/clustered data when multiple covariates need to be modeled nonparametrically, and propose an estimation…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-02-05 Guang Cheng , Lan Zhou , Jianhua Z. Huang

In a statistical analysis in Particle Physics, nuisance parameters can be introduced to take into account various types of systematic uncertainties. The best estimate of such a parameter is often modeled as a Gaussian distributed variable…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2019-02-25 Glen Cowan

Two canonical problems in geostatistics are estimating the parameters in a specified family of stochastic process models and predicting the process at new locations. A number of asymptotic results addressing these problems over a fixed…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-10-11 Cari Kaufman , Benjamin Shaby

Item nonresponse is frequently encountered in practice. Ignoring missing data can lose efficiency and lead to misleading inference. Fractional imputation is a frequentist approach of imputation for handling missing data. However, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-18 Hejian Sang , Jae Kwang Kim

We investigate the asymptotic distribution of the maximum of a frequency smoothed estimate of the spectral coherence of a M-variate complex Gaussian time series with mutually independent components when the dimension M and the number of…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-08 Alexis Rosuel , Philippe Loubaton , Pascal Vallet

Spectral singularities at non-zero frequencies play an important role in investigating cyclic or seasonal time series. The publication [2] introduced the generalized filtered method-of-moments approach to simultaneously estimate singularity…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-13 Antoine Ayache , Myriam Fradon , Ravindi Nanayakkara , Andriy Olenko

Graphical models describe associations between variables through the notion of conditional independence. Gaussian graphical models are a widely used class of such models where the relationships are formalized by non-null entries of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-08 Sagnik Bhadury , Riten Mitra , Jeremy T. Gaskins

Strict stationarity is a common assumption used in the time series literature in order to derive asymptotic distributional results for second-order statistics, like sample autocovariances and sample autocorrelations. Focusing on weak…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-28 Yunyi Zhang , Efstathios Paparoditis , Dimitris N. Politis

Statistical models incorporating change points are common in practice, especially in the area of biomedicine. This approach is appealing in that a specific parameter is introduced to account for the abrupt change in the response variable…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Hongling Zhou , Kung-Yee Liang