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Many statistical estimators are defined as the fixed point of a data-dependent operator, with estimators based on minimizing a cost function being an important special case. The limiting performance of such estimators depends on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-22 Nhat Ho , Koulik Khamaru , Raaz Dwivedi , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan , Bin Yu

We propose a new framework for imposing monotonicity constraints in a Bayesian nonparametric setting based on numerical solutions of stochastic differential equations. We derive a nonparametric model of monotonic functions that allows for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-26 Ivan Ustyuzhaninov , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Carl Henrik Ek , Neill D. F. Campbell

Complex systems are sometimes subject to non Gaussian alpha stable Levy fluctuations. A new method is devised to estimate this uncertain parameter and other system parameters, using observations on either mean exit time or escape…

动力系统 · 数学 2013-06-04 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

Thomas' partial likelihood estimator of regression parameters is widely used in the analysis of nested case-control data with Cox's model. This paper proposes a new estimator of the regression parameters, which is consistent and…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Kani Chen

Bayesian analysis is a framework for parameter estimation that applies even in uncertainty regimes where the commonly used local (frequentist) analysis based on the Cram\'er-Rao bound is not well defined. In particular, it applies when no…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-03-17 Simon Morelli , Ayaka Usui , Elizabeth Agudelo , Nicolai Friis

We study the estimation problem for linear time-invariant (LTI) state-space models with Gaussian excitation of an unknown covariance. We provide non asymptotic lower bounds for the expected estimation error and the mean square estimation…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-09-20 Boualem Djehiche , Othmane Mazhar

A single joinpoint changepoint model partitions a time series into two segments, joined at the changepoint time by constraining the estimated piecewise linear regression responses to be continuous. This manuscript derives the exact…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-26 Xueheng Shi , Robert Lund

Gaussian graphical models have been used to study intrinsic dependence among several variables, but the Gaussianity assumption may be restrictive in many applications. A nonparanormal graphical model is a semiparametric generalization for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-20 Jami J. Mulgrave , Subhashis Ghosal

We describe an elementary method to get non-asymptotic estimates for the moments of Hermitian random matrices whose elements are Gaussian independent random variables. As the basic example, we consider the GUE matrices. Immediate…

数学物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 O. Khorunzhiy

The basic model for high-frequency data in finance is considered, where an efficient price process is observed under microstructure noise. It is shown that this nonparametric model is in Le Cam's sense asymptotically equivalent to a…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-01-25 Markus Reiß

The inference procedure for the mean of a stationary time series is usually quite different under various model assumptions because the partial sum process behaves differently depending on whether the time series is short or long-range…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-03-22 Shuyang Bai , Murad S. Taqqu , Ting Zhang

We consider a time series model involving a fractional stochastic component, whose integration order can lie in the stationary/invertible or nonstationary regions and be unknown, and an additive deterministic component consisting of a…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 P. M. Robinson

Parameter estimation for a parabolic linear stochastic partial differential equation in one space dimension is studied observing the solution field on a discrete grid in a fixed bounded domain. Considering an infill asymptotic regime in…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-26 Florian Hildebrandt , Mathias Trabs

Inference for mechanistic models is challenging because of nonlinear interactions between model parameters and a lack of identifiability. Here we focus on a specific class of mechanistic models, which we term stable differential equations.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-12-13 Philip Maybank , Ingo Bojak , Richard G. Everitt

Gaussian time-series models are often specified through their spectral density. Such models present several computational challenges, in particular because of the non-sparse nature of the covariance matrix. We derive a fast approximation of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-11-20 Nicolas Chopin , Judith Rousseau , Brunero Liseo

The goal of this paper is to propose a new approach to asymptotic analysis of the finite predictor for stationary sequences. It produces the exact asymptotics of the relative prediction error and the partial correlation coefficients. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-03 P. Chigansky , M. Kleptsyna

This article investigates nonparametric estimation of variance functions for functional data when the mean function is unknown. We obtain asymptotic results for the kernel estimator based on squared residuals. Similar to the finite…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-12-16 Heng Lian

We consider the problem of model selection in Gaussian Markov fields in the sample deficient scenario. In many practically important cases, the underlying networks are embedded into Euclidean spaces. Using the natural geometric structure,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-31 Ilya Soloveychik , Vahid Tarokh

Implementing Bayesian inference is often computationally challenging in applications involving complex models, and sometimes calculating the likelihood itself is difficult. Synthetic likelihood is one approach for carrying out inference…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-03-15 David T. Frazier , David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi , Robert Kohn

The article is devoted to the nonparametric estimation of the quadratic covariation of non-synchronously observed It\^o processes in an additive microstructure noise model. In a high-frequency setting, we aim at establishing an asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-06-22 Markus Bibinger
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