相关论文: Unit roots in moving averages beyond first order

In this work, we consider a multivariate regression model with one-sided errors. We assume for the regression function to lie in a general H\"{o}lder class and estimate it via a nonparametric local polynomial approach that consists of…

There remains an open question about the usefulness and the interpretation of Machine learning (MLE) approaches for discrimination of spatial patterns of brain images between samples or activation states. In the last few decades, these…

We consider covariance parameter estimation for a Gaussian process under inequality constraints (boundedness, monotonicity or convexity) in fixed-domain asymptotics. We address the estimation of the variance parameter and the estimation of…

We develop sampling methods, which consist of Gaussian invariant versions of random walk Metropolis (RWM), Metropolis adjusted Langevin algorithm (MALA) and second order Hessian or Manifold MALA. Unlike standard RWM and MALA we show that…

In this paper we are interested in the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) of the vector parameter of an autoregressive process of order $p$ with regular stationary Gaussian noise. We exhibit the large sample asymptotical properties of the…

Consider bivariate observations $(X_1,Y_1), \ldots, (X_n,Y_n) \in \mathbb{R}\times \mathbb{R}$ with unknown conditional distributions $Q_x$ of $Y$, given that $X = x$. The goal is to estimate these distributions under the sole assumption…

We consider covariance asymptotics for linear statistics of general stationary random measures in terms of their truncated pair correlation measure. We give exact infinite series-expansion formulas for covariance of smooth statistics of…

We develop and implement a novel fast bootstrap for dependent data. Our scheme is based on the i.i.d. resampling of the smoothed moment indicators. We characterize the class of parametric and semi-parametric estimation problems for which…

In this work, we analyze the asymptotic convergence factor of minimal residual iteration (MRI) (or GMRES(1)) for solving linear systems $Ax=b$ based on vector-dependent nonlinear eigenvalue problems. The worst-case root-convergence factor…

We generalize the maximum likelihood method to non-Gaussian distribution functions by means of the multivariate Edgeworth expansion. We stress the potential interest of this technique in all those cosmological problems in which the…

Bayesian approaches have become increasingly popular in causal inference problems due to their conceptual simplicity, excellent performance and in-built uncertainty quantification ('posterior credible sets'). We investigate Bayesian…

This paper develops the asymptotic theory for parametric and nonparametric regression models when the errors have a fractional local to unity root (FLUR) model structure. FLUR models are stationary time series with semi-long range…

Gaussian processes (GPs) are powerful and widely used probabilistic regression models, but their effectiveness in practice is often limited by the choice of kernel function. This kernel function is typically handcrafted from a small set of…

A new approach to adaptive design of clinical trials is proposed in a general multiparameter exponential family setting, based on generalized likelihood ratio statistics and optimal sequential testing theory. These designs are easy to…

The Plackett--Luce model has been extensively used for rank aggregation in social choice theory. A central statistical question in this model concerns estimating the utility vector that governs the model's likelihood. In this paper, we…

Generalised linear models for multi-class classification problems are one of the fundamental building blocks of modern machine learning tasks. In this manuscript, we characterise the learning of a mixture of $K$ Gaussians with generic means…

In this paper, we establish the first and the second-order asymptotics of distributions of normalized maxima of independent and non-identically distributed bivariate Gaussian triangular arrays, where each vector of the $n$th row follows…

Gaussian processes scale prohibitively with the size of the dataset. In response, many approximation methods have been developed, which inevitably introduce approximation error. This additional source of uncertainty, due to limited…

Maximizing the likelihood has been widely used for estimating the unknown covariance parameters of spatial Gaussian processes. However, evaluating and optimizing the likelihood function can be computationally intractable, particularly for…

Prior distributions for Bayesian inference that rely on the $l_1$-norm of the parameters are of considerable interest, in part because they promote parameter fields with less regularity than Gaussian priors (e.g., discontinuities and…