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Generating synthetic financial time series that preserve the statistical properties of real market data is essential for stress testing, risk model validation, and scenario design. Existing approaches struggle to simultaneously reproduce…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2026-04-03 Abdulrahman Alswaidan , Jeffrey D. Varner

We consider a discrete-time system of n coupled random vectors, a.k.a. interacting particles. The dynamics involve a vanishing step size, some random centered perturbations, and a mean vector field which induces the coupling between the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-09 Pascal Bianchi , Walid Hachem , Victor Priser

Inspired by a duration-dependent life insurance model, we consider continuous-time semi-Markov jump processes, initially assumed to have a finite state-space. We develop approximations using jump processes that are time-homogeneous Markov,…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-11 Martin Bladt , Andreea Minca , Oscar Peralta

In this paper, we show the convergence rates of posterior distributions of the model dynamics in a MDP for both episodic and continuous tasks. The theoretical results hold for general state and action space and the parameter space of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-07-23 Zhen Li , Eric Laber

We study the performance of a stochastic algorithm based on the power method that adaptively learns the large deviation functions characterizing the fluctuations of additive functionals of Markov processes, used in physics to model…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-03-30 Francesco Coghi , Hugo Touchette

We consider the asymptotics of the invariant measure for the process of the empirical spatial distribution of $N$ coupled Markov chains in the limit of a large number of chains. Each chain reflects the stochastic evolution of one particle.…

概率论 · 数学 2013-01-25 Vivek S. Borkar , Rajesh Sundaresan

We investigate a piecewise-deterministic Markov process, evolving on a Polish metric space, whose deterministic behaviour between random jumps is governed by some semi-flow, and any state right after the jump is attained by a randomly…

We introduce a class of (2+1)-dimensional stochastic growth processes, that can be seen as irreversible random dynamics of discrete interfaces. "Irreversible" means that the interface has an average non-zero drift. Interface configurations…

概率论 · 数学 2017-09-26 Fabio Lucio Toninelli

In [7] Krotov and Hopfield suggest a generalized version of the well-known Hopfield model of associative memory. In their version they consider a polynomial interaction function and claim that this increases the storage capacity of the…

概率论 · 数学 2017-07-03 Mete Demircigil , Judith Heusel , Matthias Löwe , Sven Upgang , Franck Vermet

We study central limit theorems for a totally asymmetric, one-dimensional interacting random system. The models we work with are the Aldous-Diaconis-Hammersley process and the related stick model. The A-D-H process represents a particle…

概率论 · 数学 2009-11-07 Timo Seppalainen

We consider spatially extended systems of interacting nonlinear Hawkes processes modeling large systems of neurons placed in Rd and study the associated mean field limits. As the total number of neurons tends to infinity, we prove that the…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-19 Julien Chevallier , A Duarte , E Löcherbach , G Ost

We consider a two-dimensional Hamiltonian system perturbed by a small diffusion term, whose coefficient is state-dependent and non-degenerate. As a result, the process consists of the fast motion along the level curves and slow motion…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-24 Shuo Yan

We consider a model describing a neuron and the input it receives from its dendritic tree when this input is a random perturbation of a periodic deterministic signal, driven by an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. The neuron itself is modeled by…

概率论 · 数学 2014-09-19 R. Höpfner , E. Löcherbach , M. Thieullen

This article presents a biological neural network model driven by inhomogeneous Poisson processes accounting for the intrinsic randomness of synapses. The main novelty is the introduction of local interactions: each firing neuron triggers…

Classical models for predicting current flow in excitable cells such as axons, originally proposed by Hodgkin and Huxley, rely on empirical voltage-gating parameters that quantify ion transport across sodium and potassium ion channels. We…

In this paper, we propose a discontinuous Hamilton Monte Carlo (DHMC) to sample from dimensional varying distributions, and particularly the grand canonical ensemble. The DHMC was proposed in [Biometrika, 107(2)] for discontinuous potential…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-05-16 Lei Li , Xiangxian Luo , Yinchen Luo

Reduced models of neuronal activity such as Integrate-and-Fire models allow a description of neuronal dynamics in simple, intuitive terms and are easy to simulate numerically. We present a method to fit an Integrate-and-Fire-type model of…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2020-04-03 Renaud Jolivet , Wulfram Gerstner

Mathematical models of biological neural networks are associated to a rich and complex class of stochastic processes. In this paper, we consider a simple {\em plastic} neural network whose {\em connectivity/synaptic strength} $(W(t))$…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-30 Philippe Robert , Gaetan Vignoud

Here a viable and never before investigated mechanism of propagation of spikes along neurons is proposed. In the following, velocity of propagation of small-amplitude pressure waves through the cytoplasmic interior of myelinated and…

生物物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Marat M. Rvachev

The main goal of this paper is to apply the so-called policy iteration algorithm (PIA) for the long run average continuous control problem of piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP's) taking values in a general Borel space and with…

概率论 · 数学 2009-02-17 O. L. V. Costa , F. Dufour