相关论文: Extremes of independent stochastic processes: a po…

We estimate the distance in total variation between the law of a finite state Markov process at time t, starting from a given initial measure, and its unique invariant measure. We derive upper bounds for the time to reach the equilibrium.…

The extremal index $\theta$, a measure of the degree of local dependence in the extremes of a stationary process, plays an important role in extreme value analyses. We estimate $\theta$ semiparametrically, using the relationship between the…

Let $(S_n)_{n \geq 0}$ be a transient random walk in the domain of attraction of a stable law and let $(\xi(s))_{s \in \mathbb{Z}}$ be a stationary sequence of random variables. In a previous work, under conditions of type $D(u_n)$ and…

Being the max-analogue of $\alpha$-stable stochastic processes, max-stable processes form one of the fundamental classes of stochastic processes. With the arrival of sufficient computational capabilities, they have become a benchmark in the…

This paper addresses the issue of estimating the expectation of a real-valued random variable of the form $X = g(\mathbf{U})$ where $g$ is a deterministic function and $\mathbf{U}$ can be a random finite- or infinite-dimensional vector.…

Markov models are widely used to describe processes of stochastic dynamics. Here, we show that Markov models are a natural consequence of the dynamical principle of Maximum Caliber. First, we show that when there are different possible…

We consider a time inhomogeneous jump Markov process $X = (X_t)_t$ with state dependent jump intensity, taking values in $R^d . $ Its infinitesimal generator is given by \begin{multline*} L_t f (x) = \sum_{i=1}^d \frac{\partial f}{\partial…

A finite point process is characterized by the distribution of the number of points (the size) of the process. In some applications, for example, in the context of packet flows in modern communication networks, it is of interest to infer…

Let $\{X(t):t\in[0,\infty)\}$ be a centered Gaussian process with stationary increments and variance function $\sigma^2_X(t)$. We study the exact asymptotics of ${\mathbb{P}}(\sup_{t\in[0,T]}X(t)>u)$ as $u\to\infty$, where $T$ is an…

Given $n>0$, let $S\subset [0,1]^2$ be a set of $n$ points, chosen uniformly at random. Let $R\cup B$ be a random partition, or coloring, of $S$ in which each point of $S$ is included in $R$ uniformly at random with probability $1/2$.…

Let $X=\{X_n: n\in\mathbb{N}\}$ be a long memory linear process in which the coefficients are regularly varying and innovations are independent and identically distributed and belong to the domain of attraction of an $\alpha$-stable law…

Let $\boldsymbol{X}(t)=(X_1(t),\ldots,X_d(t)), t\in [0,S]$ be a Gaussian vector process and let $g(\boldsymbol{x}),\boldsymbol{x}\in\mathbb{R}^d$ be a continuous homogeneous function. In this paper we are concerned with the exact tail…

The seminal papers of Pickands [1,2] paved the way for a systematic study of high exceedance probabilities of both stationary and non-stationary Gaussian processes. Yet, in the vector-valued setting, due to the lack of key tools including…

This paper studies the joint tail asymptotics of extrema of the multi-dimensional Gaussian process over random intervals defined as $$ P(u):=\mathbb{P}\left\{\cap_{i=1}^n \left(\sup_{t\in[0,\mathcal{T}_i]} ( X_{i}(t) +c_i t )>a_i u…

In this work we derive limit theorems for trawl processes. First,we study the asymptotic behaviour of the partial sums of the discretized trawl process $(X_{i\Delta_{n}})_{i=0}^{\lfloor nt\rfloor-1}$, under the assumption that as…

The convergence of a sequence of point processes with dependent points, defined by a symmetric function of iid high-dimensional random vectors, to a Poisson random measure is proved. This also implies the convergence of the joint…

We derive a functional limit theorem for the partial maxima process based on a long memory stationary $\alpha$-stable process. The length of memory in the stable process is parameterized by a certain ergodic-theoretical parameter in an…

In this paper we describe the alternative approach to the sample boundedness and continuity of stochastic processes. We show that the regularity of paths can be understood in terms of a distribution of the argument maximum. For a centered…

We consider empirical multi-dimensional Rare Events Point Processes that keep track both of the time occurrence of extremal observations and of their severity, for stochastic processes arising from a dynamical system, by evaluating a given…

Kakutani's random interval-splitting process iteratively divides, via a uniformly random splitting point, the largest sub-interval in a partition of the unit interval. The length of the longest sub-interval after $n$ steps, suitably centred…