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Although power laws of the Zipf type have been used by many workers to fit rank distributions in different fields like in economy, geophysics, genetics, soft-matter, networks etc., these fits usually fail at the tails. Some distributions…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-10-12 Gerardo G. Naumis , Germinal Cocho

In this paper, we give a Breiman's theorem for conditional dependent random vector, where one component has a regularly-varying-tailed distribution with the index $\alpha\ge0$ and its slowly varying function satisfies a relaxed condition,…

概率论 · 数学 2024-06-06 Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

We provide a new characterisation of Duquesne and Le Gall's $\alpha$-stable tree, $\alpha\in(1,2]$, as the solution of a recursive distribution equation (RDE) of the form $\mathcal{T}\overset{d}{=}g(\xi,\mathcal{T}_i, i\geq0)$, where $g$ is…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-21 Nicholas Chee , Franz Rembart , Matthias Winkel

We analyze neural scaling laws in a solvable model of last-layer fine-tuning where targets have intrinsic, instance-heterogeneous difficulty. In our Latent Instance Difficulty (LID) model, each input's target variance is governed by a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-08 Noam Levi

In the literature, retrial queues with batch arrivals and heavy service times have been studied and the so-called equivalence theorem has been established under the condition that the service time is heavier than the batch size. The…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-13 Bin Liu , Jie Min , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

Let $\{X_1, X_2, ... \}$ be a sequence of dependent heavy-tailed random variables with distributions $F_1, F_2,...$ on $(-\infty,\infty)$, and let $\tau$ be a nonnegative integer-valued random variable independent of the sequence $\{X_k, k…

概率论 · 数学 2013-02-28 Kam Chuen Yuen , Chuancun Yin

In optical non-linear processes rogue waves can be observed, which can be mathematically described by heavy-tailed distributions. These distributions are special due to the fact that the probability of registering extremely high intensities…

光学 · 物理学 2021-05-26 Éva Rácz , László Ruppert , Radim Filip

The sums and maxima of non-stationary random length sequences of regularly varying random variables may have the same tail and extremal indices, Markovich and Rodionov (2020). The main constraint is that there exists a unique series in a…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-11 Natalia Markovich

This article is devoted to the study of tail index estimation based on i.i.d. multivariate observations, drawn from a standard heavy-tailed distribution, i.e. of which 1-d Pareto-like marginals share the same tail index. A multivariate…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-04-10 Stéphan Clémençon , Antoine Dematteo

In this paper, we consider the problem of linear regression with heavy-tailed distributions. Different from previous studies that use the squared loss to measure the performance, we choose the absolute loss, which is capable of estimating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-26 Lijun Zhang , Zhi-Hua Zhou

We study heavy-tailed Hermitian random matrices that are unitarily invariant. The invariance implies that the eigenvalue and eigenvector statistics are decoupled. The motivating question has been whether a freely stable random matrix has…

数学物理 · 物理学 2021-09-27 Mario Kieburg , Adam Monteleone

In this paper, we discuss the large--time behavior of solution of a simple kinetic model of Boltzmann--Maxwell type, such that the temperature is time decreasing and/or time increasing. We show that, under the combined effects of the…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2015-05-19 L. Pareschi , G. Toscani

Consider a random vector $U$, whose distribution function coincides in its upper tail with that of an Archimedean copula. We report the fact that the conditional distribution of $U$, conditional on one of its components, has under a mild…

概率论 · 数学 2019-10-02 Michael Falk , Simone Padoan , Florian Wisheckel

The upper tail problem in the Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graph $G\sim\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$ asks to estimate the probability that the number of copies of a graph $H$ in $G$ exceeds its expectation by a factor $1+\delta$. Chatterjee and Dembo…

组合数学 · 数学 2019-11-12 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Shirshendu Ganguly , Eyal Lubetzky , Yufei Zhao

In a general class of one dimensional random differential equation the convergence of the distribution function of the solution to stationary state distribution is studied. In particular it is proved the boundedness respectively the…

概率论 · 数学 2010-07-07 Gyorgy Steinbrecher , Xavier Garbet , Boris Weyssow

Modern risk modelling approaches deal with vectors of multiple components. The components could be, for example, returns of financial instruments or losses within an insurance portfolio concerning different lines of business. One of the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-05-12 Miriam Hägele , Jaakko Lehtomaa

Heavy-tailed phenomena appear across diverse domains --from wealth and firm sizes in economics to network traffic, biological systems, and physical processes-- characterized by the disproportionate influence of extreme values. These…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-10 Hamidreza Maleki Almani

Assessing and managing risks in a changing climate requires projections that account for decision-relevant uncertainties. These deep uncertainties are often approximated by ensembles of Earth-system model runs that sample only a subset of…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2017-10-31 Gregory G. Garner , Klaus Keller

I report a new statistical distribution formulated to confront the infamous, long-standing, computational/modeling challenge presented by highly skewed and/or leptokurtic ("fat- or heavy-tailed") data. The distribution is straightforward,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-11-01 Lawrence R. Thorne

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł