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Given an arbitrary continuous probability density function, it is introduced a conjugated probability density, which is defined through the Shannon information associated with its cumulative distribution function. These new densities are…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-26 H. M. de Oliveira , R. J. Cintra

We consider quadratic Weyl sums $S_N(x;c,\alpha)=\sum_{n=1}^N\exp\{2\pi i((\frac{1}{2}n^2+cn)x+\alpha n)\}$ for $c=\alpha=0$ (the rational case) or $(c,\alpha)\notin\mathbb{Q}^2$ (the irrational case), where $x$ is randomly distributed…

数论 · 数学 2023-02-07 Francesco Cellarosi , Jory Griffin , Tariq Osman

This paper considers one-dimensional mixed causal/noncausal autoregressive (MAR) processes with heavy tail, usually introduced to model trajectories with patterns including asymmetric peaks and throughs, speculative bubbles, flash crashes,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-11 Christian Gouriéroux , Yang Lu , Christian-Yann Robert

The random variable $1+z_1+z_1z_2+\dots$ appears in many contexts and was shown by Kesten to exhibit a heavy tail distribution. We consider natural extensions of this variable and its associated recursion to $N \times N$ matrices either…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-08-03 Tristan Gautié , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Pierre Le Doussal

We consider phase-type scale mixture distributions which correspond to distributions of a product of two independent random variables: a phase-type random variable $Y$ and a nonnegative but otherwise arbitrary random variable $S$ called the…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-16 Leonardo Rojas-Nandayapa , Wangyue Xie

Let $\xi_1, \xi_2, \dots$ be i.i.d. non-negative random variables whose tail varies regularly with index $-1$, let $S_n$ be the sum and $M_n$ the largest of the first $n$ values. We clarify for which sequences $x_n\to\infty$ we have…

概率论 · 数学 2021-05-11 Matthias Birkner , Linglong Yuan

In this paper, we will give a sufficient condition for a non-negative random variable $X$ to be heavy tailed by investigating the Laplace-Stieltjes transform of the probability distribution function. We focus on the relation between the…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-02 Kenji Nakagawa

We study the joint limit distribution of the $k$ largest eigenvalues of a $p\times p$ sample covariance matrix $XX^\T$ based on a large $p\times n$ matrix $X$. The rows of $X$ are given by independent copies of a linear process,…

概率论 · 数学 2012-10-31 Richard A. Davis , Oliver Pfaffel , Robert Stelzer

Branching random walks on multidimensional lattice with heavy tails and a constant branching rate are considered. It is shown that under these conditions (heavy tails and constant rate), the front propagates exponentially fast, but the…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-02 A. Getan , S. Molchanov , B. Vainberg

The solution of $ X=AX+1 $ is analyzed for a discrete variable $ A $ with $ \mathbb{P}\left[A=0\right]>0 $. Accordingly, a fast algorithm is presented to calculate the obtained heavy tail density. To exemplify, the compound product…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-05-14 Arrigo Coen

We consider a linear recursion of the form $$R^{(k+1)}\stackrel{\mathcal D}{=}\sum_{i=1}^{N}C_iR^{(k)}_i+Q,$$ where $(Q,N,C_1,C_2,\dots)$ is a real-valued random vector with $N\in\mathbb{N}=\{0, 1, 2, \dots\}$,…

概率论 · 数学 2015-04-01 Ningyuan Chen , Mariana Olvera-Cravioto

We study the upper tail of the number of arithmetic progressions of a given length in a random subset of {1,...,n}, establishing exponential bounds which are best possible up to constant factors in the exponent. The proof also extends to…

组合数学 · 数学 2017-12-12 Lutz Warnke

Let $\{X_i\}_{i\geq1}$ be an i.i.d. sequence of random variables and define, for $n\geq2$, \[T_n=\cases{n^{-1/2}\hat{\sigma}_n^{-1}S_n,\quad \hat{\sigma}_n>0,\cr 0,\quad \hat{\sigma}_n=0,}with S_n=\sum_{i=1}^nX_i,…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-02-11 Fredrik Jonsson

We investigate the tail behaviour of the steady state distribution of a stochastic recursion that generalises Lindley's recursion. This recursion arises in queuing systems with dependent interarrival and service times, and includes…

概率论 · 数学 2014-04-23 Maria Vlasiou , Zbigniew Palmowski

A random variable $\xi$ has a {\it light-tailed} distribution (for short: is light-tailed) if it possesses a finite exponential moment, $\E \exp (\lambda \xi) <\infty$ for some $\lambda >0$, and has a {\it heavy-tailed} distribution (is…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-09 Sergey Foss , Michael Scheutzow , Anton Tarasenko

We study random design linear regression with no assumptions on the distribution of the covariates and with a heavy-tailed response variable. In this distribution-free regression setting, we show that boundedness of the conditional second…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-25 Jaouad Mourtada , Tomas Vaškevičius , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

We consider the accelerated propagation of solutions to equations with a nonlocal linear dispersion on the real line and monostable nonlinearities (both local or nonlocal, however, not degenerated at $0$), in the case when either of the…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2018-04-30 Dmitri Finkelshtein , Pasha Tkachov

We consider sums of $n$ i.i.d. random variables with tails close to $\exp\{-x^\beta\}$ for some $\beta>1$. Asymptotics developed by Rootz\'en (1987) and Balkema, Kl\"uppelberg & Resnick (1993) are discussed from the point of view of tails…

概率论 · 数学 2017-12-13 Søren Asmussen , Enkelejd Hashorva , Patrick J. Laub , Thomas Taimre

It is the purpose of this paper to investigate the issue of estimating the regularity index $\beta>0$ of a discrete heavy-tailed r.v. $S$, \textit{i.e.} a r.v. $S$ valued in $\mathbb{N}^*$ such that $\mathbb{P}(S>n)=L(n)\cdot n^{-\beta}$…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-23 Patrice Bertail , Stephan Clémençon , Carlos Fernández

We extend the construction principle of phase-type (PH) distributions to allow for inhomogeneous transition rates and show that this naturally leads to direct probabilistic descriptions of certain transformations of PH distributions. In…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-01 Hansjörg Albrecher , Mogens Bladt