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There is a widespread assumption that the universe in general, and the Earth's biosphere in particular, is becoming more complex over time. This paper formulates this assumption as a macroscopic law, the law of increasing complexity, for a…

物理学史与哲学 · 物理学 2026-03-02 Tatsuaki Okamoto

In this article the idea of random variables over the set theoretic universe is investigated. We explore what it can mean for a random set to have a specific probability of belonging to an antecedently given class of sets.

逻辑 · 数学 2019-03-21 Hazel Brickhill , Leon Horsten

The appeal of thermodynamics to problems outside physics is undeniable, as is the growing recognition of its apparent universality, yet in the absence of a rigorous formalism divorced from the peculiarities of molecular systems all attempts…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-07-06 Themis Matsoukas

The standard interpretation of the observed redshifted spectra and luminosities towards distant astrophysical objects is that the universe is expanding, an inference which is found to be consistent with other cosmological probes as well.…

综合物理 · 物理学 2013-08-06 Meir Shimon

Let X be a real or complex Hilbert space of finite but large dimension d, let S(X) denote the unit sphere of X, and let u denote the normalized uniform measure on S(X). For a finite subset B of S(X), we may test whether it is approximately…

概率论 · 数学 2019-08-01 Sheldon Goldstein , Joel L. Lebowitz , Roderich Tumulka , Nino Zanghi

The probability representation for quantum states of the universe in which the states are described by a fair probability distribution instead of wave function (or density matrix) is developed to consider cosmological dynamics. The…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2015-06-25 V. I. Man'ko , G. Marmo , C. Stornaiolo

Galaxies and clusters distributions show two major properties: (i) the positions of galaxies and clusters are characterized by a power law distribution indicating properties with respect to their positions. (ii) The distribution of masses…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-09-25 Francesco Sylos Labini , Luciano Pietronero

The location of objects on the celestial sphere is a fundamental measurement in astronomy, and the distribution of these objects within the Milky Way is important for understanding their evolution as well as the large scale structure of the…

星系天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-20 M. M. McKinnon

``Constants of Nature'' and cosmological parameters may in fact be variables related to some slowly-varying fields. In models of eternal inflation, such fields will take different values in different parts of the universe. Here I show how…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Alexander Vilenkin

This paper concerns the long term behaviour of a growth model describing a random sequential deposition of particles on a finite graph. The probability of allocating a particle at a vertex is proportional to a log-linear function of numbers…

概率论 · 数学 2020-04-13 Mikhail Menshikov , Vadim Shcherbakov

Extracting predictions from cosmological theories that describe a multiverse, for what we are likely to observe in our domain, is crucial to establishing the validity of these theories. One way to extract such predictions is from…

物理学史与哲学 · 物理学 2016-09-12 Feraz Azhar

We investigate the predictability of extreme events in time series. The focus of this work is to understand under which circumstances large events are better predictable than smaller events. Therefore we use a simple prediction algorithm…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2008-01-30 S. Hallerberg , H. Kantz

Prediction, where observed data is used to quantify uncertainty about a future observation, is a fundamental problem in statistics. Prediction sets with coverage probability guarantees are a common solution, but these do not provide…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-22 Leonardo Cella , Ryan Martin

In this work a satisfactory, simple theoretical prediction of the data corresponding to observationally (by fine tuning condition) estimated value of the cosmological constant is given. It is supposed (in conceptually analogy with…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2007-12-27 Vladan Pankovic , Simo Ciganovic , Jovan Ivanovic , Rade Glavatovic , Petar Grujic

I explain the difficulty of making various concepts of and relating to probability precise, rigorous and physically significant when attempting to apply them in reasoning about objects (e.g., spacetimes) living in infinite-dimensional…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2015-09-08 Erik Curiel

We apply the principles of quantum mechanics and quantum cosmology to predict probabilities for our local observations of a universe undergoing false vacuum eternal inflation. At a sufficiently fine-grained level, histories of the universe…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2018-01-18 James Hartle , Thomas Hertog

Probabilistic time series forecasting involves estimating the distribution of future based on its history, which is essential for risk management in downstream decision-making. We propose a deep state space model for probabilistic time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-02 Longyuan Li , Junchi Yan , Xiaokang Yang , Yaohui Jin

We discuss the use of galaxies to trace the large-scale structure of the universe and thereby to make cosmological inferences. We put special emphasis on our lack of knowledge about the relative distribution of galaxies and the dynamically…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Michael A. Strauss , Michael Blanton

Consider bivariate observations $(X_1,Y_1), \ldots, (X_n,Y_n) \in \mathbb{R}\times \mathbb{R}$ with unknown conditional distributions $Q_x$ of $Y$, given that $X = x$. The goal is to estimate these distributions under the sole assumption…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-31 Alexandre Mösching , Lutz Duembgen

In the framework of the Gibbs statistical theory, the question of the size of the particles forming the statistical system is investigated. This task is relevant for a wide variety of applications. The distribution for particle sizes and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-11-23 V. V. Ryazanov