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Diffusions are a successful technique to sample from high-dimensional distributions. The target distribution can be either explicitly given or learnt from a collection of samples. They implement a diffusion process whose endpoint is a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Andrea Montanari

The projected normal distribution, also known as the angular Gaussian distribution, is obtained by dividing a multivariate normal random variable $\mathbf{x}$ by its norm $\sqrt{\mathbf{x}^T \mathbf{x}}$. The resulting random variable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-24 Daniel Herrera-Esposito , Johannes Burge

In cosmology, we would like to explain our observations and predict future observations from theories of the entire universe. Such cosmological theories make ontological assumptions of what entities exist and what their properties and…

物理学史与哲学 · 物理学 2014-12-25 Don N. Page

We tackle the problem of conditioning probabilistic programs on distributions of observable variables. Probabilistic programs are usually conditioned on samples from the joint data distribution, which we refer to as deterministic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-09 David Tolpin , Yuan Zhou , Tom Rainforth , Hongseok Yang

A model is presented for the origin of the large scale structure of the universe and their Mass-Radius scaling law; a fractal power law, $M \propto R^D$, with dimension $D=2$, most significantly. The physics is conventional, orthodox, but…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2017-08-23 Norman E. Frankel

Conventional statistics begins with a model, and assigns a likelihood of obtaining any particular set of data. The opposite approach, beginning with the data and assigning a likelihood to any particular model, is explored here for the case…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-10-30 Timothy E. Holy

The development of science and technology has progressively demonstrated the ability of humankind to understand and manipulate the physical world, and it has also shown some fundamental limitations to predictability of physical events. This…

物理学史与哲学 · 物理学 2022-06-03 Ezequiel López-Rubio

We consider the properties of an ensemble of universes as function of size, where size is defined in terms of the asymptotic value of the Hubble constant (or, equivalently, the value of the cosmological constant). We assume that standard…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2009-11-07 James D. Bjorken

Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

One signature of an expanding universe is the time-variation of the cosmological abundances of its different components. For example, a radiation-dominated universe inevitably gives way to a matter-dominated universe, and critical moments…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2022-02-09 Keith R. Dienes , Lucien Heurtier , Fei Huang , Doojin Kim , Tim M. P. Tait , Brooks Thomas

Inspired by Christopher Alexanders conception of the world - space is not lifeless or neutral but a living structure involving far more small things than large ones a topological representation has been previously developed to characterize…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-09-04 Bin Jiang , Zheng Ren

The probabilities of point events in space 3 + 1 obey an equation of Dirac type. Masses, moments, energies, spins, etc. are the parameters of the probability distribution of such events. The terms and equations of quark-gluon theories turn…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2017-10-02 G. Quznetsov

The large-scale structure in cosmology is highly non-Gaussian at late times and small length scales, making it difficult to describe analytically. Parameter inference, data reconstruction, and data generation tasks in cosmology are greatly…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2024-02-13 Adam Rouhiainen

From the standpoint of theoretical physics we can treat Newtonian cosmology as a problem in nonlinear dynamics. The attempt to average the density, in search of a method of making contact between theory and observation, is replaced by the…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 J. L. McCauley

A mass ejection model in a time-dependent random environment with both temporal and spatial correlations is introduced. When the environment has a finite correlation length, individual particle trajectories are found to diffuse at large…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2012-03-28 Giorgio Krstulovic , Rehab Bitane , Jeremie Bec

How can probabilities make sense in a deterministic many-worlds theory? We address two facets of this problem: why should rational agents assign subjective probabilities to branching events, and why should branching events happen with…

量子物理 · 物理学 2019-03-26 Mateus Araújo

We consider a model of selective prediction, where the prediction algorithm is given a data sequence in an online fashion and asked to predict a pre-specified statistic of the upcoming data points. The algorithm is allowed to choose when to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-30 Mingda Qiao , Gregory Valiant

Imagine being shown $N$ samples of random variables drawn independently from the same distribution. What can you say about the distribution? In general, of course, the answer is nothing, unless we have some prior notions about what to…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-28 William Bialek , Curtis G. Callan , S. P. Strong

Majorisation, also called rearrangement inequalities, yields a type of stochastic ordering in which two or more distributions can be compared. In this paper we argue that majorisation is a good candidate as a theory for uncertainty. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-17 Victoria Volodina , Nikki Sonenberg , Edward Wheatcroft , Henry Wynn

We review briefly the concepts underlying complex systems and probability distributions. The later are often taken as the first quantitative characteristics of complex systems, allowing one to detect the possible occurrence of regularities…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-07-17 D. Sornette