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We propose a type-dependent branching model with mutation and competition for modeling phylogenies of a virus population. The competition kernel depends for any two virus particles on the particles' types, the total mass of the population…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-10 Sandra Kliem , Anita Winter

We consider a branching random walk in the non-boundary case where the additive martingale $W_n$ converges a.s. and in mean to some non-degenerate limit $W_\infty$. We first establish the joint tail distribution of $W_\infty$ and the global…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-23 Xinxin Chen , Loïc de Raphélis , Heng Ma

In this paper we initiate the theory of Crump-Mode-Jagers branching processes (BP) in the setting where no Malthusian parameter exist, i.e., the process grows faster than exponential. A Crump-Mode-Jagers BP is a branching process (in…

概率论 · 数学 2016-02-05 Julia Komjathy

Threshold-type counts based on multivariate occupancy models with log concave marginals admit bounded size biased couplings under weak conditions, leading to new concentration of measure results for random graphs, germ-grain models in…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-25 Jay Bartroff , Larry Goldstein , Ümit Işlak

We study the phenomenon of explosion in general (Crump-Mode-Jagers) branching processes, which refers to the event where an infinite number of individuals are born in finite time. In a critical setting where the expected number of immediate…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Gerold Alsmeyer , Konrad Kolesko , Matthias Meiners , Jakob Stonner

We establish nonuniform Berry-Esseen bounds for martingales under the conditional Bernstein condition. These bounds imply Cram\'er type large deviations for moderate $x$'s, and are of exponential decay rate as de la Pe\~na's inequality when…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-03 Xiequan Fan , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

In this paper, we provide a pathwise spine decomposition for multitype superdiffusions with non-local branching mechanisms under a martingale change of measure. As an application of this decomposition, we obtain a necessary and sufficient…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-29 Zhen-Qing Chen , Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song

We establish a Law of Large Numbers and a Central Limit Theorem for a class of Crump Mode Jagers continuous time branching processes, where the birth rate is age dependent, and also random (different from one individual to the next), in the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-19 Ibrahima Dramé , Etienne Pardoux

We present a model for growth in a multi-species population. We consider two types evolving as a logistic branching process with mutation, where one of the types has a selective advantage, and are interested in the regime in which the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-18 Marta Dai Pra , Julian Kern

In this paper, we give sufficient conditions for a Crump-Mode-Jagers process to be bounded in $L_k$ for a given $k>1$. This result is then applied to a recent random graph process motivated by pairwise collaborations and driven by…

概率论 · 数学 2019-05-09 Tamás F. Móri , Sándor Rokob

In this paper we consider the unique nonnegative solution to the following generalized version of the stochastic differential equation for a continuous-state branching process. \beqnn X_t \ar=\ar x+\int_0^t\gamma_0(X_s)\dd…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-18 Pei-Sen Li , Xu Yang , Xiaowen Zhou

We study the long-term behavior of weighted multi-type branching processes, focusing on extending classical laws of large numbers and martingale convergence to settings with infinitely many weighted particles, arbitrary type spaces and…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-09 Denis Villemonais , Nicolas Zalduendo

In this short note, we provide an explicit sufficient condition for non-explosion of Crump--Mode--Jagers branching processes with pure birth reproduction. It shows that the standard sufficient condition for explosion, namely the convergence…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-13 Oleksii Galganov , Andrii Ilienko

Let $(Z_n)$ be a supercritical branching process in a random environment $\xi$. We study the convergence rates of the martingale $W_n = Z_n/ E[Z_n| \xi]$ to its limit $W$. The following results about the convergence almost sur (a.s.), in…

概率论 · 数学 2013-02-19 Chunmao Huang , Quansheng Liu

We consider a stationary continuous model of random size population with non-neutral mutations using a continuous state branching process with non-homogeneous immigration. We assume the type (or mutation) of the immigrants is random given…

概率论 · 数学 2013-07-26 Hongwei Bi , Jean-François Delmas

Recent methods have been developed to map single-cell lineage statistics to population growth. Because population growth selects for exponentially rare phenotypes, these methods inherently depend on sampling large deviations from finite…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-01-16 Trevor GrandPre , Ethan Levien , Ariel Amir

In this work we construct individual-based models that give rise to the generalized logistic model at the mean-field deterministic level and that allow us to interpret the parameters of these models in terms of individual interactions. We…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-09-13 Vicenc Mendez , Michael Assaf , Werner Horsthemke , Daniel Campos

A multi-type branching process is defined as a random tree with labeled vertices, where each vertex produces offspring independently according to the same multivariate probability distribution. We demonstrate that in realizations of the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-31 Jochem Hoogendijk , Ivan Kryven , Rik Versendaal

Infinite sums of i.i.d. random variables discounted by a multiplicative random walk are called perpetuities and have been studied by many authors. The present paper provides a log-type moment result for such random variables under minimal…

概率论 · 数学 2008-04-08 Gerold Alsmeyer , Alexander Iksanov

Suppose that $X=(X_{t})_{t\ge 0}$ is either a general supercritical non-local branching Markov process, or a general supercritical non-local superprocess, on a Luzin space. Here, by ``supercritical" we mean that the mean semigroup of $X$…

概率论 · 数学 2025-09-17 Haojie Hou , Ting Yang