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Drawdowns measuring the decline in value from the historical running maxima over a given period of time, are considered as extremal events from the standpoint of risk management. To date, research on the topic has mainly focus on the side…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2016-03-11 David Landriault , Bin Li , Hongzhong Zhang

The drawdown process of an one-dimensional regular diffusion process $X$ is given by $X$ reflected at its running maximum. The drawup process is given by $X$ reflected at its running minimum. We calculate the probability that a drawdown…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-11 Hongzhong Zhang

In this paper we give excursion theoretical proofs of Lehoczky's formula (in an extended form allowing a lower bound for the underlying diffusion) for the joint distribution of the first drawdown time and the maximum before this time, and…

概率论 · 数学 2024-11-28 Paavo Salminen , Pierre Vallois

First, we give a closed-form formula for first passage time of a reflected Brownian motion with drift. This modifies a formula by Perry et al (2004). Second, we show that the maximum before a fixed drawdown is exponentially distributed for…

概率论 · 数学 2021-01-12 Eberhard Mayerhofer

Systems switching between different dynamical phases is an ubiquitous phenomenon. The general understanding of such a process is limited. To this end, we present a general expression that captures fluctuations of a system exhibiting a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-12-05 Ion Santra , Kristian Stølevik Olsen , Deepak Gupta

We consider a particle diffusing along the links of a general graph possessing some absorbing vertices. The particle, with a spatially-dependent diffusion constant D(x) is subjected to a drift U(x) that is defined in every point of each…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 O. Benichou , J. Desbois

Sub-diffusion equations are used in a large range of applications including fluids, plasma physics and biology. Their mathematical analysis is advanced even if a much larger literature addresses super-diffusions. The goal of this paper is…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2025-07-29 Benoît Perthame , Min Tang

Drawdown (resp. drawup) of a stochastic process, also referred as the reflected process at its supremum (resp. infimum), has wide applications in many areas including financial risk management, actuarial mathematics and statistics. In this…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2017-06-27 David Landriault , Bin Li , Hongzhong Zhang

The presented explanations are provided for the one--dimensional diffusion process with constant drift by using forward Fokker--Planck technique. We are interested in the outflow probability in a finite interval, i.e. first passage time…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-09-12 Julia Hinkel , Reinhard Mahnke

We give a proof of Lehoczky's drawdown formula for one-dimensional diffusion processes, using the Poisson structure of the excursions of the diffusion below its running maximum.

概率论 · 数学 2022-09-13 P. J. Fitzsimmons

In this paper we study a spectrally negative L\'{e}vy process that is reflected at its draw-down level whenever a draw-down time from the running supremum arrives. Using an excursion-theoretical approach, for such a reflected process we…

概率论 · 数学 2019-11-26 Wenyuan Wang , Xiaowen Zhou

We consider a Brownian motion on a general graph, that starts at time t=0 from some vertex O and stops at time t somewhere on the graph. Denoting by g the last time when O is reached, we establish a simple expression for the Laplace…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Jean Desbois , Olivier Benichou

For spectrally negative L\'evy processes, we prove several fluctuation results involving a general draw-down time, which is a downward exit time from a dynamic level that depends on the running maximum of the process. In particular, we find…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-17 Bo Li , Nhat Linh Vu , Xiaowen Zhou

Motivated by recent studies of record statistics in relation to strongly correlated time series, we consider explicitly the drawdown time of a Levy process, which is defined as the time since it last achieved its running maximum when…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-27 Richard J. Martin , Michael J. Kearney

In the paper "On Truncated Variation of Brownian Motion with Drift" (Bull. Pol. Acad. Sci. Math. 56 (2008), no.4, 267 - 281) we defined truncated variation of Brownian motion with drift, $W_t = B_t + \mu t, t\geq 0,$ where $(B_t)$ is a…

概率论 · 数学 2011-12-09 Rafał Łochowski

In this paper, we analyse some equity-linked contracts that are related to drawdown and drawup events based on assets governed by a geometric spectrally negative L\'evy process. Drawdown and drawup refer to the differences between the…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2018-02-20 Zbigniew Palmowski , Joanna Tumilewicz

We propose an approach to approximate the boundary crossing probabilities for general one-dimensional diffusion processes, and derive the convergence rate for this approximation scheme. There results are based on the explicit expression of…

概率论 · 数学 2015-10-28 Jinghai Shao , Liqun Wang

This paper studies the stochastic modeling of market drawdown events and the fair valuation of insurance contracts based on drawdowns. We model the asset drawdown process as the current relative distance from the historical maximum of the…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2016-03-11 Hongzhong Zhang , Tim Leung , Olympia Hadjiliadis

We derive expressions for the first three moments of the decision time (DT) distribution produced via first threshold crossings by sample paths of a drift-diffusion equation. The "pure" and "extended" diffusion processes are widely used to…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2016-01-26 Vaibhav Srivastava , Philip Holmes , Patrick Simen

In this paper we consider a (reflected) Brownian motion with broken drift hitting a random boundary. Some dedicated calculations allow us to obtain the formula on the joint Laplace transform of the hitting time and hitting position. These…

概率论 · 数学 2020-10-14 Zhenwen Zhao , Yuejuan Xi
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