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Two adaptive bandwidth selection methods for nonparametric estimators in locally stationary processes are proposed. We investigate a cross validation approach and a method based on contrast minimization and derive asymptotic properties of…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-28 Rainer Dahlhaus , Stefan Richter

In this paper we consider tests for nonlinear time series, which are motivated by the notion of serial dependence. The proposed tests are based on comparisons with the quantile spectral density, which can be considered as a quantile version…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-13 Junbum Lee , Suhasini Subba Rao

We provide a uniform law for the weak convergence of additive functionals of partial sum processes to the local times of linear fractional stable motions, in a setting sufficiently general for statistical applications. Our results are…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-02-02 James A. Duffy

A local linear kernel estimator of the regression function x\mapsto g(x):=E[Y_i|X_i=x], x\in R^d, of a stationary (d+1)-dimensional spatial process {(Y_i,X_i),i\in Z^N} observed over a rectangular domain of the form I_n:={i=(i_1,...,i_N)\in…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Marc Hallin , Zudi Lu , Lanh T. Tran

Accurate curve forecasting is of vital importance for policy planning, decision making and resource allocation in many engineering and industrial applications. In this paper we establish a theoretical foundation for the optimal short-term…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-19 Yan Cui , Zhou Zhou

We consider parameter inference for linear quantile regression with non-stationary predictors and errors, where the regression parameters are subject to inequality constraints. We show that the constrained quantile coefficient estimators…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-08 Yuan Sun , Zhou Zhou

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonplace in spatial statistics. Although many non-stationary models have been developed, there is arguably a lack of flexibility compared to equipping each location with its own parameters. However, the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-19 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

We consider the structural change in a class of discrete valued time series that the conditional distribution follows a one-parameter exponential family. We propose a change-point test based on the maximum likelihood estimator of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-03-01 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

We study the persistence in a class of continuous stochastic processes that are stationary only under integer shifts of time. We show that under certain conditions, the persistence of such a continuous process reduces to the persistence of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Satya N. Majumdar , Deepak Dhar

We consider an integer-valued time series $Y=(Y_t)_{t\in\Z}$ where the models after a time $k^*$ is Poisson autoregressive with the conditional mean that depends on a parameter $\theta^*\in\Theta\subset\R^d$. The structure of the process…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-05 William Kengne , Isidore Séraphin Ngongo

We study the asymptotic of the spectral distribution for large empirical covariance matrices composed of independent Multifractal Random Walk processes. The asymptotic is taken as the observation lag shrinks to 0. In this setting, we show…

概率论 · 数学 2012-06-26 Romain Allez , Rémi Rhodes , Vincent Vargas

Modeling univariate block maxima by the generalized extreme value distribution constitutes one of the most widely applied approaches in extreme value statistics. It has recently been found that, for an underlying stationary time series,…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-11-01 Axel Bücher , Leandra Zanger

Statistical inference for time series such as curve estimation for time-varying models or testing for existence of change-point have garnered significant attention. However, these works are generally restricted to the assumption of…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-08 Soham Bonnerjee , Sayar Karmakar , Wei Biao Wu

Identifying an appropriate covariance function is one of the primary interests in spatial and spatio-temporal statistics because it allows researchers to analyze the dependence structure of the random process. For this purpose, spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-04 Jongwook Kim , Chunfeng Huang , Nicholas Bussberg

Moving from univariate to bivariate jointly dependent long-memory time series introduces a phase parameter $(\gamma)$, at the frequency of principal interest, zero; for short-memory series $\gamma=0$ automatically. The latter case has also…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-11-07 P. M. Robinson

In this paper we consider multivariate Hawkes processes with baseline hazard and kernel functions that depend on time. This defines a class of locally stationary processes. We discuss estimation of the time-dependent baseline hazard and…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-07-17 Enno Mammen

We provide asymptotic results and develop high frequency statistical procedures for time-changed L\'evy processes sampled at random instants. The sampling times are given by first hitting times of symmetric barriers whose distance with…

概率论 · 数学 2010-07-20 Mathieu Rosenbaum , Peter Tankov

The Whittle likelihood is widely used for Bayesian nonparametric estimation of the spectral density of stationary time series. However, the loss of efficiency for non-Gaussian time series can be substantial. On the other hand, parametric…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-19 Claudia Kirch , Matthew C. Edwards , Alexander Meier , Renate Meyer

We estimate the parameter of a stationary time series process by minimizing the integrated weighted mean squared error between the empirical and simulated characteristic function, when the true characteristic functions cannot be explicitly…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-03 Richard A. Davis , Thiago do Rêgo Sousa , Claudia Klüppelberg

In the regression framework, the empirical measure based on the responses resulting from the nearest neighbors, among the covariates, to a given point $x$ is introduced and studied as a central statistical quantity. First, the associated…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-11 François Portier