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Confidence intervals based on the central limit theorem (CLT) are a cornerstone of classical statistics. Despite being only asymptotically valid, they are ubiquitous because they permit statistical inference under weak assumptions and can…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-15 Ian Waudby-Smith , David Arbour , Ritwik Sinha , Edward H. Kennedy , Aaditya Ramdas

We study nonasymptotic (finite-sample) confidence intervals for treatment effects in randomized experiments. In the existing literature, the effective sample sizes of nonasymptotic confidence intervals tend to be looser than the…

Frequentists' inference often delivers point estimators associated with confidence intervals or sets for parameters of interest. Constructing the confidence intervals or sets requires understanding the sampling distributions of the point…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-18 Xinran Li , Peng Ding

Inference on the conditional mean function (CMF) is central to tasks from adaptive experimentation to optimal treatment assignment and algorithmic fairness auditing. In this work, we provide a novel asymptotic anytime-valid test for a CMF…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Brian M Cho , Raaz Dwivedi , Nathan Kallus

Nonparametric two-stage procedures to construct fixed-width confidence intervals are studied to quantify uncertainty. It is shown that the validity of the random central limit theorem (RCLT) accompanied by a consistent and asymptotically…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-08 Yuan-Tsung Chang , Ansgar Steland

We derive a functional central limit theorem (fclt) for normalised sums of a function of the partial sums of independent and identically distributed random variables. In particular, we show, using a technique presented in Huang and Zhang…

概率论 · 数学 2015-05-21 Kamil Marcin Kosiński

When the study variable is functional and storage capacities are limited or transmission costs are high, selecting with survey sampling techniques a small fraction of the observations is an interesting alternative to signal compression…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-15 Hervé Cardot , Camelia Goga , Pauline Lardin

This paper examines the construction of confidence sets for parameters defined as linear functionals of a function of W and X whose conditional mean given Z and X equals the conditional mean of another variable Y given Z and X. Many…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-08 Ezequiel Smucler , James M. Robins , Andrea Rotnitzky

The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is one of the most fundamental results in statistics. It states that the standardized sample mean of a sequence of $n$ mutually independent and identically distributed random variables with finite first and…

Nonparametric regression problems with qualitative constraints such as monotonicity or convexity are ubiquitous in applications. For example, in predicting the yield of a factory in terms of the number of labor hours, the monotonicity of…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-11-21 Soham Mallick , Siddhaarth Sarkar , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

A classical problem in number theory is showing that the mean value of an arithmetic function is asymptotic to its mean value over a short interval or over an arithmetic progression, with the interval as short as possible or the modulus as…

数论 · 数学 2022-04-25 Ofir Gorodetsky

Given a functional central limit (fCLT) for an estimator and a parameter transformation, we construct random processes, called functional delta residuals, which asymptotically have the same covariance structure as the limit process of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-19 Fabian J. E. Telschow , Samuel Davenport , Armin Schwartzman

We consider noisy non-synchronous discrete observations of a continuous semimartingale with random volatility. Functional stable central limit theorems are established under high-frequency asymptotics in three setups: one-dimensional for…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-28 Randolf Altmeyer , Markus Bibinger

We consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals for nonparametric functional data analysis using empirical likelihood. In this doubly infinite-dimensional context, we demonstrate the Wilks's phenomenon and propose a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-04-07 Heng Lian

In this paper, we prove functional central limit theorems (FCLTs) for a stochastic epidemic model with varying infectivity and general infectious periods recently introduced in Forien, Pang and Pardoux (2020).The infectivity process (total…

概率论 · 数学 2022-09-13 Guodong Pang , Etienne Pardoux

We present a general methodology to construct triplewise independent sequences of random variables having a common but arbitrary marginal distribution $F$ (satisfying very mild conditions). For two specific sequences, we obtain in closed…

We provide analytic formulas for the standard error and confidence intervals for the F measures, based on a property of asymptotic normality in the large sample limit. The formula can be applied for sample size planning in order to achieve…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-01 Wenxin Jiang

In this paper, we establish a joint (bivariate) functional central limit theorem of the sample quantile and the $r$-th absolute centred sample moment for functionals of mixing processes. More precisely, we consider $L_2$-near epoch…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-21 Marcel Bräutigam , Marie Kratz

Methods were initiated by Mark Kac and Richard Feynman to evaluate random functionals of the form $\int^t_0V(X_s)ds$ for a nonnegative $V$ and a Markov process $X_t$. Their results evolved into the well known Feynman Kac formula.…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-22 Charles Hagwood

We prove a quenched functional central limit theorem (quenched FCLT) for the sums of a random field (r.f.) along a Z d-random walk in different frameworks: probabilistic (when the r.f. is i.i.d. or a moving average of i.i.d. random…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-04-27 Jean-Pierre Conze
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