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相关论文: On the least squares estimator in a nearly unstabl…

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We study the asymptotic behavior of the least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of bifurcating autoregressive processes. Under very weak assumptions on the driven noise of the process, namely conditional pair-wise independence…

概率论 · 数学 2009-06-29 Bernard Bercu , Benoite de Saporta , Anne Gegout-Petit

In this paper, we study finite-sample properties of the least squares estimator in first order autoregressive processes. By leveraging a result from decoupling theory, we derive upper bounds on the probability that the estimate deviates by…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-26 Rodrigo A. González , Cristian R. Rojas

This paper focuses on recursive estimation of time varying autoregressive processes in a nonparametric setting. The stability of the model is revisited and uniform results are provided when the time-varying autoregressive parameters belong…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Eric Moulines , Pierre Priouret , François Roueff

We investigate the estimation of parameters in the random coefficient autoregressive model. We consider a nonstationary RCA process and show that the innovation variance parameter cannot be estimated by the quasi-maximum likelihood method.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-03-03 Istvan Berkes , Lajos Horvath , Shiqing Ling

Least squares estimator of the stability parameter $\varrho := |\alpha| + |\beta|$ for a spatial unilateral autoregressive process $X_{k,\ell}=\alpha X_{k-1,\ell}+\beta X_{k,\ell-1}+\varepsilon_{k,\ell}$ is investigated. Asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-21 Sándor Baran , Gyula Pap , Kinga Sikolya

Here we develop a first order autoregressive model {Xn} that is marginally stationary where Xn is the sum/ extreme of k i.i.d observations. We prove that stationary solutions to these models are either semi-selfdecomposable/…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 S Satheesh , E Sandhya , S Sherly

We consider a family of multivariate autoregressive stochastic sequences that restart when hit a neighbourhood of the origin, and study their distributional limits when the autoregressive coefficient tends to one, the noise scaling…

概率论 · 数学 2020-11-20 Sergey Foss , Matthias Schulte

We prove mixing convergence of the least squares estimator of autoregressive parameters for supercritical autoregressive processes of order 2 with Gaussian innovations having real characteristic roots with different absolute values. We use…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-16 Matyas Barczy , Fanni Nedényi , Gyula Pap

We study the asymptotic behavior of the weighted least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of bifurcating integer-valued autoregressive processes. Under suitable assumptions on the immigration, we establish the almost sure…

概率论 · 数学 2012-02-03 Vassili Blandin

In this paper the asymptotic behavior of the conditional least squares estimators of the autoregressive parameters $(\alpha,\beta)$, of the stability parameter $\varrho := \alpha + \beta$, and of the mean $\mu$ of the innovation $\vare_k$,…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-25 Matyas Barczy , Marton Ispany , Gyula Pap

We investigate the asymptotic behavior of the least squares estimator of the unknown parameters of random coefficient bifurcating autoregressive processes. Under suitable assumptions on inherited and environmental effects, we establish the…

概率论 · 数学 2012-10-23 Bernard Bercu , Vassili Blandin

In this contribution we introduce weakly locally stationary time series through the local approximation of the non-stationary covariance structure by a stationary one. This allows us to define autoregression coefficients in a non-stationary…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-16 François Roueff , Andres Sanchez-Perez

In this article, we study the limit distribution of the least square estimator, properly normalized, from a regression model in which observations are assumed to be finite ($\alpha N$) and sampled under two different random times. Based on…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-17 Tania Roa , Soledad Torres , Ciprian tudor

In this paper we derive the asymptotic properties of the least squares estimator (LSE) of autoregressive moving-average (ARMA) models with regime changes under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent.…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-07-11 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Landy Rabehasaina

This paper considers nonparametric estimation and inference in first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) models with deterministically time-varying parameters. A key feature of the proposed approach is to allow for time-varying stationarity in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-04 Donald W. K. Andrews , Ming Li

A novel first-order autoregressive moving average model for analyzing discrete-time series observed at irregularly spaced times is introduced. Under Gaussianity, it is established that the model is strictly stationary and ergodic. In the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-31 Cesar Ojeda , Wilfredo Palma , Susana Eyheramendy , Felipe Elorrieta

We study a least squares estimator for an unknown parameter in the drift coefficient of a path- distribution dependent stochastic differential equation involving a small dispersion parameter epsilon greater than zero. The estimator, based…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-06 Panpan Ren , Jiang-Lun Wu

In this paper the asymptotic behavior of conditional least squares estimators of the autoregressive parameter for nonprimitive unstable integer-valued autoregressive models of order 2 (INAR(2)) is described.

统计理论 · 数学 2010-06-25 Matyas Barczy , Marton Ispany , Gyula Pap

Additive regression models are actively researched in the statistical field because of their usefulness in the analysis of responses determined by non-linear relationships with multivariate predictors. In this kind of statistical models,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-10 German A. Schnaidt Grez , Brani Vidakovic

This paper considers non-negative integer-valued autoregressive processes where the autoregression parameter is close to unity. We consider the asymptotics of this `near unit root' situation. The local asymptotic structure of the likelihood…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-06-12 Feike C. Drost , Ramon van den Akker , Bas J. M. Werker