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The study of epidemiological systems has generated deep interest in exploring the dynamical complexity of common infectious diseases driven by seasonally varying contact rates. Mathematical modeling and field observations have shown that,…

Network-based interventions against epidemic spread are most powerful when the full network structure is known. However, in practice, resource constraints require decisions to be made based on partial network information. We investigated…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-03-19 Yingrui Yang , Ashley McKhann , Sixing Chen , Guy Harling , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

One of the most effective strategies to mitigate the global spreading of a pandemic (e.g., COVID-19) is to shut down international airports. From a network theory perspective, this is since international airports and flights, essentially…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-10-24 Jing Ma , Xiangyi Meng , Lidia A. Braunstein

We introduce a new method to efficiently approximate the number of infections resulting from a given initially-infected node in a network of susceptible individuals. Our approach is based on counting the number of possible infection walks…

生物物理 · 物理学 2012-10-25 Frank Bauer , Joseph T. Lizier

The spread of certain diseases can be promoted, in some cases substantially, by prior infection with another disease. One example is that of HIV, whose immunosuppressant effects significantly increase the chances of infection with other…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-08-04 M. E. J. Newman , C. R. Ferrario

Vaccination and outbreak monitoring are essential tools for preventing and minimizing outbreaks of infectious diseases. Targeted strategies, where the individuals most important for monitoring or preventing outbreaks are selected for…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-03-04 Enys Mones , Arkadiusz Stopczynski , Alex Pentland , Nathaniel Hupert , Sune Lehmann

Epidemic models currently play a central role in our attempts to understand and control infectious diseases. Here, we derive a model for the diffusion limit of stochastic susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) epidemic dynamics on a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-09-30 Matthew Graham , Thomas House

Spreading processes represent a very efficient tool to investigate the structural properties of networks and the relative importance of their constituents, and have been widely used to this aim in static networks. Here we consider simple…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-09-11 Michele Starnini , Anna Machens , Ciro Cattuto , Alain Barrat , Romualdo Pastor Satorras

The ability to actually implement epidemic models is a crucial stake for public institutions, as they may be overtaken by the increasing complexity of current models and sometimes tend to revert to less elaborate models such as the SIR. In…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-12-19 Louis Bremaud , Olivier Giraud , Denis Ullmo

We consider a behavioral-feedback SIR epidemic model, in which the infection rate depends in feedback on the fractions of susceptible and infected agents, respectively. The considered model allows one to account for endogenous adaptation…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-11 Martina Alutto , Leonardo Cianfanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani , Francesca Parise

Complex networks with pairwise connections have been vastly used for the modeling of interactions within systems. Although these type of models are capable to capture rich structures and different phases within a great variety of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-09-14 Gerardo Palafox-Castillo , Arturo Berrones-Santos

Contagious respiratory diseases, such as COVID-19, depend on sufficiently prolonged exposures for the successful transmission of the underlying pathogen. It is important for organizations to evaluate the efficacy of interventions aiming at…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-08-26 Chathika Gunaratne , Rene Reyes , Erik Hemberg , Una-May O'Reilly

In previous work, we developed the scaled SIS process, which models the dynamics of SIS epidemics over networks. With the scaled SIS process, we can consider networks that are finite-sized and of arbitrary topology (i.e., we are not…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2014-10-10 June Zhang , José M. F. Moura

To provide a comprehensive view for dynamics of and on many real-world temporal networks, we investigate the interplay of temporal connectivity patterns and spreading phenomena, in terms of the susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model on…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-07-23 Hyewon Kim , Meesoon Ha , Hawoong Jeong

Modeling epidemic dynamics plays an important role in studying how diseases spread, predicting their future course, and designing strategies to control them. In this letter, we introduce a model of SIR (susceptible-infected-removed) type…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-12-17 Li Chen , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Weiran Cai , Peter Grassberger

This paper introduces a theoretical framework for the analysis and control of the stochastic susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) spreading process over a network of heterogeneous agents. In our analysis, we analyze the exact networked Markov…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-03-19 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

With the premise that social interactions are described by power-law distributions, we study a SIR stochastic dynamic on a static scale-free random network generated via configuration model. We verify our model with respect to deterministic…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-05-10 Sara Sottile , Ozan Kahramanoğulları , Mattia Sensi

Disease spreading through human travel networks has been a topic of great interest in recent years, as witnessed during outbreaks of influenza A (H1N1) or SARS pandemics. One way to stop spreading over the airline network are travel…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-05-16 Jose Marcelino , Marcus Kaiser

We extend the classical Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model to a network-based framework where the degree distribution of nodes follows a Poisson distribution. This extension incorporates an additional parameter representing the mean…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-01-03 Josephine K. Wairimu , Andrew Gothard , Grzegorz A. Rempala

Infectious diseases typically spread over a contact network with millions of individuals, whose sheer size is a tremendous challenge to analysing and controlling an epidemic outbreak. For some contact networks, it is possible to group…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-07-23 Bastian Prasse , Karel Devriendt , Piet Van Mieghem