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In this thesis, a Bayes linear methodology for the adjustment of covariance matrices is presented and discussed. A geometric framework for quantifying uncertainties about covariance matrices is set up, and an inner-product for spaces of…

bayes-an · 物理学 2016-08-31 Darren J Wilkinson

Random shifting typically appears in credibility models whereas random scaling is often encountered in stochastic models for claim sizes reflecting the time-value property of money. In this article we discuss some aspects of random shifting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-08 Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

Modern datasets are often in the form of matrices or arrays,potentially having correlations along each set of data indices. For example, data involving repeated measurements of several variables over time may exhibit temporal correlation as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-08-13 Peter D. Hoff

Large language models with a huge number of parameters, when trained on near internet-sized number of tokens, have been empirically shown to obey neural scaling laws: specifically, their performance behaves predictably as a power law in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-01 Alexander Maloney , Daniel A. Roberts , James Sully

The Matern family of covariance functions is currently the most commonly used for the analysis of geostatistical data due to its ability to describe different smoothness behaviors. Yet, in many applications the smoothness parameter is set…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-08-30 Victor De Oliveira , Zifei Han

This paper introduces a matrix-variate regression model for analyzing multivariate data observed across spatial locations and over time. The model's design incorporates a mean structure that links covariates to the response matrix and a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-07 Carlos A. Ribeiro Diniz , Victor E. Lachos Olivares , Victor H. Lachos Davila

Random features (RFs) are a popular technique to scale up kernel methods in machine learning, replacing exact kernel evaluations with stochastic Monte Carlo estimates. They underpin models as diverse as efficient transformers (by…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-04 Isaac Reid , Stratis Markou , Krzysztof Choromanski , Richard E. Turner , Adrian Weller

Structural models that admit multiple reduced forms, such as game-theoretic models with multiple equilibria, pose challenges in practice, especially when parameters are set-identified and the identified set is large. In such cases,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-01-29 Nathan Canen , Kyungchul Song

We investigate stochastic processes possessing scale invariance properties which we refer to as multifractal processes. The examples of such processes known so far do not go much beyond the original cascade construction of Mandelbrot. We…

概率论 · 数学 2020-03-23 Danijel Grahovac

Multivariate Distributions are needed to capture the correlation structure of complex systems. In previous works, we developed a Random Matrix Model for such correlated multivariate joint probability density functions that accounts for the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-12-02 Anton J. Heckens , Efstratios Manolakis , Cedric Schuhmann , Thomas Guhr

A useful approach for analysing multiple time series is via characterising their spectral density matrix as the frequency domain analog of the covariance matrix. When the dimension of the time series is large compared to their length,…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-29 Mark Fiecas , Chenlei Leng , Weidong Liu , Yi Yu

This paper considers a novel problem, bi-level graphical modeling, in which multiple individual graphical models can be considered as variants of a common group-level graphical model and inference of both the group- and individual-level…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-12 Lin Zhang , Andrew DiLernia , Karina Quevedo , Jazmin Camchong , Kelvin Lim , Wei Pan1

Fractals and multifractals and their associated scaling laws provide a quantification of the complexity of a variety of scale invariant complex systems. Here, we focus on lattice multifractals which exhibit complex exponents associated with…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-04-14 W. -X. Zhou , D. Sornette

Modeling and forecasting covariance matrices of asset returns play a crucial role in finance. The availability of high frequency intraday data enables the modeling of the realized covariance matrix directly. However, most models in the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-04-15 Keren Shen , Jianfeng Yao , Wai Keung Li

This paper reviews some of the phenomenological models which have been introduced to incorporate the scaling properties of financial data. It also illustrates a microscopic model, based on heterogeneous interacting agents, which provides a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Giulia Iori

Multivariate time-series forecasting holds immense value across diverse applications, requiring methods to effectively capture complex temporal and inter-variable dynamics. A key challenge lies in uncovering the intrinsic patterns that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-12 Liang Yu , Lai Tu , Xiang Bai

The scaling properties of the time series of asset prices and trading volumes of stock markets are analysed. It is shown that similarly to the asset prices, the trading volume data obey multi-scaling length-distribution of low-variability…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Robert Kitt , Jaan Kalda

Statistical Topology emerged since topological aspects continue to gain importance in many areas of physics. It is most desirable to study topological invariants and their statistics in schematic models that facilitate the identification of…

数学物理 · 物理学 2023-03-22 Thomas Guhr

Random graphs are more and more used for modeling real world networks such as evolutionary networks of proteins. For this purpose we look at two different models and analyze how properties like connectedness and degree distributions are…

概率论 · 数学 2019-02-05 Klemens Taglieber , Uta Freiberg

We describe a new method that is both physically explicable and quantitatively accurate in describing the multifractal characteristics of intermittent events based on groupings of rank-ordered fluctuations. The generic nature of such…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-06-23 Tom Chang , Cheng-chin Wu