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This note proves a law of large numbers for predicting several steps ahead, which, in the case of uniformly bounded random variables, generalizes the standard law of large numbers for martingales; the standard law of large numbers…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-14 Vladimir Vovk

Suppose you look at today's stock prices and bet on the value of the first digit. One could guess that a fair bet should correspond to the frequency of $1/9 = 11.11%$ for each digit from 1 to 9. This is by no means the case, and one can…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 L. Pietronero , E. Tosatti , V. Tosatti , A. Vespignani

For a sample of absolutely bounded i.i.d. random variables with a continuous density the cumulative distribution function of the sample variance is represented by a univariate integral over a Fourier series. If the density is a polynomial…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-10-10 T. Royen

Motivated by giving a meaning to "The probability that a random integer has initial digit d", we define a URI-set as a random set E of natural integers such that each n>0 belongs to E with probability 1/n, independently of other integers.…

概率论 · 数学 2012-11-20 Élise Janvresse , Thierry De La Rue

Estimates are constructed for the deviation of the concentration functions of sums of independent random variables with finite variances from the folded normal distribution function without any assumptions concerning the existence of the…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-11 V. Yu. Korolev , A. V. Dorofeeva

In this paper, we are concerned with multivariate Gegenbauer approximation of functions defined in the $d$-dimensional hypercube. Two new and sharper bounds for the coefficients of multivariate Gegenbauer expansion of analytic functions are…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-04-03 Haiyong Wang , Lun Zhang

We derive refined entropy upper bounds for $q$-ary $B_2$ codes by exploiting the Fourier structure of the i.i.d. difference distribution $D=X-Y$. Since the pmf of $D$ is an autocorrelation, its Fourier series is a nonnegative trigonometric…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-04-01 Stefano Della Fiore

In applied probability, the normal approximation is often used for the distribution of data with assumed additive structure. This tradition is based on the central limit theorem for sums of (independent) random variables. However, it is…

概率论 · 数学 2020-10-27 Alexandra Dorofeeva , Victor Korolev , Alexander Zeifman

This paper presents a saddlepoint approximation of the random-coding union bound of Polyanskiy et al. for i.i.d. random coding over discrete memoryless channels. The approximation is single-letter, and can thus be computed efficiently.…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2014-04-28 Jonathan Scarlett , Alfonso Martinez , Albert Guillén i Fàbregas

We give a high precision polynomial-time approximation scheme for the supremum of any honest n-variate (n+2)-nomial with a constant term, allowing real exponents as well as real coefficients. Our complexity bounds count field operations and…

代数几何 · 数学 2010-11-09 Philippe Pebay , J. Maurice Rojas , David C. Thompson

The occurrence of first significant digits of numbers in large data is often governed by a logarithmically decreasing distribution called Benford's law (BL), reported first by S. Newcomb (SN) and many decades later independently by F.…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2016-03-22 Tariq Ahmad Mir

We consider the spectral radius of a large random matrix $X$ with independent, identically distributed entries. We show that its typical size is given by a precise three-term asymptotics with an optimal error term beyond the radius of the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-03-05 Giorgio Cipolloni , László Erdős , Yuanyuan Xu

The Newcomb-Benford Law, which is also called the first digit phenomenon, has applications in diverse phenomena ranging from social and computer networks, engineering systems, natural sciences, and accounting. In forensics, it has been used…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-06-19 Subhash Kak

In a recent preprint on arXiv Roland Bacher showed that the number $p_d$ of non-similar perfect $d$-dimensional quadratic forms satisfies $e^{\Omega(d)} < p_d < e^{O(d^3\log(d))}$. We improve the upper bound to $e^{O(d^2\log(d))}$ by a…

数论 · 数学 2020-11-17 Wessel P. J. van Woerden

For a large class of quickly mixing dynamical systems, we prove that the error in the almost sure approximation with a Brownian motion is of order O((log n)^a) with a $\ge$ 2. Specifically, we consider nonuniformly expanding maps with…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-26 C Cuny , J Dedecker , A Korepanov , Florence Merlevède

Let $\mathcal{I} \subset \mathbb{N}$ be an infinite subset, and let $\{a_i\}_{i \in \mathcal{I}}$ be a sequence of nonzero real numbers indexed by $\mathcal{I}$ such that there exist positive constants $m, C_1$ for which $|a_i| \leq C_1…

数论 · 数学 2023-10-03 Evan Chen , Peter S. Park , Ashvin Swaminathan

There are now many theoretical explanations for why Benford's law of digit bias surfaces in so many diverse fields and data sets. After briefly reviewing some of these, we discuss in depth recurrence relations. As these are discrete…

概率论 · 数学 2019-11-22 Madeleine Farris , Noah Luntzlara , Steven J. Miller , Lily Shao , Mengxi Wang

The study of finite approximations of probability measures has a long history. In (Xu and Berger, 2017), the authors focus on constrained finite approximations and, in particular, uniform ones in dimension $d=1$. The present paper gives an…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-10 Julien Chevallier

We show that the frequency distribution of the first significant digits of the numbers in the data sets generated from a large class of measures of quantum correlations, which are either entanglement measures, or belong to the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2016-07-28 Titas Chanda , Tamoghna Das , Debasis Sadhukhan , Amit Kumar Pal , Aditi Sen De , Ujjwal Sen

Let $(X_n)_{n\in \mathbb{N}}$ be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables with distribution $\mathbb P(X_1=1)=\mathbb P(X_1=-1)=1/2$. Let $F(\sigma)=\sum_{n=1}^\infty X_nn^{-\sigma}$. We prove that the following holds almost surely…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-14 Marco Aymone , Susana Frómeta , Ricardo Misturini