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I propose a new volume-weighted probability measure for cosmological "multiverse" scenarios involving eternal inflation. The "reheating-volume (RV) cutoff" calculates the distribution of observable quantities on a portion of the reheating…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2008-11-26 Sergei Winitzki

Models of inflationary cosmology can lead to variation of observable parameters ("constants of Nature") on extremely large scales. The question of making probabilistic predictions for today's observables in such models has been investigated…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2008-11-26 Vitaly Vanchurin , Alexander Vilenkin , Serge Winitzki

In recent literature on eternal inflation, a number of measures have been introduced which attempt to assign probabilities to different pocket universes by counting the number of each type of pocket according to a specific procedure. We…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2008-11-26 Anthony Aguirre , Steven Gratton , Matthew C Johnson

Eternally inflating universes can contain large thermalized regions with different values of the constants of Nature and with different density fluctuation spectra. To find the probability for a `typical' observer to detect a certain set of…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2009-10-28 Alexander Vilenkin

An eternally inflating universe produces an infinite amount of spatial volume, so every possible event happens an infinite number of times, and it is impossible to define probabilities in terms of frequencies. This problem is usually…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2013-05-30 Ken D. Olum

We consider the cosmological dynamics associated with volume weighted measures of eternal inflation, in the Bousso-Polchinski model of the string theory landscape. We find that this measure predicts that observers are most likely to find…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2008-11-26 Timothy Clifton , Stephen Shenker , Navin Sivanandam

Probabilities in eternal inflation are traditionally defined as limiting frequency distributions, but a unique and unambiguous probability measure remains elusive. In this paper, we present a different approach, based on Bayesian reasoning.…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2023-07-19 Justin Khoury , Sam S. C. Wong

We consider the long standing puzzle of how to obtain meaningful probabilities in eternal inflation. We demonstrate a new algorithm to compute the probability distribution of pocket universe types, given a multivacua inflationary potential.…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2011-01-20 Richard Easther , Eugene A. Lim , Matthew R. Martin

In the context of eternal inflation, cosmological predictions depend on the choice of measure to regulate the diverging spacetime volume. The spectrum of inflationary perturbations is no exception, as we demonstrate by comparing the…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2015-06-04 Michael P. Salem

I address some recently raised issues regarding the time-parametrization dependence in stochastic descriptions of eternal inflation. To clarify the role of the choice of the time gauge, I show examples of gauge-dependent as well as…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Sergei Winitzki

We discuss eternal inflation in context of classical probability spaces defined by a triplet: sample space, $\sigma$-algebra and probability measure. We show that the measure problem is caused by the countable additivity axiom applied to…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2016-03-29 Vitaly Vanchurin

The recently proposed "reheating-volume" (RV) measure promises to solve the long-standing problem of extracting probabilistic predictions from cosmological "multiverse" scenarios involving eternal inflation. I give a detailed description of…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2009-02-20 Sergei Winitzki

In the global description of eternal inflation, probabilities for vacua are notoriously ambiguous. The local point of view is preferred by holography and naturally picks out a simple probability measure. It is insensitive to large expansion…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2008-11-26 Raphael Bousso

I derive the stochastic equation for the perturbations of the metric for a gauge - invariant energy - momemtum - tensor (EMT) in stochastic inflation. A quantization for the field that describes the gauge - invariant perturbations for the…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Mauricio Bellini

The definition of probabilities in eternally inflating universes requires a measure to regulate the infinite spacetime volume, and much of the current literature uses a global time cutoff for this purpose. Such measures have been found to…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2011-08-04 Alan H. Guth , Vitaly Vanchurin

``Constants of Nature'' and cosmological parameters may in fact be variables related to some slowly-varying fields. In models of eternal inflation, such fields will take different values in different parts of the universe. Here I show how…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Alexander Vilenkin

I review recent progress in defining a probability measure in the inflationary multiverse. General requirements for a satisfactory measure are formulated and recent proposals for the measure are clarified and discussed.

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2008-11-26 Alexander Vilenkin

It has been widely claimed that inflation is generically eternal to the future, even in models where the inflaton potential monotonically increases away from its minimum. The idea is that quantum fluctuations allow the field to jump uphill,…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Steven Gratton , Neil Turok

Eternal inflation is a seemingly generic consequence of theories that give rise to accelerated expansion of the universe and possess multiple vacuum states. Making predictions in an eternally inflating universe is notoriously difficult…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2013-05-30 Matthew C. Johnson , Jean-Luc Lehners

We establish convergence to an invariant measure as time tends to infinity, for a large class of (possibly non-Markovian) stochastic volatility models. Our arguments are based on a novel coupling idea for Markov chains which also extends to…

概率论 · 数学 2021-08-30 Balázs Gerencsér , Miklós Rásonyi
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