综合经济学
We estimate long-run effects of Cuba's 1961 National Health Service and contemporaneous National Literacy Campaign using synthetic-control methods on newly assembled series for 21 former European colonies in the Americas, 1900--2022.…
Artificial intelligence feels omnipresent, yet the disruption many expect has not fully arrived. The main reason is not model capability, nor even the tools built to harness those models. Rather, most organizations are still using AI to…
The 2022 rise in U.S. mortgage rates increased relocation costs for homeowners with low-rate mortgages. This cost varies across destinations because each draws workers from a different mix of labor markets. We build an in-migration…
Social inflation, which is the rise in liability claim costs beyond general economic inflation, has become a major concern for insurers and reinsurers, yet it is difficult to quantify because litigation outcomes are heavy-tailed and the mix…
Behavioral theories rest on parsimony: a small number of mechanisms organizing many decisions. We define a Maximum Rule Concentration Index that measures how parsimoniously a dataset of risky choices can be organized through a library of…
Early evaluations of NYC's congestion pricing program indicate overall improvements in vehicle speed and transit ridership. However, its distributional impacts remain understudied, as does the design of compensatory transit strategies…
We provide a mechanistic foundation for economic complexity methods. In our model, an economy's ability to produce an activity depends on the joint presence of required capabilities. We analytically derive the Economic Complexity Index…
The present paper investigates how insiders strategically navigate ongoing legal risk while leveraging stealth trading within a continuous-time Kyle-type framework. Legal enforcement operates concurrently with trading, which dynamic can be…
Researchers have started using LLM agents in place of human subjects in behavioural and political-science experiments, often as a cheaper substitute for laboratory pools. The substitution does not hold up in strategic settings: humans and…
Mandatory waiting periods have been instituted for medical procedures, gun purchases, and other high-stakes decisions. Are these softly paternalistic policies substitutes for harder restrictions, and are delayed decisions more respected? In…
How informative are job ads about the actual pay and non-pay attributes offered by employers? Using a comprehensive database of job ads posted by Norwegian employers, we develop a methodology to systematically classify the pay and non-pay…
The energy sector is a cornerstone of national strategic autonomy, yet its increasing financialization has transformed ownership structures into complex networked configurations. This paper investigates the distribution of economic power in…
We study whether adoption of an AI coding assistant causally expands the technological frontier of individual software developers. We exploit the staggered rollout of Claude Code across GitHub between May 2025 and January 2026 in a panel of…
Emergency departments (EDs) often use a shared-queue setup in which physicians self-assign cases from a pool of triaged patients. We conduct a multi-method study to examine this self-assignment behavior and its effects on system…
This paper studies the effectiveness and incidence of the renewable energy Investment and Production Tax Credits. I leverage new geographical variation in these credits, introduced by the Inflation Reduction Act, to test whether renewable…
Introduction. The high prevalence of students not achieving basic learning competencies in Latin America (LAC) is concerning, even more so considering the region's deep structural inequalities and the larger post-pandemic learning losses.…
This paper introduces an economic framework to assess optimal longevity risk transfers between institutions, focusing on the interactions between a buyer exposed to long-term longevity risk and a seller offering longevity protection. While…
We study how TikTok affects demand for music on paid streaming platforms. We use Universal Music Group's (UMG) global withdrawal of its catalog from TikTok as a quasi-natural experiment. Recent work using this setting reaches mixed…
Decision support methods from operations research are widely used to support complex planning decisions. Within the energy sector, energy system models (ESMs) applying modelling to generate alternatives (MGA) generate large sets of…
Investment in renewable electricity generation is highly capital intensive and therefore strongly dependent on financing conditions. In Europe, much of this investment has occurred under public support schemes that resemble long-term public…