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In this article we look at stochastic processes with uncertain parameters, and consider different ways in which information is obtained when carrying out observations. For example we focus on the case of a the random evolution of a traded…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2024-07-08 Will Hicks

Sticky Brownian motions, as time-changed semimartingale reflecting Brownian motions, have various applications in many fields, including queuing theory and mathematical finance. In this paper, we are concerned about the stationary…

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-24 Hongshuai Dai , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

Understanding how stochastic and non-linear deterministic processes interact is a major challenge in population dynamics theory. After a short review, we introduce a stochastic individual-centered particle model to describe the evolution in…

概率论 · 数学 2009-06-29 Regis Ferriere , Viet Chi Tran

Uncertainty, characterised by randomness and stochasticity, is ubiquitous in applications of evolutionary game theory across various fields, including biology, economics and social sciences. The uncertainty may arise from various sources…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-11-04 Manh Hong Duong , The Anh Han

A non-linear differential equation arising from a stochastic process known as branching Brownian motion is considered. We find an explicit solution and show the uniqueness of the solution under some boundedness conditions using…

概率论 · 数学 2022-10-27 Erfan Salavati

We introduce a statistical mechanics formalism for the study of constrained graph evolution as a Markovian stochastic process, in analogy with that available for spin systems, deriving its basic properties and highlighting the role of the…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2015-05-13 A. C. C. Coolen , A. De Martino , A. Annibale

We study the dynamics of the Stochastic Sandpile Model on finite graphs, with two main results. First, we describe a procedure to exactly sample from the stationary distribution of the model in all connected finite graphs, extending a…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-23 Concetta Campailla , Nicolas Forien

We show that the moments of the distribution of historic stock returns are in excellent agreement with the Heston model and not with the multiplicative model, which predicts power-law tails of volatility and stock returns. We also show that…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-08-01 Zhiyuan Liu , M. Dashti Moghaddam , R. A. Serota

A statistical physics model for the time evolutions of stock portfolios is proposed. In this model the time series of price changes are coded into the sequences of up and down spins. The Hamiltonian of the system is introduced and is…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Jun-ichi Maskawa

This paper describes a general approach for stochastic modeling of assets returns and liability cash-flows of a typical pensions insurer. On the asset side, we model the investment returns on equities and various classes of fixed-income…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-05-27 Sergio Alvares Maffra , John Armstrong , Teemu Pennanen

We consider the problem of maximizing the asymptotic growth rate of an investor under drift uncertainty in the setting of stochastic portfolio theory (SPT). As in the work of Kardaras and Robertson we take as inputs (i) a Markovian…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-08-12 David Itkin , Martin Larsson

In this paper we develop a new approach to stochastic evolution equations with an unbounded drift $A$ which is dependent on time and the underlying probability space in an adapted way. It is well-known that the semigroup approach to…

概率论 · 数学 2014-02-28 Matthijs Pronk , Mark Veraar

We develop a martingale approach for studying continuous-time stochastic differential games of control and stopping, in a non-Markovian framework and with the control affecting only the drift term of the state-process. Under appropriate…

概率论 · 数学 2008-08-28 Ioannis Karatzas , Ingrid-Mona Zamfirescu

In this work, we study a dynamic portfolio optimization problem related to pairs trading, which is an investment strategy that matches a long position in one security with a short position in another security with similar characteristics.…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2018-10-24 Sühan Altay , Katia Colaneri , Zehra Eksi

There are many studies on development of models for analyzing some derivatives such as credit default swaps .

证券定价 · 定量金融 2017-06-20 Zahra Sokoot , Navideh Modarresi , Farzaneh Niknejad

In this paper we derive novel change of variable formulas for stochastic integrals w.r.t. a time-changed Brownian motion where we assume that the time-change is a general increasing stochastic process with finitely many jumps in a bounded…

概率论 · 数学 2024-07-04 Giulia Di Nunno , Hannes Haferkorn , Asma Khedher , Michèle Vanmaele

We show that a pathwise stochastic integral with respect to fractional Brownian motion with an adapted integrand $g$ can have any prescribed distribution, moreover, we give both necessary and sufficient conditions when random variables can…

概率论 · 数学 2013-03-22 Yuliya Mishura , Georgiy Shevchenko , Esko Valkeila

We present a novel approach to modeling market dynamics using ordinary differential equations that explicitly incorporates product competitiveness and consumer behavior. Our framework treats market segments as interacting populations in a…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-11-26 Aparna Komarla , Max Hill

We study the mean escape time in a market model with stochastic volatility. The process followed by the volatility is the Cox Ingersoll and Ross process which is widely used to model stock price fluctuations. The market model can be…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Giovanni Bonanno , Davide Valenti , Bernardo Spagnolo

Rough volatility models are continuous time stochastic volatility models where the volatility process is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst parameter smaller than half, and have attracted much attention since a seminal…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-05-20 Masaaki Fukasawa , Tetsuya Takabatake , Rebecca Westphal
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