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The main goal of this paper is an application of Bayesian inference in testing the relation between risk and return on the financial instruments. On the basis of the Intertemporal CAPM model we built a general sampling model suitable in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-10-06 Mateusz Pipien

Gaussian graphical models are used for determining conditional relationships between variables. This is accomplished by identifying off-diagonal elements in the inverse-covariance matrix that are non-zero. When the ratio of variables (p) to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-08-07 Donald R. Williams , Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari , Philippe Rast

A new method is proposed for the correction of confidence intervals when the original interval does not have the correct nominal coverage probabilities in the frequentist sense. The proposed method is general and does not require any…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-08-30 P. Menendez , Y. Fan , P. H. Garthwaite , S. A. Sisson

Existing error-bound-based analyses for stochastic algorithms that exhibit certain descent properties, such as randomized coordinate descent and randomized projection methods, are often limited in scope and typically lead to overly…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-03-19 Zhichun Yang , Li Jiang , Tianxiang Liu , Man-Chung Yue

Shape constrained regression analysis has applications in dose-response modeling, environmental risk assessment, disease screening and many other areas. Incorporating the shape constraints can improve estimation efficiency and avoid…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-06-19 Lizhen Lin , David B. Dunson

Stochastic process models for spatiotemporal data underlying random fields find substantial utility in a range of scientific disciplines. Subsequent to predictive inference on the values of the random field (or spatial surface indexed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-26 Aritra Halder , Didong Li , Sudipto Banerjee

When combining apparently inconsistent experimental results, one often implements errors on errors. The Particle Data Group's phenomenological prescription offers a practical solution but lacks a firm theoretical foundation. To address…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2025-08-22 Satoshi Mishima , Kin-ya Oda

In recent years the ultrahigh dimensional linear regression problem has attracted enormous attentions from the research community. Under the sparsity assumption most of the published work is devoted to the selection and estimation of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-05-01 Randy C. S. Lai , Jan Hannig , Thomas C. M. Lee

In this paper we investigate the Bayesian approach to inverse Robin problems. These are problems for certain elliptic boundary value problems of determining a Robin coefficient on a hidden part of the boundary from Cauchy data on the…

We compare the solutions of two one-dimensional Poisson problems on an interval with Robin boundary conditions, one with given data, and one where the data has been symmetrized. When the Robin parameter is positive and the symmetrization is…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2021-01-26 Jeffrey J. Langford , Patrick McDonald

We propose a way to construct fiducial distributions for a multidimensional parameter using a step-by-step conditional procedure related to the inferential importance of the components of the parameter. For discrete models, in which the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-12-07 Piero Veronese , Eugenio Melilli

Counting experiments often rely on Monte Carlo simulations for predictions of Poisson expectations. The accompanying uncertainty from the finite Monte Carlo sample size can be incorporated into parameter estimation by modifying the Poisson…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2020-04-22 Thorsten Glüsenkamp

This paper makes the following original contributions. First, we develop a unifying framework for testing shape restrictions based on the Wald principle. The test has asymptotic uniform size control and is uniformly consistent. Second, we…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-08-03 Zheng Fang

We assess the impact of a Hausman pretest, applied to panel data, on a confidence interval for the slope, conditional on the observed values of the time-varying covariate. This assessment has the advantages that it (a) relates to the values…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-18 Paul Kabaila , Rheanna Mainzer , Davide Farchione

Split conformal prediction provides finite-sample marginal coverage under exchangeability, but this guarantee averages over the random calibration sample. We study instead the law of the calibration-conditional coverage induced by a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Thiago R. Ramos , Helton Graziadei , Luben M. C. Cabezas

Many models for point process data are defined through a thinning procedure where locations of a base process (often Poisson) are either kept (observed) or discarded (thinned). In this paper, we go back to the fundamentals of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-12 Renaud Alie , David A. Stephens , Alexandra M. Schmidt

The Bayesian approach to inverse problems is widely used in practice to infer unknown parameters from noisy observations. In this framework, the ensemble Kalman inversion has been successfully applied for the quantification of uncertainties…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-10-15 Neil K. Chada , Claudia Schillings , Simon Weissmann

In this paper, we address conditional testing problems through the conformal inference framework. We define the localized conformal p-values by inverting prediction intervals and prove their theoretical properties. These defined p-values…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-26 Xiaoyang Wu , Lin Lu , Zhaojun Wang , Changliang Zou

A C++ class was written for the calculation of frequentist confidence intervals using the profile likelihood method. Seven combinations of Binomial, Gaussian, Poissonian and Binomial uncertainties are implemented. The package provides…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2010-01-21 J. Lundberg , J. Conrad , W. Rolke , A. Lopez

Measurements are generally collected as unilateral or bilateral data in clinical trials or observational studies. For example, in ophthalmology studies, the primary outcome is often obtained from one eye or both eyes of an individual. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-01 Kejia Wang , Chang-Xing Ma