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A sampling-based method is introduced to approximate the Gittins index for a general family of alternative bandit processes. The approximation consists of a truncation of the optimization horizon and support for the immediate rewards, an…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-07-24 Stef Baas , Richard J. Boucherie , Aleida Braaksma

The Gittins index is a tool that optimally solves a variety of decision-making problems involving uncertainty, including multi-armed bandit problems, minimizing mean latency in queues, and search problems like the Pandora's box model.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-08-05 Ziv Scully , Alexander Terenin

This paper examines a class of singular stochastic control problems with convex objective functions. In Section 2, we use tools from convex analysis to derive necessary and sufficient first order conditions for this class of optimisation…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-01-17 J. Sexton

This paper considers the efficient exact computation of the counterpart of the Gittins index for a finite-horizon discrete-state bandit, which measures for each initial state the average productivity, given by the maximum ratio of expected…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-07-29 José Niño-Mora

Motivated by global warming issues, we consider a time se- ries that consists of a nondecreasing trend observed with station- ary fluctuations, nonparametric estimation of the trend under monotonicity assumption is considered. The rescaled…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Ou Zhao , Michael Woodroofe

We study dynamic allocation problems for discrete time multi-armed bandits under uncertainty, based on the the theory of nonlinear expectations. We show that, under strong independence of the bandits and with some relaxation in the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-06-16 Samuel N. Cohen , Tanut Treetanthiploet

Gini index is a widely used measure of economic inequality. This article develops a general theory for constructing a confidence interval for Gini index with a specified confidence coefficient and a specified width. Fixed sample size…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-21 Bhargab Chattopadhyay , Shyamal Krishna De

We prove a general theorem to bound the total variation distance between the distribution of an integer valued random variable of interest and an appropriate discretized normal distribution. We apply the theorem to 2-runs in a sequence of…

概率论 · 数学 2014-07-07 Xiao Fang

Many discrete-time optimal stopping problems are known to have more tractable limit forms based on a planar Poisson process. Using this tool we find a solution to the optimal stopping problem for i.i.d. sequence of $n$ discrete uniform…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-09 Alexander Gnedin

We present novel bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These are nearly optimal in various precise senses, including a kind of instance-optimality. Our data-dependent convergence guarantees…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-14 Aryeh Kontorovich , Amichai Painsky

For a discrete time Markov chain and in line with Strotz' consistent planning we develop a framework for problems of optimal stopping that are time-inconsistent due to the consideration of a non-linear function of an expected reward. We…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-01-23 Sören Christensen , Kristoffer Lindensjö

This paper presents a new \emph{fast-pivoting} algorithm that computes the $n$ Gittins index values of an $n$-state bandit -- in the discounted and undiscounted cases -- by performing $(2/3) n^3 + O(n^2)$ arithmetic operations, thus…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-04-05 José Niño-Mora

Designing experiments often requires balancing between learning about the true treatment effects and earning from allocating more samples to the superior treatment. While optimal algorithms for the Multi-Armed Bandit Problem (MABP) provide…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-01-04 James K. He , Sofía S. Villar , Lida Mavrogonatou

Given a Wiener process with unknown and unobservable drift, we try to estimate this drift as effectively but also as quickly as possible, in the presence of a quadratic penalty for the estimation error and of a fixed, positive cost per unit…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-05-24 Erik Ekström , Ioannis Karatzas , Juozas Vaicenavicius

In the budgeted learning problem, we are allowed to experiment on a set of alternatives (given a fixed experimentation budget) with the goal of picking a single alternative with the largest possible expected payoff. Approximation algorithms…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2016-04-12 Ashish Goel , Sanjeev Khanna , Brad Null

This paper deals with an improvement of the "a-priori stability bounds" on the variation of the action variables and on the stability time obtained from a given Birkhoff normal form around the elliptic equilibrium point of an Hamiltonian…

动力系统 · 数学 2026-01-27 Massimiliano Guzzo , Chiara Caracciolo , Gabriella Pinzari

The dynamic allocation problem, also known as the `multi-armed bandit' problem, simulates a situation in which an agent is faced with a tradeoff between actions that yield an immediate reward and actions whose benefits can only be perceived…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-03 Christopher Wang

In several recent works on infinite-dimensional systems of ODEs \cite{cao_derivation_2021,cao_explicit_2021,cao_iterative_2024,cao_sticky_2024}, which arise from the mean-field limit of agent-based models in economics and social sciences…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2024-09-24 Fei Cao

This note gives a short, self-contained, proof of a sharp connection between Gittins indices and Bayesian upper confidence bound algorithms. I consider a Gaussian multi-armed bandit problem with discount factor $\gamma$. The Gittins index…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-10 Daniel Russo

We obtain upper bounds for the total variation distance between the distributions of two Gibbs point processes in a very general setting. Applications are provided to various well-known processes and settings from spatial statistics and…

概率论 · 数学 2014-09-15 Dominic Schuhmacher , Kaspar Stucki
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