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We provide a general result for bounding the difference between point probabilities of integer supported distributions and the translated Poisson distribution, a convenient alternative to the discretized normal. We illustrate our theorem in…

概率论 · 数学 2017-12-05 A. D. Barbour , Adrian Röllin , Nathan Ross

We utilize operational methods to generalize the Chernoff inequality and prove a new result that relates the moment bound to strictly absolute monotonic functions. We show that the Chernoff bound is part of a continuum of probability…

概率论 · 数学 2019-11-12 Roy S. Freedman

We develop a theory of optimal stopping problems under G-expectation framework. We first define a new kind of random times, called G-stopping times, which is suitable for this problem. For the discrete time case with finite horizon, the…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-21 Hanwu Li

In this paper we study approximations for boundary crossing probabilities for the moving sums of i.i.d. normal random variables. We propose approximating a discrete time problem with a continuous time problem allowing us to apply developed…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-30 Jack Noonan , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

We consider a discrete time stochastic model with infinite variance and study the mean estimation problem as in Wang and Ramdas (2023). We refine the Catoni-type confidence sequence (abbr. CS) and use an idea of Bhatt et al. (2022) to…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-10 Chengfu Wei , Jordan Stoyanov , Yiming Chen , Zijun Chen

Generalized gamma distributions arise as limits in many settings involving random graphs, walks, trees, and branching processes. Pek\"oz, R\"ollin, and Ross (2016, arXiv:1309.4183 [math.PR]) exploited characterizing distributional fixed…

概率论 · 数学 2022-08-08 Tobias Johnson , Erol Peköz

We examine the optimality properties of the Gini index estimator under complex survey design involving stratification, clustering, and sub-stratification. While Darku et al. (Econometrics, 26, 2020) considered only stratification and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-26 Shivam , Bhargab Chattopadhyay , Nil Kamal Hazra

This paper is devoted to studying the average optimality in continuous-time Markov decision processes with fairly general state and action spaces. The criterion to be maximized is expected average rewards. The transition rates of underlying…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Xianping Guo , Ulrich Rieder

By the continuous mapping theorem, if a sequence of $d$-dimensional random vectors $(\mathbf{W}_n)_{n\geq1}$ converges in distribution to a multivariate normal random variable $\Sigma^{1/2}\mathbf{Z}$, then the sequence of random variables…

概率论 · 数学 2020-03-18 Robert E. Gaunt

We consider the rate of piecewise constant approximation to a locally stationary process $X(t),t\in [0,1]$, having a variable smoothness index $\alpha(t)$. Assuming that $\alpha(\cdot)$ attains its unique minimum at zero and satisfies the…

概率论 · 数学 2015-11-19 Enkelejd Hashorva , Mikhail Lifshits , Oleg Seleznjev

This paper considers the estimation of Shannon entropy for discrete distributions with countably infinite support. While minimax rates for finite-support distributions are established, infinite-support distributions present distinct…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-03 Octavio César Mesner

We study the regularity of the score function in score-based generative models and show that it naturally adapts to the smoothness of the data distribution. Under minimal assumptions, we establish Lipschitz estimates that directly support…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-25 Arthur Stéphanovitch

The standard theory of optimal stopping is based on the idealised assumption that the underlying process is essentially known. In this paper, we drop this restriction and study data-driven optimal stopping for a general diffusion process,…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-12 Sören Christensen , Niklas Dexheimer , Claudia Strauch

We derive a bound for entropy production in terms of the mean of normalizable path-antisymmetric observables. The optimal observable for this bound is shown to be the signum of entropy production, which is often easier determined or…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-10-07 Gabriel Knotz , Till M. Muenker , Timo Betz , Matthias Krüger

The Wigner time delay is a measure of the time spent by a particle inside the scattering region of an open system. For chaotic systems, the statistics of the individual delay times (whose average is the Wigner time delay) are thought to be…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2013-03-06 Gregory Berkolaiko , Jack Kuipers

The Gini index underestimates inequality for heavy-tailed distributions: for example, a Pareto distribution with exponent 1.5 (which has infinite variance) has the same Gini index as any exponential distribution (a mere 0.5). This is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-06 Sabiou Inoua

Optimal Dirichlet boundary control for a fractional/normal evolution with a final observation is considered. The unique existence of the solution and the first-order optimality condition of the optimal control problem are derived. The…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-07-20 Qin Zhou , Binjie Li

The inverse first-passage time problem determines a boundary such that the first-passage time of a Wiener process to this boundary has a given distribution. An approximation which is based on the starting value of the boundary to a smooth…

概率论 · 数学 2023-09-06 Yoann Potiron

In this paper, we revisit the discrete lossy Gray-Wyner problem. In particular, we derive its optimal second-order coding rate region, its error exponent (reliability function) and its moderate deviations constant under mild conditions on…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-01-05 Lin Zhou , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Mehul Motani

Consider the optimal stopping problem of a one-dimensional diffusion with positive discount. Based on Dynkin's characterization of the value as the minimal excessive majorant of the reward and considering its Riesz representation, we give…

概率论 · 数学 2013-07-03 Fabián Crocce , Ernesto Mordecki