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We develop a semiparametric Bayesian approach for estimating the mean response in a missing data model with binary outcomes and a nonparametrically modelled propensity score. Equivalently we estimate the causal effect of a treatment,…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-23 Kolyan Ray , Aad van der Vaart

An important task in the statistical analysis of inhomogeneous point processes is to investigate the influence of a set of covariates on the point-generating mechanism. In this article, we consider the nonparametric Bayesian approach to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano

Let $\mathbf {X}=\{X_t, t=1,2,... \}$ be a stationary Gaussian random process, with mean $EX_t=\mu$ and covariance function $\gamma(\tau)=E(X_t-\mu)(X_{t+\tau}-\mu)$. Let $f(\lambda)$ be the corresponding spectral density; a stationary…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-11-07 Judith Rousseau , Brunero Liseo

In recent years, the literature in the area of Bayesian asymptotics has been rapidly growing. It is increasingly important to understand the concept of posterior consistency and validate specific Bayesian methods, in terms of consistency of…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Taeryon Choi , R. V. Ramamoorthi

Uncovering genuine relationships between a response variable of interest and a large collection of covariates is a fundamental and practically important problem. In the context of Gaussian linear models, both the Bayesian and non-Bayesian…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-11 Jeyong Lee , Minwoo Chae , Ryan Martin

We consider a Bayesian approach to variable selection in the presence of high dimensional covariates based on a hierarchical model that places prior distributions on the regression coefficients as well as on the model space. We adopt the…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-07-28 Naveen Naidu Narisetty , Xuming He

We characterize the complete joint posterior distribution over spatially-varying basal traction and and ice softness parameters of an ice sheet model from observations of surface speed by using stochastic variational inference combined with…

计算物理 · 物理学 2022-04-13 Douglas J. Brinkerhoff

In this manuscript, we study the problem of scalar-on-distribution regression; that is, instances where subject-specific distributions or densities, or in practice, repeated measures from those distributions, are the covariates related to a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-22 Bohao Tang , Sandipan Pramanik , Yi Zhao , Brian Caffo , Abhirup Datta

Gaussian processes are distributions over functions that are versatile and mathematically convenient priors in Bayesian modelling. However, their use is often impeded for data with large numbers of observations, $N$, due to the cubic (in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-04 David R. Burt , Carl Edward Rasmussen , Mark van der Wilk

The statistical inverse problem of estimating the probability distribution of an infinite-dimensional unknown given its noisy indirect observation is studied in the Bayesian framework. In practice, one often considers only…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-21 Sari Lasanen

The Poisson model is frequently employed to describe count data, but in a Bayesian context it leads to an analytically intractable posterior probability distribution. In this work, we analyze a variational Gaussian approximation to the…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-02-14 Simon Arridge , Kazufumi Ito , Bangti Jin , Chen Zhang

Neal (1996) proved that infinitely wide shallow Bayesian neural networks (BNN) converge to Gaussian processes (GP), when the network weights have bounded prior variance. Cho & Saul (2009) provided a useful recursive formula for deep kernel…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-05 Jorge Loría , Anindya Bhadra

We consider nonparametric Bayesian estimation inference using a rescaled smooth Gaussian field as a prior for a multidimensional function. The rescaling is achieved using a Gamma variable and the procedure can be viewed as choosing an…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-08-26 A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

Sampling from the posterior is a key technical problem in Bayesian statistics. Rigorous guarantees are difficult to obtain for Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms of common use. In this paper, we study an alternative class of algorithms…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-26 Andrea Montanari , Yuchen Wu

We study posterior contraction rates for a class of deep Gaussian process priors applied to the nonparametric regression problem under a general composition assumption on the regression function. It is shown that the contraction rates can…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-16 Gianluca Finocchio , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Gaussian processes retain the linear model either as a special case, or in the limit. We show how this relationship can be exploited when the data are at least partially linear. However from the perspective of the Bayesian posterior, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-07-13 Robert B. Gramacy , Herbert K. H. Lee

Gaussian processes are arguably the most important class of spatiotemporal models within machine learning. They encode prior information about the modeled function and can be used for exact or approximate Bayesian learning. In many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-16 Iskander Azangulov , Andrei Smolensky , Alexander Terenin , Viacheslav Borovitskiy

Bayesian inverse problem on an infinite dimensional separable Hilbert space with the whole state observed is well posed when the prior state distribution is a Gaussian probability measure and the data error covariance is a cylindric…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-31 Ivan Kasanický , Jan Mandel

A Gaussian process is proposed as a model for the posterior distribution of the local predictive ability of a model or expert, conditional on a vector of covariates, from historical predictions in the form of log predictive scores. Assuming…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-08 Oscar Oelrich , Mattias Villani

Gaussian processes offer a flexible kernel method for regression. While Gaussian processes have many useful theoretical properties and have proven practically useful, they suffer from poor scaling in the number of observations. In…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-08-26 Nick Terry , Youngjun Choe