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We prove that kernel covariance embeddings lead to information-theoretically perfect separation of distinct continuous probability distributions. In statistical terms, we establish that testing for the \emph{equality} of two non-atomic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-14 Leonardo V. Santoro , Kartik G. Waghmare , Victor M. Panaretos

The combination of inducing point methods with stochastic variational inference has enabled approximate Gaussian Process (GP) inference on large datasets. Unfortunately, the resulting predictive distributions often exhibit substantially…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-29 Martin Jankowiak , Geoff Pleiss , Jacob R. Gardner

We study asymptotic frequentist coverage and approximately Gaussian properties of Bayes posterior credible sets in nonlinear inverse problems when a Gaussian prior is placed on the parameter of the PDE. The aim is to ensure valid…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-24 Youngsoo Baek , Katerina Papagiannouli

In applications of Gaussian processes where quantification of uncertainty is of primary interest, it is necessary to accurately characterize the posterior distribution over covariance parameters. This paper proposes an adaptation of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-09-04 Maurizio Filippone , Raphael Engler

Deep Gaussian processes have recently been proposed as natural objects to fit, similarly to deep neural networks, possibly complex features present in modern data samples, such as compositional structures. Adopting a Bayesian nonparametric…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-04 Ismaël Castillo , Thibault Randrianarisoa

This paper investigates the consistency of a posterior distribution in the single-measurement fractional Calder\'on problem with additive Gaussian noise. We consider a Bayesian framework with rescaled and Gaussian sieve priors, using a…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-17 Pu-Zhao Kow , Janne Nurminen , Jesse Railo

New results on uniform convergence in probability for expansions of Gaussian random processes using compactly supported wavelets are given. The main result is valid for general classes of nonstationary processes. An application of the…

概率论 · 数学 2013-08-08 Yuriy Kozachenko , Andriy Olenko , Olga Polosmak

The paper addresses the problem of passivation of a class of nonlinear systems where the dynamics are unknown. For this purpose, we use the highly flexible, data-driven Gaussian process regression for the identification of the unknown…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-11-19 Thomas Beckers , Sandra Hirche

We establish a general Bernstein--von Mises theorem for approximately linear semiparametric functionals of fractional posterior distributions based on nonparametric priors. This is illustrated in a number of nonparametric settings and for…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-12 Alice L'Huillier , Luke Travis , Ismaël Castillo , Kolyan Ray

This paper aims to examine the characteristics of the posterior distribution of covariance/precision matrices in a "large $p$, large $n$" scenario, where $p$ represents the number of variables and $n$ is the sample size. Our analysis…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-02 Partha Sarkar , Kshitij Khare , Malay Ghosh , Matt P. Wand

Gaussian processes (GPs) are the most common formalism for defining probability distributions over spaces of functions. While applications of GPs are myriad, a comprehensive understanding of GP sample paths, i.e. the function spaces over…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Nathaël Da Costa , Marvin Pförtner , Lancelot Da Costa , Philipp Hennig

We investigate the frequentist guarantees of the variational sparse Gaussian process regression model. In the theoretical analysis, we focus on the variational approach with spectral features as inducing variables. We derive guarantees and…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-29 Dennis Nieman , Botond Szabo , Harry van Zanten

In this article, we propose a new three parameter distribution by compounding negative binomial with reciprocal inverse Gaussian model called negative binomial-reciprocal inverse Gaussian distribution. This model is tractable with some…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-10 Ishfaq Shah Ahmad , Anwar Hassan , Peer Bilal Ahmad

Generalized linear models (GLMs) are routinely used for modeling relationships between a response variable and a set of covariates. The simple form of a GLM comes with easy interpretability, but also leads to concerns about model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-10 Davide Agnoletto , Tommaso Rigon , David B. Dunson

A class of discrete distributions can be derived from stationary renewal processes. They have the useful property that the mean is a simple function of the model parameters. Thus regressions of the distribution mean on covariates can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-01 Rose Baker

This paper proposes a new algorithm for Gaussian process classification based on posterior linearisation (PL). In PL, a Gaussian approximation to the posterior density is obtained iteratively using the best possible linearisation of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-19 Ángel F. García-Fernández , Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

By representing the range of fair betting odds according to a pair of confidence set estimators, dual probability measures on parameter space called frequentist posteriors secure the coherence of subjective inference without any prior…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-05-02 David R. Bickel

We consider full Bayesian inference in the multivariate normal mean model in the situation that the mean vector is sparse. The prior distribution on the vector of means is constructed hierarchically by first choosing a collection of nonzero…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-07 Ismaël Castillo , Aad van der Vaart

Probabilistic neural networks are typically modeled with independent weight priors, which do not capture weight correlations in the prior and do not provide a parsimonious interface to express properties in function space. A desirable class…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-12 Theofanis Karaletsos , Thang D. Bui

We construct optimal low-rank approximations for the Gaussian posterior distribution in linear Gaussian inverse problems with possibly infinite-dimensional separable Hilbert parameter spaces and finite-dimensional data spaces. We first…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-09 Giuseppe Carere , Han Cheng Lie