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Gaussian processes are rich distributions over functions, with generalization properties determined by a kernel function. When used for long-range extrapolation, predictions are particularly sensitive to the choice of kernel parameters. It…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-05 Phillip A. Jang , Andrew E. Loeb , Matthew B. Davidow , Andrew Gordon Wilson

In this article we study the asymptotic predictive optimality of a model selection criterion based on the cross-validatory predictive density, already available in the literature. For a dependent variable and associated explanatory…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Arijit Chakrabarti , Tapas Samanta

This article is dedicated to the estimation of the regression function when the explanatory variable is a weakly dependent process whose correlation coefficient exhibits exponential decay and has a known bounded density function. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-17 Karine Bertin , Lisandro Fermin , Miguel Padrino

The article considers vector parameter estimators in statistical models generated by Levy processes. An improved one step estimator is presented that can be used for improving any other estimator. Combined numerical methods for optimization…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-15 D. O. Ivanenko , R. V. Pogorielov

In a high-frequency context, we investigate the efficient estimation of scaling and jump activity parameters for a stochastic differential equation driven by a L{\'e}vy process with both diffusion component and pure-jump component. We first…

概率论 · 数学 2025-09-08 Elise Bayraktar , Emmanuelle Clément

Motivated by the construction of the It\^o stochastic integral, we consider a step function method to discretize and simulate volatility modulated L\'evy semistationary processes. Moreover, we assess the accuracy of the method with a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-07-11 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

We suppose that a L\'evy process is observed at discrete time points. Starting from an asymptotically minimax family of estimators for the continuous part of the L\'evy Khinchine characteristics, i.e., the covariance, we derive a…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-01 Katerina Papagiannouli

We investigate densities of vaguely continuous convolution semigroups of probability measures on $\mathbb{R}^d$. We expose that many typical conditions on the characteristic exponent repeatedly used in the literature of the subject are…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-02 Tomasz Grzywny , Karol Szczypkowski

We establish the first existence and uniqueness result for mild solutions of abstract stochastic evolution equations driven by arbitrary cylindrical L\'evy processes in Hilbert spaces. The coefficients are assumed to satisfy global…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-14 Gergely Bodó , Sonja Cox , Adam Jakubowski , Markus Riedle

This paper develops tools to obtain robust probabilistic estimates for queueing models at the large deviations (LD) scale. These tools are based on the recently introduced robust R\'enyi bounds, which provide LD estimates (and more…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-14 Rami Atar , Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Ruoyu Wu

For a one-dimensional L\'{e}vy process, we derive an explicit formula for the probability of first hitting a specified point among a fixed finite set. Moreover, using this formula, we obtain an explicit expression for each entry of the…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-11 Kohki Iba

Our purpose in this paper is to apply the general methodology for model selection based on T-estimators developed in Birg\'{e} [Ann. Inst. H. Poincar\'{e} Probab. Statist. 42 (2006) 273--325] to the particular situation of the estimation of…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Lucien Birgé

For one-dimensional symmetric L\'{e}vy processes, which hit every point with positive probability, we give sharp bounds for the tail function of the first hitting time of B which is either a single point or an interval. The estimates are…

概率论 · 数学 2016-12-02 Tomasz Grzywny , Michał Ryznar

Define the scaled empirical point process on an independent and identically distributed sequence $\{Y_i: i\le n\}$ as the random point measure with masses at $a_n^{-1} Y_i$. For suitable $a_n$ we obtain the weak limit of these point…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-16 André Dabrowski , Gail Ivanoof , Rafal Kulik

We consider a stochastic process driven by a diffusion and jumps. We devise a technique, which is based on a discrete record of observations, for identifying the times when jumps larger than a suitably defined threshold occurred. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Cecilia Mancini

This paper considers a finite sample perspective on the problem of identifying an LTI system from a finite set of possible systems using trajectory data. To this end, we use the maximum likelihood estimator to identify the true system and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-12-03 Nicolas Chatzikiriakos , Andrea Iannelli

This paper discusses the problem of adaptive estimation of a univariate object like the value of a regression function at a given point or a linear functional in a linear inverse problem. We consider an adaptive procedure originated from…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-08-26 Vladimir Spokoiny , Céline Vial

The simple L\'evy Poisson process and scaled forms are explicitly constructed from partial sums of independent and identically distributed random variables and from sums of non-stationary independent random variables. For the latter, the…

In this paper we study general nonlinear stochastic differential equations, where the usual Brownian motion is replaced by a L\'evy process. We also suppose that the coefficient multiplying the increments of this process is merely Lipschitz…

概率论 · 数学 2007-07-19 Benjamin Jourdain , Sylvie Méléard , Wojbor Woyczynski

We find approximate solutions of partial integro-differential equations, which arise in financial models when defaultable assets are described by general scalar L\'evy-type stochastic processes. We derive rigorous error bounds for the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2014-12-01 Matthew Lorig , Stefano Pagliarani , Andrea Pascucci