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Variation in a sample of molecular sequence data informs about the past evolutionary history of the sample's population. Traditionally, Bayesian modeling coupled with the standard coalescent, is used to infer the sample's bifurcating…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-10-22 Julie Zhang , Julia A. Palacios

This article shows the asymptotics of distributions of various functionals of the Beta$(2-\alpha,\alpha)$ $n$-coalescent process with $1<\alpha<2$ when $n$ goes to infinity. This process is a Markov process taking {values} in the set of…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-27 Arno Siri-Jégousse , Linglong Yuan

Sweepstakes reproduction may be generated by chance matching of reproduction with favorable environmental conditions. Gene genealogies generated by sweepstakes reproduction are in the domain of attraction of multiple-merger coalescents…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-15 Bjarki Eldon

We present a robust method which translates information on the speed of coming down from infinity of a genealogical tree into sampling formulae for the underlying population. We apply these results to population dynamics where the genealogy…

概率论 · 数学 2012-02-01 Julien Berestycki , Nathanael Berestycki , Vlada Limic

Statistical properties of the site frequency spectrum associated with Lambda-coalescents are our objects of study. In particular, we derive recursions for the expected value, variance, and covariance of the spectrum, extending earlier…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-08-27 Matthias Birkner , Jochen Blath , Bjarki Eldon

We consider the genealogy of a sample of individuals taken from a spatially structured population when the variance of the offspring distribution is relatively large. The space is structured into discrete sites of a graph G. If the…

概率论 · 数学 2012-09-26 Benjamin Heuer , Anja Sturm

Expansions are provided for the moments of the number of collisions $X_n$ in the $\beta(2,b)$-coalescent restricted to the set $\{1,...,n\}$. We verify that $X_n/\mathbb{E}X_n$ converges almost surely to one and that $X_n$, properly…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-07 Alex Iksanov , Alex Marynych , Martin Möhle

We investigate the number of permutations that occur in random labellings of trees. This is a generalisation of the number of subpermutations occurring in a random permutation. It also generalises some recent results on the number of…

概率论 · 数学 2022-12-22 Michael Albert , Cecilia Holmgren , Tony Johansson , Fiona Skerman

Coalescent theory is the study of random processes where particles may join each other to form clusters as time evolves. These notes provide an introduction to some aspects of the mathematics of coalescent processes and their applications…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-23 Nathanael Berestycki

The critical beta-splitting tree, introduced by Aldous, is a Markov branching phylogenetic tree. Aldous and Pittel recently proved, amongst other results, a central limit theorem for the height of a random leaf. We give an alternative…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-18 Brett Kolesnik

$\Lambda$-coalescents model genealogies of samples of individuals from a large population by means of a family tree whose branches have lengths. The tree's leaves represent the individuals, and the lengths of the adjacent edges indicate the…

概率论 · 数学 2019-09-12 Christina S. Diehl , Götz Kersting

We investigate a new model for populations evolving in a spatial continuum. This model can be thought of as a spatial version of the Lambda-Fleming-Viot process. It explicitly incorporates both small scale reproduction events and large…

概率论 · 数学 2010-03-22 N. H. Barton , A. M. Etheridge , A. Veber

Trees corresponding to $\Lambda$- and $\Xi$-$n$-coalescents can be both quite similar and fundamentally different compared to bifurcating tree models based on Kingman's $n$-coalescent. This has consequences for inference of a well-fitting…

概率论 · 数学 2020-10-26 Fabian Freund

In the critical beta-splitting model of a random $n$-leaf rooted tree, clades are recursively (from the root) split into sub-clades, and a clade of $m$ leaves is split into sub-clades containing $i$ and $m-i$ leaves with probabilities…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-21 David J. Aldous , Svante Janson

We give the asymptotic distribution of the length of partial coalescent trees for Beta and related coalescents. This allows us to give the asymptotic distribution of the number of (neutral) mutations in the partial tree. This is a first…

Individual events at high-energy colliders like the LHC can be represented by a sequence of measurements, or 'point patterns' in an observable space. Starting from this data representation, we build a simple Bayesian probabilistic model for…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2020-12-17 Darius A. Faroughy

We derive the asymptotic behaviour of the genealogy of a logistic branching process in the setting where the equilibrium population size is large. In three regimes on the tail of the offspring distribution we recover the Kingman,…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-11 Ruairi Garrett , Julio Ernesto Nava Trejo

We define decorated $\alpha$-stable trees which are informally obtained from an $\alpha$-stable tree by blowing up its branchpoints into random metric spaces. This generalizes the $\alpha$-stable looptrees of Curien and Kortchemski, where…

We identify a new natural coalescent structure, which we call the seed-bank coalescent, that describes the gene genealogy of populations under the influence of a strong seed-bank effect, where "dormant forms" of individuals (such as seeds…

Branching processes and Fleming-Viot processes are two main models in stochastic population theory. Incorporating an immigration in both models, we generalize the results of Shiga (1990) and Birkner et al. (2005) which respectively connect…

概率论 · 数学 2012-05-15 Clément Foucart , Olivier Hénard