Genealogies under logistic growth
Probability
2025-11-11 v2
Abstract
We derive the asymptotic behaviour of the genealogy of a logistic branching process in the setting where the equilibrium population size is large. In three regimes on the tail of the offspring distribution we recover the Kingman, and Bolthausen-Sznitman coalescents as a scaling parameter governing the population size is taken to infinity, the deduction going via the convergence in distribution of a modified lookdown construction. This resolves a question asked in arxiv:2501.16837 who studied the same population process forwards in time and showed convergence of the type frequency process to the corresponding -Fleming-Viot process in each regime.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2509.05217,
title = {Genealogies under logistic growth},
author = {Ruairi Garrett and Julio Ernesto Nava Trejo},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2509.05217},
year = {2025}
}