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We develop a Markov model of curling matches, parametrised by the probability of winning an end and the probability distribution of scoring ends. In practical applications, these end-winning probabilities can be estimated econometrically,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-11-06 John Fry , Mark Austin , Silvio Fanzon

In this article, we study the decision-making process of chess players by using a chess engine to evaluate the moves across different pools of games. We quantified the decisiveness of each move during the games using a metric derived from…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-06-13 A. Chacoma , O. V. Billoni

In recent years, data-driven approaches have become a popular tool in a variety of sports to gain an advantage by, e.g., analysing potential strategies of opponents. Whereas the availability of play-by-play or player tracking data in sports…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-03-25 Marius Ötting

Value functions are used in sports applications to determine the optimal action players should employ. However, most literature implicitly assumes that the player can perform the prescribed action with known and fixed probability of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-10-05 Timothy C. Y. Chan , Douglas S. Fearing , Craig Fernandes , Stephanie Kovalchik

We introduce the class of pay or play games, which captures scenarios in which each decision maker is faced with a choice between two actions: one with a fixed payoff and an- other with a payoff dependent on others' selected actions. This…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2013-09-27 Sigal Oren , Michael Schapira , Moshe Tennenholtz

This paper provides necessary and sufficient conditions for a pair of randomised stopping times to form a saddle point of a zero-sum Dynkin game with partial and/or asymmetric information across players. The framework is non-Markovian and…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-20 Tiziano De Angelis , Jan Palczewski , Jacob Smith

It is well-known that well-posedness of a martingale problem in the class of continuous (or r.c.l.l.) solutions enables one to construct the associated transition probability functions. We extend this result to the case when the martingale…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Abhay G Bhatt , Rajeeva L Karandikar , B V Rao

In volleyball games, we define a rally as the succession of events observed since the ball is served until one of the two teams on the court scores the point. In this process, athletes evolve in response to physical and information…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-09-26 A. Chacoma , O. V. Billoni

The problem of two interacting particles moving in a d-dimensional billiard is considered here. A suitable coordinate transformation leads to the problem of a particle in an unconventional hyperbilliard. A dynamical map can be readily…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-30 Lilia Meza-Montes , Sergio E. Ulloa

Sample-efficient generalisation of reinforcement learning approaches have always been a challenge, especially, for complex scenes with many components. In this work, we introduce Plug and Play Markov Decision Processes, an object-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-23 Majid Abdolshah , Hung Le , Thommen Karimpanal George , Sunil Gupta , Santu Rana , Svetha Venkatesh

We introduce a compact probabilistic model for two-player and two-team (four-player) squash matches, along with a practical skill-comparison rule derived from point-scoring probabilities. Using recorded shot types and court locations, we…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-12-03 Prathamesh Anwekar , Kaushal Kirpekar , Mahesh B , Sainath Bitragunta

Game theory is the standard tool used to model strategic interactions in evolutionary biology and social science. Traditional game theory studies the equilibria of simple games. But is traditional game theory applicable if the game is…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2011-09-22 Tobias Galla , J. Doyne Farmer

This paper studies sequential quantum games under the assumption that the moves of the players are drawn from groups and not just plain sets. The extra group structure makes possible to easily derive some very general results characterizing…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-03-14 Theodore Andronikos

The original Parrondo game, denoted as AB3, contains two independent games: A and B. The winning or losing of A and B game is defined by the change of one unit of capital. Game A is a losing game if played continuously, with winning…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-06-22 Ka Wai Cheung , Ho Fai Ma , Degang Wu , Ga Ching Lui , Kwok Yip Szeto

We describe the probability theory behind a casino game, blackjack, and the procedure to compute the optimal strategy for a deck of arbitrary cards and player's expected win given that he follows the optimal strategy. The exact blackjack…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2007-05-23 Jarek Solowiej

This article presents a new three-player version of the bridge playing card game for the purpose of ending fixed partnerships so that the play can be more dynamic and flexible. By dynamically redefining team makeup in real time, this game…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2025-08-08 Sourish Sarkar , Aritrabha Majumdar , Moutushi Chatterjee

Parrondo's paradox refers to the counter-intuitive situation where a winning strategy results from a suitable combination of losing ones. Simple stochastic games exhibiting this paradox have been introduced around the turn of the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-08-20 J. M. Luck

I address the difficult challenge of measuring the relative influence of competing basketball game strategies, and I apply my analysis to plays resulting in three-point shots. I use a glut of SportVU player tracking data from over 600 NBA…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-03-22 Bradley A. Sliz

While many dynamical systems of mechanical origin, in particular billiards, are strongly chaotic -- enjoy exponential mixing, the rates of mixing in many other models are slow (algebraic, or polynomial). The dynamics in the latter are…

数学物理 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Nikolai Chernov , Hong-Kun Zhang

Toral introduced so-called cooperative Parrondo games, in which there are N players (3 or more) arranged in a circle. At each turn one player is randomly chosen to play. He plays either game A or game B, depending on the strategy. Game A…

概率论 · 数学 2015-02-27 S. N. Ethier , Jiyeon Lee