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By approximating posterior distributions with weighted samples, particle filters (PFs) provide an efficient mechanism for solving non-linear sequential state estimation problems. While the effectiveness of particle filters has been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-15 Xiongjie Chen , Yunpeng Li

In this paper we introduce a novel particle filter scheme for a class of partially-observed multivariate diffusions. %continuous-time dynamic models where the %signal is given by a multivariate diffusion process. We consider a variety of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2007-10-24 Paul Fearnhead , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

The distributed filtering problem sequentially estimates a global state variable using observations from a network of local sensors with different measurement models. In this work, we introduce a novel methodology for distributed nonlinear…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2023-10-31 Daniel Grange , Ricardo Baptista , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Allen Tannenbaum , Sean Phillips

This paper aims to introduce an application to Kalman Filtering Theory, which is rather unconventional. Recent experiments have shown that many natural phenomena, especially from ecology or meteorology, could be monitored and predicted more…

综合文献 · 计算机科学 2017-03-22 Dan Stefanoiu , Janetta Culita

We consider the task of filtering a dynamic parameter evolving as a diffusion process, given data collected at discrete times from a likelihood which is conjugate to the marginal law of the diffusion, when a generic dual process on a…

We link optimal filtering for hidden Markov models to the notion of duality for Markov processes. We show that when the signal is dual to a process that has two components, one deterministic and one a pure death process, and with respect to…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-10-23 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Matteo Ruggiero

A hidden Markov model is called observable if distinct initial laws give rise to distinct laws of the observation process. Observability implies stability of the nonlinear filter when the signal process is tight, but this need not be the…

概率论 · 数学 2009-08-10 Ramon van Handel

Estimation of parameters of a diffusion based on discrete time observations poses a difficult problem due to the lack of a closed form expression for the likelihood. From a Bayesian computational perspective it can be casted as a missing…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-05-30 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

Inference for partially observed Markov process models has been a longstanding methodological challenge with many scientific and engineering applications. Iterated filtering algorithms maximize the likelihood function for partially observed…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-26 Edward L. Ionides , Anindya Bhadra , Yves Atchadé , Aaron King

In this paper, we introduce the concept of observability of targeted state variables for systems that may not be fully observable. For their estimation, we introduce and exemplify a deep filter, which is a neural network specifically…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-01-13 Wei Kang , Liang Xu , Hong Zhou

State-space models can be used to incorporate subject knowledge on the underlying dynamics of a time series by the introduction of a latent Markov state-process. A user can specify the dynamics of this process together with how the state…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-09-14 Paul Fearnhead , Hans Künsch

Herein, we analyze an efficient branching particle method for asymptotic solutions to a class of continuous-discrete filtering problems. Suppose that $t\to X_t$ is a Markov process and we wish to calculate the measure-valued process…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Michael A. Kouritzin , Wei Sun

In this article we consider a Monte Carlo-based method to filter partially observed diffusions observed at regular and discrete times. Given access only to Euler discretizations of the diffusion process, we present a new procedure which can…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-02-12 Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Fangyuan Yu

This article considers the application of particle filtering to continuous-discrete optimal filtering problems, where the system model is a stochastic differential equation, and noisy measurements of the system are obtained at discrete…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-04-29 Simo Särkkä , Tommi Sottinen

Conditional particle filters (CPFs) are powerful smoothing algorithms for general nonlinear/non-Gaussian hidden Markov models. However, CPFs can be inefficient or difficult to apply with diffuse initial distributions, which are common in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-11-23 Santeri Karppinen , Matti Vihola

The filtering distribution is a time-evolving probability distribution on the state of a dynamical system, given noisy observations. We study the large-time asymptotics of this probability distribution for discrete-time, randomly…

动力系统 · 数学 2014-11-25 D. Sanz-Alonso , A. M. Stuart

The filtering of a Markov diffusion process on a manifold from counting process observations leads to `large' changes in the conditional distribution upon an observed event, corresponding to a multiplication of the density by the intensity…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-11-01 Simone Carlo Surace , Anna Kutschireiter , Jean-Pascal Pfister

Let X be a continuous-time Markov chain in a finite set I, let h be a mapping of I onto another set, and let Y be defined by Y_t=h(X_t), (for t nonnegative). We address the filtering problem for X in terms of the observation Y, which is not…

概率论 · 数学 2010-09-07 Fulvia Confortola , Marco Fuhrman

Accurate estimation of the states of a nonlinear dynamical system is crucial for their design, synthesis, and analysis. Particle filters are estimators constructed by simulating trajectories from a sampling distribution and averaging them…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-02-03 Fernando Gama , Nicolas Zilberstein , Martin Sevilla , Richard Baraniuk , Santiago Segarra

In this article we consider the estimation of static parameters for partially observed diffusion processes with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, when one only has access to time-discretized solutions of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-26 Miguel Alvarez , Ajay Jasra