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相关论文: Moderate deviation principle for ergodic Markov ch…

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Consider the problem of approximating a given probability distribution on the cube $[0,1]^n$ via the use of a square lattice discretization with mesh-size $1/N$ and the Metropolis algorithm. Here the dimension $n$ is fixed and we focus for…

概率论 · 数学 2022-02-01 Laurent Saloff-Coste , Sophie Uluatam

In the first part of this paper we study approximations of trajectories of Piecewise Deter-ministic Processes (PDP) when the flow is not explicit by the thinning method. We also establish a strong error estimate for PDPs as well as a weak…

概率论 · 数学 2022-02-10 Vincent Lemaire , Michèle Thieullen , Nicolas Thomas

This article provides the first procedure for computing a fully data-dependent interval that traps the mixing time $t_{\text{mix}}$ of a finite reversible ergodic Markov chain at a prescribed confidence level. The interval is computed from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-11-04 Daniel Hsu , Aryeh Kontorovich , Csaba Szepesvári

Robust Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) are receiving much attention in learning a robust policy which is less sensitive to environment changes. There are an increasing number of works analyzing sample-efficiency of robust MDPs. However,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-13 Wenhao Yang , Han Wang , Tadashi Kozuno , Scott M. Jordan , Zhihua Zhang

The Moderate Deviations Principle (MDP) is well-understood for sums of independent random variables, worse understood for stationary random sequences, and scantily understood for random fields. Here it is established for splittable random…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-16 Boris Tsirelson

We investigate the classical active pure exploration problem in Markov Decision Processes, where the agent sequentially selects actions and, from the resulting system trajectory, aims at identifying the best policy as fast as possible. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-26 Aymen Al Marjani , Aurélien Garivier , Alexandre Proutiere

A common tool in the practice of Markov Chain Monte Carlo is to use approximating transition kernels to speed up computation when the desired kernel is slow to evaluate or intractable. A limited set of quantitative tools exist to assess the…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-14 Jeffrey Negrea , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

In this review/tutorial article, we present recent progress on optimal control of partially observed Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs). We first present regularity and continuity conditions for POMDPs and their belief-MDP reductions, where…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-01-03 Ali Devran Kara , Serdar Yuksel

Calculating averages with respect to multimodal probability distributions is often necessary in applications. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods to this end, which are based on time averages along a realization of a Markov process…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-24 M. Chak , T. Lelièvre , G. Stoltz , U. Vaes

We prove almost Lipshitz continuity of spectra of singular quasiperiodic Jacobi matrices and obtain a representation of the critical almost Mathieu family that has a singularity. This allows us to prove that the Hausdorff dimension of its…

谱理论 · 数学 2019-09-11 Svetlana Jitomirskaya , Igor Krasovsky

Let $S_N$ be the sum of vector-valued functions defined on a finite Markov chain. An analogue of the Bernstein--Hoeffding inequality is derived for the probability of large deviations of $S_N$ and relates the probability to the spectral gap…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Vladislav Kargin

This work explores the use of a forward-backward martingale method together with a decoupling argument and entropic estimates between the conditional and averaged measures to prove a strong averaging principle for stochastic differential…

概率论 · 数学 2017-09-18 Bob Pepin

Markov decision processes (MDP) are a well-established model for sequential decision-making in the presence of probabilities. In robust MDP (RMDP), every action is associated with an uncertainty set of probability distributions, modelling…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-12-16 Tobias Meggendorfer , Maximilian Weininger , Patrick Wienhöft

We propose a "decomposition method" to prove non-asymptotic bound for the convergence of empirical measures in various dual norms. The main point is to show that if one measures convergence in duality with sufficiently regular observables,…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-13 Benoît Kloeckner

A spectral Favard theorem for bounded banded lower Hessenberg matrices that admit a positive bidiagonal factorization is found. The large knowledge on the spectral and factorization properties of oscillatory matrices leads to this spectral…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2022-10-21 Amilcar Branquinho , Ana Foulquié-Moreno , Manuel Mañas

In the paper, we study a new rate of convergence estimate for homogeneous discrete-time nonlinear Markov chains based on the Markov-Dobrushin condition. This result generalizes the convergence estimates for any positive number of transition…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-22 Aleksandr A. Shchegolev

We investigate the parameter recovery of Markov-switching ordinary differential processes from discrete observations, where the differential equations are nonlinear additive models. This framework has been widely applied in biological…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-03 Katherine Tsai , Mladen Kolar , Sanmi Koyejo

We formulate some simple conditions under which a Markov chain may be approximated by the solution to a differential equation, with quantifiable error probabilities. The role of a choice of coordinate functions for the Markov chain is…

概率论 · 数学 2008-04-23 R. W. R. Darling , J. R. Norris

We present a unified framework based on primal-dual stochastic mirror descent for approximately solving infinite-horizon Markov decision processes (MDPs) given a generative model. When applied to an average-reward MDP with $A_{tot}$ total…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-31 Yujia Jin , Aaron Sidford

This paper is a survey of various proofs of the so called {\em fundamental theorem of Markov chains}: every ergodic Markov chain has a unique positive stationary distribution and the chain attains this distribution in the limit independent…

概率论 · 数学 2022-04-05 Somenath Biswas