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An aperiodic and irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space converges to its stationary distribution. When convergence to equilibrium is measured by total variation distance, there exists an optimal coupling and a maximal coupling…

概率论 · 数学 2015-04-01 Agnes Coquio

This article describes a method for computing limits of a class of non-stationary Markov chains motivated by healthcare sojourn-time cycles. A mathematical validation of the computation method is also given. Applications are described that…

概率论 · 数学 2024-11-19 Samuel Awoniyi

In this brief note, we find formulas for the distribution and the transition probability matrices of a stochastic process described as a time-reversion in a finite time window of a Markov chain, with cluster observation of the Markov state…

In this article, we considers reversible Markov chains of which $L^2$-distances can be expressed in terms of Laplace transforms. The cutoff of Laplace transforms was first discussed by Chen and Saloff-Coste in [8], while we provide here a…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-25 Guan-Yu Chen , Jui-Ming Hsu , Yuan-Chung Sheu

A discrete-time Markov chain can be transformed into a new Markov chain by looking at its states along iterations of an almost surely finite stopping time. By the optional stopping theorem, any bounded harmonic function with respect to the…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-04 Iddo Ben-Ari , Behrang Forghani

This is a free textbook suitable for a one-semester course on Markov chains, covering basics of finite-state chains, many classical models, asymptotic behavior and mixing times, Monte Carlo methods, and martingales and harmonic functions.…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-17 Soumik Pal , Tim Mesikepp

We give a bound on the mixing time of a uniformly ergodic, reversible Markov chain in terms of the spectral radius of the transition operator. This bound has been established previously in finite state spaces, and is widely believed to hold…

概率论 · 数学 2014-05-02 Dawn B. Woodard

Markov chains are a convenient means of generating realizations of networks, since they require little more than a procedure for rewiring edges. If a rewiring procedure exists for generating new graphs with specified statistical properties,…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2012-02-17 Jaideep Ray , Ali Pinar , C. Seshadhri

We consider a Markov chain on invertible $n\times n$ matrices with entries in $\mathbb{Z}_2$ which moves by picking an ordered pair of distinct rows and add the first one to the other, modulo $2$. We establish a logarithmic Sobolev…

概率论 · 数学 2025-09-29 Anna Ben-Hamou

Historically time-reversibility of the transitions or processes underpinning Markov chain Monte Carlo methods (MCMC) has played a key r\^ole in their development, while the self-adjointness of associated operators together with the use of…

概率论 · 数学 2019-06-17 Christophe Andrieu , Samuel Livingstone

This survey is an in-depth development of the theoretical aspects of the method of Evolving Sets, a method which has been used in several of my papers. It is fairly esoteric as to a large degree it stems from my efforts to ascertain whether…

概率论 · 数学 2018-06-04 Ravi Montenegro

We address the problem of estimating the mixing time $t_{\mathsf{mix}}$ of an arbitrary ergodic finite-state Markov chain from a single trajectory of length $m$. The reversible case was addressed by Hsu et al. [2019], who left the general…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-17 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich

For any discrete target distribution, we exploit the connection between Markov chains and Stein's method via the generator approach and express the solution of Stein's equation in terms of expected hitting time. This yields new upper bounds…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-16 Michael C. H. Choi

We develop a systematic matrix-analytic approach, based on intertwinings of Markov semigroups, for proving theorems about hitting-time distributions for finite-state Markov chains -- an approach that (sometimes) deepens understanding of the…

概率论 · 数学 2012-09-04 James Allen Fill , Vince Lyzinski

Imprecise continuous-time Markov chains are a robust type of continuous-time Markov chains that allow for partially specified time-dependent parameters. Computing inferences for them requires the solution of a non-linear differential…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-11 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

For Markov chains with a partially ordered finite state space we show strong stationary duality under the condition of M\"obius monotonicity of the chain. We show relations of M\"obius monotonicity to other definitions of monotone chains.…

概率论 · 数学 2011-01-04 Pawel Lorek , Ryszard Szekli

We investigate the sharpness of the spectral profile bound presented by Goel et al. and Chen et al. on the $L^{2}$ mixing time of Markov chains on continuous state spaces. We show that the bound provided by Chen et al. is sharp up to a…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-18 Elnaz Karimian Sichani , Aaron Smith

This paper will provide several classes of strictly stationary, countable-state, irreducible, aperiodic Markov chains that are reversible and have finite second moments, such that the central limit theorem fails to hold. The main purpose is…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-11 Richard C. Bradley

We prove a theorem that reduces bounding the mixing time of a card shuffle to verifying a condition that involves only triplets of cards. Then we use it to analyze a classic model of card shuffling. In 1988, Diaconis introduced the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-11-12 Olena Blumberg , Ben Morris , Alto Senda

In this paper we consider stopping problems for continuous-time Markov chains under a general risk-sensitive optimization criterion for problems with finite and infinite time horizon. More precisely our aim is to maximize the certainty…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-05 Nicole Bäuerle , Anton Popp