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The aim of this note is to investigate the concentration properties of unbounded functions of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. We derive concentration properties of centered functions with respect to the square of the Lyapunov's…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-09-14 Olivier Wintenberger

This review paper, written for the second edition of the Handbook of Markov Chain Monte Carlo, provides an introduction to the study of convergence analysis for Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), aimed at researchers new to the field. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-24 Qian Qin

This review treats the mathematical and algorithmic foundations of non-reversible Markov chains in the context of event-chain Monte Carlo (ECMC), a continuous-time lifted Markov chain that employs the factorized Metropolis algorithm. It…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2022-08-31 Werner Krauth

The Markov chain Monte Carlo method (MCMC), especially the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm, is a widely used technique for sampling from a target probability distribution $P$ on a state space $\Omega$ and applied to various problems such…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-03-13 Koichi Miyamoto

High-dimensional distributions, especially those with heavy tails, are notoriously difficult for off-the-shelf MCMC samplers: the combination of unbounded state spaces, diminishing gradient information, and local moves results in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-02-22 Jun Yang , Krzysztof Łatuszyński , Gareth O. Roberts

In this paper, we give quantitative bounds on the $f$-total variation distance from convergence of an Harris recurrent Markov chain on an arbitrary under drift and minorisation conditions implying ergodicity at a sub-geometric rate. These…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Philippe Soulier

Performing numerical integration when the integrand itself cannot be evaluated point-wise is a challenging task that arises in statistical analysis, notably in Bayesian inference for models with intractable likelihood functions. Markov…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-06-17 Lawrence Middleton , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Pierre E. Jacob

A $\phi$-irreducible and aperiodic Markov chain with stationary probability distribution will converge to its stationary distribution from almost all starting points. The property of Harris recurrence allows us to replace ``almost all'' by…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

Non-Gaussian distributions in cosmology are commonly evaluated with Monte Carlo Markov-chain methods, as the Fisher-matrix formalism is restricted to the Gaussian case. The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm will provide samples from the…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2023-05-15 Lennart Röver , Heinrich von Campe , Maximilian Philipp Herzog , Rebecca Maria Kuntz , Björn Malte Schäfer

In this paper we investigate the continuum limits of a class of Markov chains. The investigation of such limits is motivated by the desire to model very large networks. We show that under some conditions, a sequence of Markov chains…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2011-06-22 Yang Zhang , Edwin K. P. Chong , Jan Hannig , Donald Estep

Over the last decades, various "non-linear" MCMC methods have arisen. While appealing for their convergence speed and efficiency, their practical implementation and theoretical study remain challenging. In this paper, we introduce a…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-04 Grégoire Clarté , Antoine Diez , Jean Feydy

For Markov chains and Markov processes exhibiting a form of stochastic monotonicity (larger states shift up transition probabilities in terms of stochastic dominance), stability and ergodicity results can be obtained using order-theoretic…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-01 Takashi Kamihigashi , John Stachurski

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are commonly used for their versatility in sampling from complicated probability distributions. However, as the dimension of the distribution gets larger, the computational costs for a satisfactory…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2020-12-01 Hector J. Hortua , Riccardo Volpi , Dimitri Marinelli , Luigi Malago

The Metropolis algorithm is arguably the most fundamental Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method. But the algorithm is not guaranteed to converge to the desired distribution in the case of multivariate binary distributions (e.g., Ising…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-29 Kai Brügge , Asja Fischer , Christian Igel

We present a Metropolis-Hastings Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for detecting hidden variables in a continuous time Bayesian network (CTBN), which uses reversible jumps in the sense defined by (Green 1995). In common with several…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-03-18 Blazej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro , John Noble , Krzysztof Opalski

The use of heuristics to assess the convergence and compress the output of Markov chain Monte Carlo can be sub-optimal in terms of the empirical approximations that are produced. Typically a number of the initial states are attributed to…

Reversibility is a key property of Markov chains, central to algorithms such as Metropolis-Hastings and other MCMC methods. Yet many applications yield non-reversible chains, motivating the problem of approximating them by reversible ones…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-02-27 Stefano Cipolla , Fabio Durastante , Miryam Gnazzo , Beatrice Meini

Couplings play a central role in the analysis of Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms and appear increasingly often in the algorithms themselves, e.g. in convergence diagnostics, parallelization, and variance reduction techniques. Existing…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-10-20 John O'Leary , Guanyang Wang , Pierre E. Jacob

In this article we propose a novel MCMC method based on deterministic transformations T: X x D --> X where X is the state-space and D is some set which may or may not be a subset of X. We refer to our new methodology as Transformation-based…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-10-21 Somak Dutta , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We prove explicit, i.e., non-asymptotic, error bounds for Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, such as the Metropolis algorithm. The problem is to compute the expectation (or integral) of f with respect to a measure which can be given by a…

数值分析 · 数学 2011-01-18 Daniel Rudolf