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We study the computational complexity of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression under sparsity constraints. We first show that a Bayesian approach can achieve variable-selection consistency…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-01 Yun Yang , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

This paper gathers together different conditions which are all equivalent to geometric ergodicity of time-homogeneous Markov chains on general state spaces. A total of 34 different conditions are presented (27 for general chains plus 7 just…

概率论 · 数学 2023-07-06 M. A. Gallegos-Herrada , D. Ledvinka , J. S. Rosenthal

A well-known difficult problem regarding Metropolis-Hastings algorithms is to get sharp bounds on their convergence rates. Moreover, a fundamental but often overlooked problem in Markov chain theory is to study the convergence rates for…

概率论 · 数学 2021-08-20 Guanyang Wang

Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are used to carry out inference in non-linear and non-Gaussian state space models, where the posterior density of the states is approximated using particles. Current approaches usually perform…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-09-30 Eduardo F. Mendes , Christopher K. Carter , David Gunawan , Robert Kohn

Couplings play a central role in contemporary Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and in the analysis of their convergence to stationarity. In most cases, a coupling must induce relatively fast meeting between chains to ensure good…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-04 John O'Leary

Parallel Markov Chain Monte Carlo (pMCMC) algorithms generate clouds of proposals at each step to efficiently resolve a target probability distribution. We build a rigorous foundational framework for pMCMC algorithms that situates these…

We present an efficient algorithm for the inference of stochastic block models in large networks. The algorithm can be used as an optimized Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method, with a fast mixing time and a much reduced susceptibility to…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-01-14 Tiago P. Peixoto

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are a powerful tool for computation with complex probability distributions. However the performance of such methods is critically dependant on properly tuned parameters, most of which are difficult if…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-10-27 James A. Brofos , Marylou Gabrié , Marcus A. Brubaker , Roy R. Lederman

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are simple and extremely powerful techniques to sample from almost arbitrary distributions. The flaw in practice is that it can take a large and/or unknown amount of time to converge to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-11-13 Xianghang Liu , Justin Domke

We develop a central limit theorem (CLT) for a non-parametric estimator of the transition matrices in controlled Markov chains (CMCs) with finite state-action spaces. Our results establish precise conditions on the logging policy under…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-26 Ziwei Su , Imon Banerjee , Diego Klabjan

We investigate local MCMC algorithms, namely the random-walk Metropolis and the Langevin algorithms, and identify the optimal choice of the local step-size as a function of the dimension $n$ of the state space, asymptotically as…

概率论 · 数学 2009-08-07 Alexandros Beskos , Gareth Roberts , Andrew Stuart

We provide a nonasymptotic analysis of convergence to stationarity for a collection of Markov chains on multivariate state spaces, from arbitrary starting points, thereby generalizing results in [Khare and Zhou Ann. Appl. Probab. 19 (2009)…

概率论 · 数学 2013-02-25 Kshitij Khare , Nabanita Mukherjee

Global fits of physics models require efficient methods for exploring high-dimensional and/or multimodal posterior functions. We introduce a novel method for accelerating Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling by pairing a…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2023-09-06 N. T. Hunt-Smith , W. Melnitchouk , F. Ringer , N. Sato , A. W Thomas , M. J. White

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques are now widely used for cosmological parameter estimation. Chains are generated to sample the posterior probability distribution obtained following the Bayesian approach. An important issue is how…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Joanna Dunkley , Martin Bucher , Pedro G. Ferreira , Kavilan Moodley , Constantinos Skordis

Bayesian computation crucially relies on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. In the case of massive data sets, running the Metropolis-Hastings sampler to draw from the posterior distribution becomes prohibitive due to the large…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-12-07 Roberto Casarin , Radu V. Craiu , Fabrizio Leisen

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms ubiquitously employ complex deterministic transformations to generate proposal points that are then filtered by the Metropolis-Hastings-Green (MHG) test. However, the condition of the target…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-08 Kirill Neklyudov , Max Welling

Monte Carlo (MC) methods are widely used for Bayesian inference and optimization in statistics, signal processing and machine learning. A well-known class of MC methods are Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. In order to foster…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-09-27 L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Luengo , J. Corander , F. Louzada

We provide explicit expressions for the constants involved in the characterisation of ergodicity of sub-geometric Markov chains. The constants are determined in terms of those appearing in the assumed drift and one-step minorisation…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-18 Christophe Andrieu , Gersende Fort , Matti Vihola

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods provide consistent of integrals as the number of iterations goes to infinity. MCMC estimators are generally biased after any fixed number of iterations. We propose to remove this bias by using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-18 Pierre E. Jacob , John O'Leary , Yves F. Atchadé

Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers are a class of stochastic algorithms for Monte Carlo integral estimation w.r.t. probability distributions, which combine elements of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and importance sampling/resampling…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli