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We prove an invariance principle for non-stationary random processes and establish a rate of convergence under a new type of mixing condition. The dependence is exponentially decaying in the gap between the past and the future and is…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-23 Ion Grama , Émile Le Page , Marc Peigné

A new class of exclusion type processes acting in continuum with synchronous updating is introduced and studied. Ergodic averages of particle velocities are obtained and their connections to other statistical quantities, in particular to…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-05-13 Michael Blank

We study the stochastic 3D primitive equations of the atmospheric mechanics. We consider them under a bounded and non-degenerate noise, which is statistically periodic in time with period $1$. In such a case we prove that the associated…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2021-03-03 Pierre-Marie Boulvard

The notion of a successful coupling of Markov processes, based on the idea that both components of the coupled system ``intersect'' in finite time with probability one, is extended to cover situations when the coupling is unnecessarily…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Michael Blank , Sergey Pirogov

In this paper we characterize the mixing properties in the advection of passive tracers by exploiting the extreme value theory for dynamical systems. With respect to classical techniques directly related to the Poincar\'e recurrences…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2014-05-07 Davide Faranda , Xavier Leoncini , Sandro Vaienti

This paper is composed of two main results concerning chains of infinite order which are not necessarily continuous. The first one is a decomposition of the transition probability kernel as a countable mixture of unbounded probabilistic…

概率论 · 数学 2010-06-01 Sandro Gallo , Nancy L. Garcia

We formalize and analyze the notions of stochastic monotonicity and realizable mono-tonicity for Markov Chains in continuous-time, taking values in a finite partially ordered set. Similarly to what happens in discrete-time, the two notions…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-08 Paolo Dai Pra , Pierre-Yves Louis , Ida Minelli

We consider ergodic backward stochastic differential equations, in a setting where noise is generated by a countable state uniformly ergodic Markov chain. We show that for Lipschitz drivers such that a comparison theorem holds, these…

概率论 · 数学 2012-07-25 Samuel N. Cohen , Ying Hu

In this article, we analyze three classes of time-reversal of a Markov process with Gaussian noise on a manifold. We first unveil a commutativity constraint for the most general of these time-reversals to be well defined. Then we give a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-08-09 Jérémy O'Byrne , Michael E. Cates

We prove a general existence result in stochastic optimal control in discrete time where controls take values in conditional metric spaces, and depend on the current state and the information of past decisions through the evolution of a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-12-19 Asgar Jamneshan , Michael Kupper , José Miguel Zapata

Identifying and quantifying memory are often critical steps in developing a mechanistic understanding of stochastic processes. These are particularly challenging and necessary when exploring processes that exhibit long-range correlations.…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-04-20 Sarah E. Marzen , James P. Crutchfield

We present exact results for two complementary measures of spatial structure generated by 1D spin systems with finite-range interactions. The first, excess entropy, measures the apparent spatial memory stored in configurations. The second,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-30 James P. Crutchfield , David P. Feldman

Using ideas borrowed from topological dynamics and ergodic theory we introduce topological and metric versions of the recurrence property for general Markov chains. The main question of interest here is how large is the set of recurrent…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-23 Michael Blank

The spatial symmetry property of truncated birth-death processes studied in Di Crescenzo [6] is extended to a wider family of continuous-time Markov chains. We show that it yields simple expressions for first-passage-time densities and…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Annapatrizia Nastro

In this paper we study various properties of finite stochastic systems or hidden Markov chains as they are alternatively called. We discuss their construction following different approaches and we also derive recursive filtering formulas…

概率论 · 数学 2014-07-15 Peter Spreij

Metastability is a physical phenomenon ubiquitous in first order phase transitions. A fruitful mathematical way to approach this phenomenon is the study of rare transitions Markov chains. For Metropolis chains associated with Statistical…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-30 Emilio Cirillo , Francesca Nardi , Julien Sohier

Drawing on some recent results that provide the formalism necessary to definite stationarity for infinite random graphs, this paper initiates the study of statistical and learning questions pertaining to these objects. Specifically, a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-11 Daniil Ryabko

A time-dependent finite-state Markov chain that uses doubly stochastic transition matrices, is considered. Entropic quantities that describe the randomness of the probability vectors, and also the randomness of the discrete paths, are…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-03-18 A. Vourdas

We consider a general multivariate affine stochastic recursion and the associated Markov chain on $\mathbb R^{d}$. We assume a natural geometric condition which implies existence of an unbounded stationary solution and we show that the…

概率论 · 数学 2017-12-15 Yves Guivarc'H , Emile Le Page

We investigate the statistical complexity of estimating the parameters of a discrete-state Markov chain kernel from a single long sequence of state observations. In the finite case, we characterize (modulo logarithmic factors) the minimax…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-14 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich