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We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

We provide explicit expressions for the constants involved in the characterisation of ergodicity of sub-geometric Markov chains. The constants are determined in terms of those appearing in the assumed drift and one-step minorisation…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-18 Christophe Andrieu , Gersende Fort , Matti Vihola

This paper deals with the generalized convolutions connected with the Williamson transform and the maximum operation. We focus on such convolutions which can define transition probabilities of renewal processes. They should be monotonic…

概率论 · 数学 2022-04-21 B. H. Jasiulis-Gołdyn , J. K. Misiewicz , E. Omey , J. Wesołowski

We consider a stationary regularly varying time series which can be expressedas a function of a geometrically ergodic Markov chain. We obtain practical conditionsfor the weak convergence of the tail array sums and feasible estimators…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-09-25 Rafal Kulik , Philippe Soulier , Olivier Wintenberger , Rafa Kulik

Improved rates of convergence for ergodic Markov chains and relaxed conditions for them, as well as analogous convergence results for some non-homogeneous Markov chains are studied. The setting from the previous works is extended. Examples…

概率论 · 数学 2022-09-27 A. Yu. Veretennikov , M. A. Veretennikova

It is shown that due to memory effects the complex behaviour of components in a stochastic system can be transmitted to macroscopic evolution of the system as a whole. Within the Markov approximation widely using in ordinary statistical…

adap-org · 物理学 2009-10-30 A. A. Stanislavsky

We show how to construct a topological Markov map of the interval whose invariant probability measure is the stationary law of a given stochastic chain of infinite order. In particular we caracterize the maps corresponding to stochastic…

概率论 · 数学 2015-06-05 Pierre Collet , Antonio Galves

We study ergodic properties of a family of traffic maps acting in the space of bi-infinite sequences of real numbers. The corresponding dynamics mimics the motion of vehicles in a simple traffic flow, which explains the name. Using…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-06-11 Michael Blank

We study the ergodic properties of two classes of random dynamical systems: a type of Markov chain which we call the \textit{alternating random walk} and a certain stochastic billiard system which describes the motion of a free-moving rough…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-01-02 Peter Rudzis

A new approach to describing correlation properties of complex dynamic systems with long-range memory based on a concept of additive Markov chains (Phys. Rev. E 68, 061107 (2003)) is developed. An equation connecting a memory function of…

经典物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 S. S. Melnyk , O. V. Usatenko , V. A. Yampol'skii

The goal of this paper is to develop a general method to establish conditional ergodicity of infinite-dimensional Markov chains. Given a Markov chain in a product space, we aim to understand the ergodic properties of its conditional…

概率论 · 数学 2014-10-28 Xin Thomson Tong , Ramon van Handel

We classify the rare events of structured, memoryful stochastic processes and use this to analyze sequential and parallel generators for these events. Given a stochastic process, we introduce a method to construct a new process whose…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-04-05 C. Aghamohammadi , J. P. Crutchfield

We investigate the properties of uniform doubly stochastic random matrices, that is non-negative matrices conditioned to have their rows and columns sum to 1. The rescaled marginal distributions are shown to converge to exponential…

概率论 · 数学 2010-11-01 Sourav Chatterjee , Persi Diaconis , Allan Sly

We analyse the structure of imprecise Markov chains and study their convergence by means of accessibility relations. We first identify the sets of states, so-called minimal permanent classes, that are the minimal sets capable of containing…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-20 Damjan Skulj

Many biological systems can be described by finite Markov models. A general method for simplifying master equations is presented that is based on merging adjacent states. The approach preserves the steady-state probability distribution and…

生物物理 · 物理学 2021-03-01 David Seiferth , Peter Sollich , Stefan Klumpp

Epigenetic cell memory, the inheritance of gene expression patterns across subsequent cell divisions, is a critical property of multi-cellular organisms. In recent work [10], a subset of the authors observed in a simulation study how the…

We study the properties of a subclass of stochastic processes called discrete time nonlinear Markov chains with an aggregator, which naturally appear in various topics such as strategic queueing systems, inventory dynamics, opinion…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-24 Bar Light

We consider a discrete time hidden Markov model where the signal is a stationary Markov chain. When conditioned on the observations, the signal is a Markov chain in a random environment under the conditional measure. It is shown that this…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-24 Ramon van Handel

In this paper, a study of random times on filtered probability spaces is undertaken. The main message is that, as long as distributional properties of optional processes up to the random time are involved, there is no loss of generality in…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-17 Constantinos Kardaras

In this paper we prove that the lack of uniqueness for solutions of the tree dyadic model of turbulence is overcome with the introduction of a suitable noise. The uniqueness is a weak probabilistic uniqueness for all $l^2$-initial…

概率论 · 数学 2015-10-15 Luigi Amedeo Bianchi