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We provide a nonparametric method for the computation of instantaneous multivariate volatility for continuous semi-martingales, which is based on Fourier analysis. The co-volatility is reconstructed as a stochastic function of time by…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-08-14 Paul Malliavin , Maria Elvira Mancino

Financial time series exhibit multiscale behavior, with interaction between multiple processes operating on different timescales. This paper introduces a method for separating these processes using variance and tail stationarity criteria,…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2026-01-19 Jan Rosenzweig

Multiplicative random cascade model naturally reproduces the intermittency or multifractality, which is frequently shown among hierarchical complex systems such as turbulence and financial markets. As described herein, we investigate the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-09-05 Jun-ichi Maskawa , Koji Kuroda , Joshin Murai

Financial markets provide an ideal frame for the study of crossing or first-passage time events of non-Gaussian correlated dynamics mainly because large data sets are available. Tick-by-tick data of six futures markets are herein considered…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-12-23 Josep Perelló , Mario Gutiérrez-Roig , Jaume Masoliver

We propose a new approach for analyzing price fluctuations in their strongly correlated regime ranging from minutes to months. This is done by employing a self-similarity assumption for the magnitude of coarse-grained price fluctuation or…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Yoshi Fujiwara , Hirokazu Fujisaka

We study a stochastic multiplicative system composed of finite asynchronous elements to describe the wealth evolution in financial markets. We find that the wealth fluctuations or returns of this system can be described by a walk with…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Zhi-Feng Huang , Sorin Solomon

We analyze daily prices of 29 commodities and 2449 stocks, each over a period of $\approx 15$ years. We find that the price fluctuations for commodities have a significantly broader multifractal spectrum than for stocks. We also propose…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Kaushik Matia , Yosef Ashkenazy , H. Eugene Stanley

The paper studies a non-linear transformation between Brownian martingales, which is given by the inverse of the pricing operator in the mathematical finance terminology. Subsequently, the solvability of systems of equations corresponding…

概率论 · 数学 2012-05-16 Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

Large variations in stock prices happen with sufficient frequency to raise doubts about existing models, which all fail to account for non-Gaussian statistics. We construct simple models of a stock market, and argue that the large…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2015-06-25 P. Bak , M. Paczuski , M. Shubik

A methodology is developed to identify, as units of study, each decrease in the value of a stock from a given maximum price level. A critical level in the amount of price declines is found to separate a segment operating under a random walk…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-03-28 Leopoldo Sánchez-Cantú , Carlos Arturo Soto-Campos , Andriy Kryvko

In the past few decades considerable effort has been expended in characterizing and modeling financial time series. A number of stylized facts have been identified, and volatility clustering or the tendency toward persistence has emerged as…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Kan Chen , C. Jayaprakash , Baosheng Yuan

In this paper it was developed a modification of the known multiagent model Minority Game, designed to simulate the behavior of traders in financial markets and the resulting price dynamics on the abstract resource. The model was…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2010-08-24 Yu. A. Kuperin , M. M. Morozova

Multifractal systems usually have singularity spectra defined on bounded sets of H\"older exponents. As a consequence, their associated multifractal scaling exponents are expected to depend linearly upon statistical moment orders at high…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2021-06-30 L. Moriconi

This paper covers a massive acceleration of Monte-Carlo based pricing method for financial products and financial derivatives. The method is applicable in risk management settings, where a financial product has to be priced under a number…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2008-09-30 Stefan Dirnstorfer , Andreas J. Grau

Financial markets, being spectacular examples of complex systems, display rich correlation structures among price returns of different assets. The correlation structures change drastically, akin to phase transitions in physical phenomena,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-07-23 Anirban Chakraborti , Hrishidev , Kiran Sharma , Hirdesh K. Pharasi

This paper develops new mathematical techniques to identify temporal shifts among a collection of US equities partitioned into a new and more detailed set of market sectors. Although conceptually related, our three analyses reveal distinct…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-07-11 Nick James , Max Menzies

We introduce the wavelet scattering spectra which provide non-Gaussian models of time-series having stationary increments. A complex wavelet transform computes signal variations at each scale. Dependencies across scales are captured by the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2023-06-21 Rudy Morel , Gaspar Rochette , Roberto Leonarduzzi , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Stéphane Mallat

The fluctuation scaling law has universally been observed in a wide variety of phenomena. For counting processes describing the number of events occurred during time intervals, it is expressed as a power function relationship between the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-07-01 Shinsuke Koyama

The formation of price in a financial market is modelled as a chain of Ising spin with three fundamental figures of trading. We investigate the time behaviour of the model, and we compare the results with the real EURO/USD change rate. By…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Antonella Greco , Luca Sorriso-Valvo , Vincenzo Carbone

In the Cont-Bouchaud model [cond-mat/9712318] of stock markets, percolation clusters act as buying or selling investors and their statistics controls that of the price variations. Rather than fixing the concentration controlling each…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Dietrich Stauffer , D. Sornette