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In this paper is proposed a new heuristic approach belonging to the field of evolutionary Estimation of Distribution Algorithms (EDAs). EDAs builds a probability model and a set of solutions is sampled from the model which characterizes the…

There is an increasing amount of literature focused on Bayesian computational methods to address problems with intractable likelihood. One approach is a set of algorithms known as Approximate Bayesian Computational (ABC) methods. One of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-10-27 Weixuan Zhu , Juan Miguel Marin , Fabrizio Leisen

Randomized mechanisms, which map a set of bids to a probability distribution over outcomes rather than a single outcome, are an important but ill-understood area of computational mechanism design. We investigate the role of randomized…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2009-04-17 Patrick Briest , Shuchi Chawla , Robert Kleinberg , S. Matthew Weinberg

Shot charts in basketball analytics provide an indispensable tool for evaluating players' shooting performance by visually representing the distribution of field goal attempts across different court locations. However, conventional methods…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-16 Luca Scrucca , Dimitris Karlis

Bayesian reinforcement learning (BRL) is a method that merges principles from Bayesian statistics and reinforcement learning to make optimal decisions in uncertain environments. As a model-based RL method, it has two key components: (1)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-03 Shreya Sinha Roy , Richard G. Everitt , Christian P. Robert , Ritabrata Dutta

We propose a practical Bayesian optimization method using Gaussian process regression, of which the marginal likelihood is maximized where the number of model selection steps is guided by a pre-defined threshold. Since Bayesian optimization…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-19 Jungtaek Kim , Seungjin Choi

The notions of reflection from outside, reflection from inside and signature of a billiard trajectory within a quadric are introduced. Cayley-type conditions for periodical trajectories for the billiard in the region bounded by $k$ quadrics…

数学物理 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Vladimir Dragovic , Milena Radnovic

The rating of items based on pairwise comparisons has been a topic of statistical investigation for many decades. Numerous approaches have been proposed. One of the best known is the Bradley-Terry model. This paper seeks to assemble and…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-08 Ian Hamilton , Nick Tawn , David Firth

Motivated by genome-wide association studies, we consider a standard linear model with one additional random effect in situations where many predictors have been collected on the same subjects and each predictor is analyzed separately.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-04-24 Matti Pirinen , Peter Donnelly , Chris C. A. Spencer

We study an optimal control problem arising from a generalization of rock-paper-scissors in which the number of strategies may be selected from any positive odd number greater than 1 and in which the payoff to the winner is controlled by a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-12-01 Christopher Griffin , James Fan

Often the goal of model selection is to choose a model for future prediction, and it is natural to measure the accuracy of a future prediction by squared error loss. Under the Bayesian approach, it is commonly perceived that the optimal…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Maria Maddalena Barbieri , James O. Berger

We propose a game-based formulation for learning dimensionality-reducing representations of feature vectors, when only a prior knowledge on future prediction tasks is available. In this game, the first player chooses a representation, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-12 Neria Uzan , Nir Weinberger

We study a distributionally robust optimization formulation (i.e., a min-max game) for two representative problems in Bayesian nonparametric estimation: Gaussian process regression and, more generally, linear inverse problems. Our…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-01-14 Xuhui Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Youssef Marzouk , Viet Anh Nguyen , Sven Wang

We consider the sample complexity of revenue maximization for multiple bidders in unrestricted multi-dimensional settings. Specifically, we study the standard model of $n$ additive bidders whose values for $m$ heterogeneous items are drawn…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2021-04-13 Yannai A. Gonczarowski , S. Matthew Weinberg

We study variants of a stochastic game inspired by backgammon where players may propose to double the stake, with the game state dictated by a one-dimensional random walk. Our variants allow for different numbers of proposals and different…

The notion of a rough two-dimensional (convex) body is introduced, and to each rough body there is assigned a measure on $\TTT^3$ describing billiard scattering on the body. The main result is characterization of the set of measures…

动力系统 · 数学 2007-11-06 Alexander Plakhov

Using Bayesian decision theory, we modify the perfect-information, differential game-based guidance law (DGL1) to address the inevitable estimation error occurring when driving this guidance law with a separately-designed state estimator.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-14 Liraz Mudrik , Yaakov Oshman

Raking is widely used in categorical data modeling and survey practice but faced with methodological and computational challenges. We develop a Bayesian paradigm for raking by incorporating the marginal constraints as a prior distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Peigen Zhou

This paper studies the Best-of-K Bandit game: At each time the player chooses a subset S among all N-choose-K possible options and observes reward max(X(i) : i in S) where X is a random vector drawn from a joint distribution. The objective…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-03-22 Max Simchowitz , Kevin Jamieson , Benjamin Recht

In this work, we study the social learning problem, in which agents of a networked system collaborate to detect the state of the nature based on their private signals. A novel distributed graphical evolutionary game theoretic learning…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2017-05-24 Xuanyu Cao , K. J. Ray Liu