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We argue for supplementing the process of training a prediction algorithm by setting up a scheme for detecting the moment when the distribution of the data changes and the algorithm needs to be retrained. Our proposed schemes are based on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-23 Vladimir Vovk , Ivan Petej , Ilia Nouretdinov , Ernst Ahlberg , Lars Carlsson , Alex Gammerman

This paper investigates the callable convertible bond problem in the presence of a liquidity constraint modelled by Poisson signals. We assume that neither the bondholder nor the firm has absolute priority when they stop the game…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2024-10-08 David Hobson , Gechun Liang , Edward Wang

We introduce and study online conversion with switching costs, a family of online problems that capture emerging problems at the intersection of energy and sustainability. In this problem, an online player attempts to purchase…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2024-11-11 Adam Lechowicz , Nicolas Christianson , Bo Sun , Noman Bashir , Mohammad Hajiesmaili , Adam Wierman , Prashant Shenoy

The training of deep residual neural networks (ResNets) with backpropagation has a memory cost that increases linearly with respect to the depth of the network. A way to circumvent this issue is to use reversible architectures. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-23 Michael E. Sander , Pierre Ablin , Mathieu Blondel , Gabriel Peyré

Forgetting a belief acquisition episode may not cause information loss because of the others. Checking whether it does is not obvious, as the contribution of each belief revision is not isolated from the others, and the same information may…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-04-29 Paolo Liberatore

We synthesize and discuss some new developments in econophysics. In doing so, we focus on option pricing. We relax the assumptions of constant volatility and interest rate. In doing so, we rely on the square root of the Brownian motion. We…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2023-01-27 Moawia Alghalith

Following a Geometrical Brownian Motion extension into an Irrational Fractional Brownian Motion model, we re-examine agent behaviour reacting to time dependent news on the log-returns thereby modifying a financial market evolution. We…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2016-06-08 Gurjeet Dhesi , Marcel Ausloos

Marginal structural models are a popular tool for investigating the effects of time-varying treatments, but they require an assumption of no unobserved confounders between the treatment and outcome. With observational data, this assumption…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-10 Matthew Blackwell , Soichiro Yamauchi

We consider in this paper some structured financial products, known as reverse convertible notes, that resulted in substantial losses to certain buyers of these notes in recent years. We shall focus on specific reverse convertible notes…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-04-04 Gilna K. Samuel , Donald St. P. Richards

Personalisation of products and services is fast becoming the driver of success in banking and commerce. Machine learning holds the promise of gaining a deeper understanding of and tailoring to customers' needs and preferences. Whereas…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-30 Charl Maree , Christian Omlin

We develop a tractable model of realization utility that studies the role of reference-dependent S-shaped preferences in a dynamic investment setting with reinvestment. Our model generates both voluntarily realized gains and losses. It…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2014-08-14 Jonathan E. Ingersoll , Lawrence J. Jin

We tackle the problem of pricing Chinese convertible bonds(CCBs) using Monte Carlo simulation and dynamic programming. At each exercise time, we use the state variables of the underlying stock to regress the continuation value, and apply…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2025-01-13 Yu Liu

This paper proposes a method for ranking the investment attractiveness of exchange-traded stocks where investment risk is not related to the volatility indicator but instead is related to the indicator of compression of the time series of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-01-28 Igor Nesiolovskiy

This paper studies the estimation of linear panel data models with interactive fixed effects, where one dimension of the panel, typically time, may be fixed. To this end, a novel transformation is introduced that reduces the model to a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-10-13 Ayden Higgins

In the information-based approach to asset pricing the market filtration is modelled explicitly as a superposition of signals concerning relevant market factors and independent noise. The rate at which the signal is revealed to the market…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2010-09-21 Dorje C. Brody , Yan Tai Law

We consider a financial market in discrete time and study pricing and hedging conditional on the information available up to an arbitrary point in time. In this conditional framework, we determine the structure of arbitrage-free prices.…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-05-15 Lars Niemann , Thorsten Schmidt

Resetting a stochastic process has been shown to expedite the completion time of some complex tasks, such as finding a target for the first time. Here we consider the cost of resetting by associating to each reset a cost, which is a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-02-13 John C. Sunil , Richard A. Blythe , Martin R. Evans , Satya N. Majumdar

For many observables, the most difficult part of a single logarithmic resummation is the analytical treatment of the observable's dependence on multiple emissions. We present a general numerical method, which allows the resummation…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Giulia Zanderighi

We consider a random walker on a ring, subjected to resetting at Poisson-distributed times to the initial position (the walker takes the shortest path along the ring to the initial position at resetting times). In the case of a Brownian…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-03-30 Pascal Grange

To improve the robustness of transformer neural networks used for temporal-dynamics prediction of chaotic systems, we propose a novel attention mechanism called easy attention which we demonstrate in time-series reconstruction and…