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We propose a two stage procedure for the estimation of the parameters of a fairly general, continuous-time stochastic volatility. An important ingredient of the proposed method is the Cuchiero-Teichmann volatility estimator, which is based…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-31 Milan Merkle , Yuri F. Saporito , Rodrigo S. Targino

We develop closed-form expansions for the implied volatility of VIX options within the class of forward variance models. Our approach builds on weak-approximation techniques for VIX option prices and yields explicit implied volatility…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2026-05-26 Ying Liao , Ankush Agarwal , Florian Bourgey

We first revisit the problem of estimating the spot volatility of an It\^o semimartingale using a kernel estimator. We prove a Central Limit Theorem with optimal convergence rate for a general two-sided kernel. Next, we introduce a new…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-08 José E. Figueroa-López , Bei Wu

This paper introduced key aspects of applying Machine Learning (ML) models, improved trading strategies, and the Quasi-Reversibility Method (QRM) to optimize stock option forecasting and trading results. It presented the findings of the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-11-30 Zheng Cao , Raymond Guo , Wenyu Du , Jiayi Gao , Kirill V. Golubnichiy

The rough Bergomi model introduced by Bayer, Friz and Gatheral has been outperforming conventional Markovian stochastic volatility models by reproducing implied volatility smiles in a very realistic manner, in particular for short…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2017-01-17 Antoine Jacquier , Claude Martini , Aitor Muguruza

We consider the pricing problem related to payoffs that can have discontinuities of polynomial growth. The asset price dynamic is modeled within the Black and Scholes framework characterized by a stochastic volatility term driven by a…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-26 Viktor Bezborodov , Luca Di Persio , Yuliya Mishura

The research presented in this article provides an alternative option pricing approach for a class of rough fractional stochastic volatility models. These models are increasingly popular between academics and practitioners due to their…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2019-08-02 Raul Merino , Jan Pospíšil , Tomáš Sobotka , Tommi Sottinen , Josep Vives

We consider a stochastic volatility model where the dynamics of the volatility are given by a possibly infinite linear combination of the elements of the time extended signature of a Brownian motion. First, we show that the model is…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2025-06-03 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Louis-Amand Gérard

Volatility estimation is a central problem in financial econometrics, but becomes particularly challenging when jump activity is high, a phenomenon observed empirically in highly traded financial securities. In this paper, we revisit the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-13 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Tianwei Zhou

We consider a continuous-time stochastic volatility model. The model contains a stationary volatility process, the multivariate density of the finite dimensional distributions of which we aim to estimate. We assume that we observe the…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-07-08 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij

Motivated by the construction of the It\^o stochastic integral, we consider a step function method to discretize and simulate volatility modulated L\'evy semistationary processes. Moreover, we assess the accuracy of the method with a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-07-11 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

This paper investigates the approximation of stochastic delay differential equations (SDDEs) via the backward Euler-Maruyama (BEM) method under generalized monotonicity and Khasminskii-type conditions in the infinite horizon. First, by…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-05-20 Yudong Wang , Hongjiong Tian

For a multidimensional It\^o semimartingale, we consider the problem of estimating integrated volatility functionals. Jacod and Rosenbaum (2013) studied a plug-in type of estimator based on a Riemann sum approximation of the integrated…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-09 José E. Figueroa-López , Jincheng Pang , Bei Wu

In a Markovian framework, we consider the problem of finding the minimal initial value of a controlled process allowing to reach a stochastic target with a given level of expected loss. This question arises typically in approximate hedging…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-04-06 Géraldine Bouveret , Jean-François Chassagneux

Diffusion processes driven by Fractional Brownian motion (FBM) have often been considered in modeling stock price dynamics in order to capture the long range dependence of stock price observed in reality. Option prices for such models had…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-29 Ananya Lahiri , Rituparna Sen

Sparked by Al\`os, Le\'on, and Vives (2007); Fukasawa (2011, 2017); Gatheral, Jaisson, and Rosenbaum (2018), so-called rough stochastic volatility models such as the rough Bergomi model by Bayer, Friz, and Gatheral (2016) constitute the…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2018-10-09 Christian Bayer , Benjamin Stemper

We introduce a simulation scheme for Brownian semistationary processes, which is based on discretizing the stochastic integral representation of the process in the time domain. We assume that the kernel function of the process is regularly…

概率论 · 数学 2018-09-24 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

We introduce a point process regression model that is applicable to price models and limit order book models. Hawkes type autoregression in the intensity process is generalized to a stochastic regression to covariate processes. We establish…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-12-08 Teppei Ogihara , Nakahiro Yoshida

This paper presents a new prediction model for time series data by integrating a time-varying Geometric Brownian Motion model with a pricing mechanism used in financial engineering. Typical time series models such as Auto-Regressive…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-01-01 Abdullah AlShelahi , Jingxing Wang , Mingdi You , Eunshin Byon , Romesh Saigal

Variance parameter estimation in linear mixed models is a challenge for many classical nonlinear optimization algorithms due to the positive-definiteness constraint of the random effects covariance matrix. We take a completely novel view on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-12-20 Lena Sembach , Jan Pablo Burgard , Volker H. Schulz