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In this work, we characterise the statistics of Markov chains by constructing an associated sequence of periodic differential operators. Studying the density of states of these operators reveals the absolutely continuous invariant measure…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-09-22 Bryn Davies , Angelica Yu Xiao

Recent progress in open many-body quantum systems has highlighted the importance of the Markov length, the characteristic scale over which conditional correlations decay. It has been proposed that non-equilibrium phases of matter can be…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-01-09 Yu-Hsueh Chen , Tarun Grover

We provide a new approach for proving the indistinguishability of connected components of random one-or-two-ended oriented forests on unimodular random graphs. In particular, this approach leads to a new and simpler proof for the wired…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-18 Francois Baccelli , Ali Khezeli

Estimating the transition dynamics of controlled Markov chains is crucial in fields such as time series analysis, reinforcement learning, and system exploration. Traditional non-parametric density estimation methods often assume independent…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-21 Imon Banerjee , Vinayak Rao , Harsha Honnappa

We present an alternative view for the study of optimal control of partially observed Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs). We first revisit the traditional (and by now standard) separated-design method of reducing the problem to fully…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-12-20 Serdar Yüksel

Max-margin methods for binary classification such as the support vector machine (SVM) have been extended to the structured prediction setting under the name of max-margin Markov networks ($M^3N$), or more generally structural SVMs.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-29 Alex Nowak-Vila , Francis Bach , Alessandro Rudi

As distributed systems increase in size, the need for scalable algorithms becomes more and more important. We argue that in the context of system identification, an essential building block of any scalable algorithm is the ability to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-07-23 Nikolai Matni , Anders Rantzer

We derive some key extremal features for $k$th order Markov chains that can be used to understand how the process moves between an extreme state and the body of the process. The chains are studied given that there is an exceedance of a…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Adrian Casey , Jonathan A. Tawn

Algorithms developed under stationary Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) often face challenges in non-stationary environments, and infinite-horizon formulations may not directly apply to finite-horizon tasks. To address these limitations, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-03 Zhizuo Chen , Theodore T. Allen

This paper studies the augmented truncation of discrete-time block-monotone Markov chains under geometric drift conditions. We first present a bound for the total variation distance between the stationary distributions of an original Markov…

概率论 · 数学 2014-07-18 Hiroyuki Masuyama

Coarse-graining techniques play a central role in reducing the complexity of stochastic models, and are typically characterised by a mapping which projects the full state of the system onto a smaller set of variables which captures the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-09-28 Bastian Hilder , Upanshu Sharma

The transition matrix of a Markov chain $(X_k,k\geq 0)$ on a finite or infinite rooted tree is said to be almost upper-directed if, given $X_k$, the node $X_{k+1}$ is either a descendant of $X_k$ or the parent of $X_k$. It is said to be…

概率论 · 数学 2024-11-12 Luis Fredes , Jean-François Marckert

The problem of learning Markov equivalence classes of Bayesian network structures may be solved by searching for the maximum of a scoring metric in a space of these classes. This paper deals with the definition and analysis of one such…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-07 Vincent Auvray , Louis Wehenkel

Parametric Interval Markov Chains (pIMCs) are a specification formalism that extend Markov Chains (MCs) and Interval Markov Chains (IMCs) by taking into account imprecision in the transition probability values: transitions in pIMCs are…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2017-06-02 Anicet Bart , Benoit Delahaye , Didier Lime , Eric Monfroy , Charlotte Truchet

We study the problem of detecting and locating change points in high-dimensional Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models, whose transition matrices exhibit low rank plus sparse structure. We first address the problem of detecting a single change…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-01 Peiliang Bai , Abolfazl Safikhani , George Michailidis

Reinforcement learning (RL) methods frequently assume that each new observation completely reflects the environment's state, thereby guaranteeing Markovian (one-step) transitions. In practice, partial observability or sensor/actuator noise…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-03 Naveen Mysore

We consider Markov chains on general state spaces in stationary random environment which are defined by a random mapping that is contractive up to a bounded perturbation. We prove their convergence to a limiting law, providing convergence…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-18 Attila Lovas , Miklós Rásonyi , Lionel Truquet

Most existing causal discovery methods rely on the assumption of no latent confounders, limiting their applicability in solving real-life problems. In this paper, we introduce a novel, versatile framework for causal discovery that…

We investigate recurrence and transience of Branching Markov Chains (BMC) in discrete time. Branching Markov Chains are clouds of particles which move (according to an irreducible underlying Markov Chain) and produce offspring…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-07 Nina Gantert , Sebastian Mueller

Multi-index models - functions which only depend on the covariates through a non-linear transformation of their projection on a subspace - are a useful benchmark for investigating feature learning with neural nets. This paper examines the…