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We first study a model, introduced recently in \cite{ES}, of a critical branching random walk in an IID random environment on the $d$-dimensional integer lattice. The walker performs critical (0-2) branching at a lattice point if and only…

概率论 · 数学 2017-03-30 Janos Englander , Yuval Peres

Hypergraphs, graph generalizations where edges are conglomerates of $r$ nodes called hyperedges of rank $r\geq 2$, are excellent models to study systems with interactions that are beyond the pairwise level. For hypergraphs, the node degree…

统计力学 · 物理学 2013-07-11 Eduardo López

We prove the main conjecture from [M. R. Douglas, B. Shiffman and S. Zelditch, Critical points and supersymmetric vacua, II: Asymptotics and extremal metrics. J. Differential Geom. 72 (2006), no. 3, 381-427] concerning the metric dependence…

数学物理 · 物理学 2008-02-18 Benjamin Baugher

The increasing penetration of embedded renewables makes forecasting net-load, consumption less embedded generation, a significant and growing challenge. Here a framework for producing probabilistic forecasts of net-load is proposed with…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-10-06 Jethro Browell , Matteo Fasiolo

We establish the sharpness of the percolation phase transition for a class of infinite-range weighted random connection models. The vertex set is given by a marked Poisson point process on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with intensity $\lambda>0$, where…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-29 Alejandro Caicedo , Leonid Kolesnikov

The majority of existing probabilistic model checking case studies are based on well understood theoretical models and distributions. However, real-life probabilistic systems usually involve distribution parameters whose values are obtained…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2013-08-29 Guoxin Su , David S. Rosenblum

For minimally rigid graphs, the same edge-length data can admit multiple realizations (up to translations and rotations). Finding graphs with exceptionally many realizations is an extremal problem in rigidity theory, but exhaustive search…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Oleksandr Slyvka , Jan Rubeš , Rodrigo Alves , Jan Legerský

A fundamental problem in analysis of complex systems is getting a reliable estimate of entropy of their probability distributions over the state space. This is difficult because unsampled states can contribute substantially to the entropy,…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2023-07-19 Damián G. Hernández , Ahmed Roman , Ilya Nemenman

We study topological and geometric functionals of $l_\infty$-random geometric graphs on the high-dimensional torus in a sparse regime, where the expected number of neighbors decays exponentially in the dimension. More precisely, we…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-08 Gilles Bonnet , Christian Hirsch , Daniel Rosen , Daniel Willhalm

Accurately quantifying tail risks-rare but high-impact events such as financial crashes or extreme weather-is a central challenge in risk management, with serially dependent data. We develop a Bayesian framework based on the Generalized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-17 David L. Carl , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

In this monograph, we prove an asymptotic approximation for integrals of probability densities over sets in finite dimensional euclidean space, which are far away from the origin (asymptotic sets). We use this approximation to investigate…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Philippe Barbe

We study some percolation problems on the complete graph over $\mathbf N$. In particular, we give sharp sufficient conditions for the existence of (finite or infinite) cliques and paths in a random subgraph. No specific assumption on the…

概率论 · 数学 2011-03-29 A. Berarducci , P. Majer , M. Novaga

The random assignment problem asks for the minimum-cost perfect matching in the complete $n\times n$ bipartite graph $\Knn$ with i.i.d. edge weights, say uniform on $[0,1]$. In a remarkable work by Aldous (2001), the optimal cost was shown…

概率论 · 数学 2009-02-04 Justin Salez , Devavrat Shah

We present an algorithm for bounding the probability of r-core formation in k-uniform hypergraphs. Understanding the probability of core formation is useful in numerous applications including bounds on the failure rate of Invertible Bloom…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2019-01-16 George Bissias

Loopy belief propagation performs approximate inference on graphical models with loops. One might hope to compensate for the approximation by adjusting model parameters. Learning algorithms for this purpose have been explored previously,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2011-06-03 Xaq Pitkow , Yashar Ahmadian , Ken D. Miller

Belief propagation (BP) is a message-passing heuristic for statistical inference in graphical models such as Bayesian networks and Markov random fields. BP is used to compute marginal distributions or maximum likelihood assignments and has…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2012-11-15 Tobias Brunsch , Kamiel Cornelissen , Bodo Manthey , Heiko Röglin

We establish nonexistence conditions for nonnegative nontrivial solutions to a class of semilinear parabolic equations with a positive potential on weighted graphs, extending results in arXiv:2404.12058 [math.AP] to a broader setting that…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2025-04-08 Dorothea-Enrica von Criegern

In this paper, we study critical and subcritical branching $\alpha$-stable processes, $\alpha \in (0, 2)$. We obtain the exact asymptotic behaviors of the tails of the maximal positions of all subcritical branching $\alpha$-stable processes…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-09 Haojie Hou , Yiyang Jiang , Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song

We investigate the emergence of spanning structures in sparse pseudo-random $k$-uniform hypergraphs, using the following comparatively weak notion of pseudo-randomness. A $k$-uniform hypergraph $H$ on $n$ vertices is called…

组合数学 · 数学 2021-08-11 Hiep Hàn , Jie Han , Patrick Morris

Random hypergraphs extend the classical notion of random graphs by allowing hyperedges to join more than two vertices, making them well-suited for modeling higher-order interactions in complex systems. Despite their broad applicability,…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-08 Yanna J. Kraakman , Clara Stegehuis