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We consider the SEIRS epidemiology model with such features of the COVID-19 outbreak as: abundance of unidentified infected individuals, limited time of immunity and a possibility of vaccination. The control of the pandemic dynamics is…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-03-31 J. Ilnytskyi , T. Patsahan

Developing methods to analyse infection spread is an important step in the study of pandemic and containing them. The principal mode for geographical spreading of pandemics is the movement of population across regions. We are interested in…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2022-11-11 Sudeepini Darapu , Subrata Ghosh , Abhishek Senapati , Chittaranjan Hens , Santosh Nannuru

The acute phase of the Covid-19 pandemic has made apparent the need for decision support based upon accurate epidemic modeling. This process is substantially hampered by under-reporting of cases and related data incompleteness issues. In…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Anastasios Apsemidis , Nikolaos Demiris

While the SARS-CoV-2 keeps spreading world-wide, comparing its evolution across different nations is a timely challenge of both theoretical and practical importance. The large variety of dissimilar and country-dependent epidemiological…

Social contact patterns are key drivers of infectious disease transmission. During the COVID-19 pandemic, differences between pre-COVID and COVID-era contact rates were widely attributed to non-pharmaceutical interventions such as…

The COVID-19 pandemic has changed human life. To mitigate the pandemic's impacts, different regions implemented various policies to contain COVID-19 and residents showed diverse responses. These human responses in turn shaped the uneven…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-04-17 Binbin Lin , Lei Zou , Mingzheng Yang , Bing Zhou , Debayan Mandal , Joynal Abedin , Heng Cai , Ning Ning

The COVID-19 crisis has shown that we can only prevent the risk of mass contagion through timely, large-scale, coordinated, and decisive actions. However, frequently the models used by experts [from whom decision-makers get their main…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-08 Mauricio Herrera

COVID-19 has resulted in a public health global crisis. The pandemic control necessitates epidemic models that capture the trends and impacts on infectious individuals. Many exciting models can implement this but they lack practical…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-04-13 Ou Deng , Kiichi Tago , Qun Jin

Understanding the spread of SARS-CoV-2 has been one of the most pressing problems of the recent past. Network models present a potent approach to studying such spreading phenomena because of their ability to represent complex social…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-11-01 Christine Hedde-von Westernhagen , Javier Garcia-Bernardo , Ayoub Bagheri

In this paper, it is shown that the Moyal distribution is an excelent tool to study the SARS-Cov-II (Covid-19) epidemiological associated curves and its propagation. The Moyal parameters give all the information to describe the form and the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-11 Jose de Jesus Bernal-Alvarado , David Delepine

Mexico, like the rest of the world, is currently facing the The COVID-19 pandemic. Given the size of its territory, the efforts to contain the disease have involved both national and regional measures. For this work, the curves of daily new…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-06-23 Guillermo de Anda-Jáuregui

What is the impact of COVID-19 on South Africa? This paper envisages assisting researchers and decision-makers in battling the COVID-19 pandemic focusing on South Africa. This paper focuses on the spread of the disease by applying heatmap…

More than any other infectious disease epidemic, the COVID-19 pandemic has been characterized by the generation of large volumes of viral genomic data at an incredible pace due to recent advances in high-throughput sequencing technologies,…

Genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 has been instrumental in tracking the spread and evolution of the virus during the pandemic. The availability of SARS-CoV-2 molecular sequences isolated from infected individuals, coupled with phylodynamic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-08-31 Lorenzo Cappello , Jaehee Kim , Sifan Liu , Julia A. Palacios

During the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, mathematical models of epidemic spreading have emerged as powerful tools to produce valuable predictions of the evolution of the pandemic, helping public health authorities decide which intervention…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-11-18 Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

COVID-19 is an infectious respiratory disease that the World Health Organization has declared a pandemic. Although a global phenomenon, there is the need to react locally with swift and informed actions, as some of the essential plans are…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-06-16 Dagoberto Pulido , Daniela Basurto , Mayra Cándido , Joaquin Salas

In this work, we study the causal relations among German regions in terms of the spread of Covid-19 since the beginning of the pandemic, taking into account the restriction policies that were applied by the different federal states. We…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-04-13 Atalanti A. Mastakouri , Bernhard Schölkopf

Controlling the spread of COVID-19 - even after a licensed vaccine is available - requires the effective use of non-pharmaceutical interventions: physical distancing, limits on group sizes, mask wearing, etc. To date, such interventions…

The increasing complexity of interrelated systems has made the use of multiplex networks an important tool for explaining the nature of relations between elements in the system. In this paper, we aim at investigating various aspects of…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-04-08 Gian Paolo Clemente , Rosanna Grassi , Giorgio Rizzini

This paper extends the canonical model of epidemiology, SIRD model, to allow for time varying parameters for real-time measurement of the stance of the COVID-19 pandemic. Time variation in model parameters is captured using the generalized…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-02-11 Cem Cakmakli , Yasin Simsek